Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?
This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.
Ed Gallrein, 5-10% had the highest retained price at 95.4% when this page was last updated on 10 Jun 2026, 00:32 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.
Historical options
Last recorded priceAbout this market
Market question: Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.
Market odds FAQ
What were the last recorded odds for Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?
Ed Gallrein, 5-10% had the highest retained price at 95.4% when this page was last updated on 10 Jun 2026, 00:32 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.
What are the historical odds for Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?
Ed Gallrein, 5-10%: 95.4%; Ed Gallrein, 10-15%: 1%; Ed Gallrein, ≥20%: 0.3%; Ed Gallrein, 0-5%: 0.1%; Ed Gallrein, 15-20%: 0.1%; Thomas Massie, 10-15%: 0.1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.