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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
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Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 30
·
8%
(-83%)
Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?
·
Brett Matsumoto
·
78%
(+62%)
MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
·
Wesley Bell, 6-9%
·
11%
(-60%)
MI-07 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
27%
(-46%)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
July 23
·
54%
(+44%)
NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
·
Above $75M
·
46%
(-43%)
Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place
·
Reform UK
·
98%
(+43%)
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
·
Alina Habba
·
60%
(+41%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 20
·
95%
(+40%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
41%
(-39%)
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
·
Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche
·
75%
(+38%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
Above 40
·
43%
(-33%)
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?
·
Troy Jackson
·
43%
(+32%)
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
18%
(-32%)
How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?
·
Above 59
·
3%
(-30%)
Powered by
Kalshi
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 30
·
8%
(-83%)
Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?
·
Brett Matsumoto
·
78%
(+62%)
MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
·
Wesley Bell, 6-9%
·
11%
(-60%)
MI-07 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
27%
(-46%)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
July 23
·
54%
(+44%)
NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
·
Above $75M
·
46%
(-43%)
Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place
·
Reform UK
·
98%
(+43%)
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
·
Alina Habba
·
60%
(+41%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
·
Above 20
·
95%
(+40%)
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
41%
(-39%)
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
·
Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche
·
75%
(+38%)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
·
Above 40
·
43%
(-33%)
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?
·
Troy Jackson
·
43%
(+32%)
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?
·
Before Jan 1, 2027
·
18%
(-32%)
How many Senators vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?
·
Above 59
·
3%
(-30%)
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