CA-11 primary margin of victory?
This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.
Scott Wiener, 10-15% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 11 Jul 2026, 00:32 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.
Historical options
Last recorded priceHow to read these odds
Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.
Market odds FAQ
What were the last recorded odds for CA-11 primary margin of victory?
Scott Wiener, 10-15% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 11 Jul 2026, 00:32 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.
What are the historical odds for CA-11 primary margin of victory?
Scott Wiener, 10-15%: 99%; Scott Wiener, 5-10%: 4%; Scott Wiener, 15-20%: 2%; Connie Chan wins: 1%; Scott Wiener, ≥30%: 1%; Scott Wiener, 0-5%: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.