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GovernorHistorical market

California governor primary: which counties will Tom Steyer win?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

San Francisco had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 11 Jul 2026, 01:02 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
San Francisco
Closed contract
99%
Marin
Closed contract
99%
Alameda
Closed contract
99%
Santa Cruz
Closed contract
99%
Santa Barbara
Closed contract
99%
San Mateo
Closed contract
2%
Contra Costa
Closed contract
2%
Santa Clara
Closed contract
1%
Napa
Closed contract
1%
Sonoma
Closed contract
1%
About this market

Market question: California governor primary: which counties will Tom Steyer win?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for California governor primary: which counties will Tom Steyer win?

San Francisco had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 11 Jul 2026, 01:02 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for California governor primary: which counties will Tom Steyer win?

San Francisco: 99%; Marin: 99%; Alameda: 99%; Santa Cruz: 99%; Santa Barbara: 99%; San Mateo: 2%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.