Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory
This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.
Karen Bass, 4-8% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 29 Jun 2026, 21:17 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.
Historical options
Last recorded priceAbout this market
Market question: Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.
Market odds FAQ
What were the last recorded odds for Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory?
Karen Bass, 4-8% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 29 Jun 2026, 21:17 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.
What are the historical odds for Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory?
Karen Bass, 4-8%: 99%; Karen Bass, 8-12%: 1%; Karen Bass, 0-4%: 1%; Nithya Raman, 0-4%: 1%; Spencer Pratt wins: 1%; Karen Bass, 12-16%: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.