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HouseHistorical market

NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Brad Lander, 30-35% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 20 Jul 2026, 15:03 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Brad Lander, 30-35%
Closed contract
99%
Brad Lander, 0-5%
Closed contract
4%
Brad Lander, 5-10%
Closed contract
3%
Brad Lander, 25-30%
Closed contract
2%
Brad Lander, 40-45%
Closed contract
2%
Brad Lander, 15-20%
Closed contract
1%
Brad Lander, ≥45%
Closed contract
1%
Brad Lander, 20-25%
Closed contract
1%
Brad Lander, 10-15%
Closed contract
1%
Brad Lander, 35-40%
Closed contract
1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?

Brad Lander, 30-35% had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 20 Jul 2026, 15:03 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for NY-10 Democratic primary margin of victory?

Brad Lander, 30-35%: 99%; Brad Lander, 0-5%: 4%; Brad Lander, 5-10%: 3%; Brad Lander, 25-30%: 2%; Brad Lander, 40-45%: 2%; Brad Lander, 15-20%: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.