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Live market summary

Trump +15 or more is favored at 91% as of 20 Oct 2026, 05:35 UTC across 2 markets.

  • Trump +15 or more: 91% (24h change 0%)
  • Trump +20 or more: 52% (24h change 0%)
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Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?

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About this market

Market question: Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?

Trump +15 or more is favored at 91% as of 20 Oct 2026, 05:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?

Trump +15 or more: 91%; Trump +20 or more: 52%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.