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HouseHistorical market

AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Mark Lamb, 15-20% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 6 Aug 2026, 12:33 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Mark Lamb, 15-20%
Closed contract
99%
Mark Lamb, 20-25%
Closed contract
1%
Mark Lamb, ≥30%
Closed contract
1%
Mark Lamb, 10-15%
Closed contract
1%
Mark Lamb, 25-30%
Closed contract
1%
Daniel Keenan, 5-10%
Closed contract
1%
Daniel Keenan, ≥10%
Closed contract
1%
Daniel Keenan, 0-5%
Closed contract
1%
Mark Lamb, 5-10%
Closed contract
1%
Mark Lamb, 0-5%
Closed contract
1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?

Mark Lamb, 15-20% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 6 Aug 2026, 12:33 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for AZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?

Mark Lamb, 15-20%: 99%; Mark Lamb, 20-25%: 1%; Mark Lamb, ≥30%: 1%; Mark Lamb, 10-15%: 1%; Mark Lamb, 25-30%: 1%; Daniel Keenan, 5-10%: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.