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GovernorHistorical market

California governor primary: which counties will Tom Steyer win?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

San Francisco had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 11 Jul 2026, 01:02 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
San Francisco
Closed contract
99%
Marin
Closed contract
99%
Alameda
Closed contract
99%
Santa Cruz
Closed contract
99%
Santa Barbara
Closed contract
99%
San Mateo
Closed contract
2%
Contra Costa
Closed contract
2%
Santa Clara
Closed contract
1%
Napa
Closed contract
1%
Sonoma
Closed contract
1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for California governor primary: which counties will Tom Steyer win?

San Francisco had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 11 Jul 2026, 01:02 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for California governor primary: which counties will Tom Steyer win?

San Francisco: 99%; Marin: 99%; Alameda: 99%; Santa Cruz: 99%; Santa Barbara: 99%; San Mateo: 2%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.