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HouseHistorical market

HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Ed Case, ≥15% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 27 Aug 2026, 00:03 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Ed Case, ≥15%
Closed contract
99%
Ed Case, 0-3%
Closed contract
1%
Ed Case, 3-6%
Closed contract
1%
Jarrett Keohokalole, 0-3%
Closed contract
1%
Ed Case, 6-9%
Closed contract
1%
Ed Case, 12-15%
Closed contract
1%
Ed Case, 9-12%
Closed contract
1%
Jarrett Keohokalole, 6-9%
Closed contract
1%
Jarrett Keohokalole, 9-12%
Closed contract
1%
Jarrett Keohokalole, ≥15%
Closed contract
1%
Jarrett Keohokalole, 3-6%
Closed contract
1%
Jarrett Keohokalole, 12-15%
Closed contract
1%
About this market

Market question: HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

Ed Case, ≥15% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 27 Aug 2026, 00:03 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

Ed Case, ≥15%: 99%; Ed Case, 0-3%: 1%; Ed Case, 3-6%: 1%; Jarrett Keohokalole, 0-3%: 1%; Ed Case, 6-9%: 1%; Ed Case, 12-15%: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.