Live market summary
Tarcísio de Freitas is favored at 97% as of 23 Sep 2026, 18:36 UTC across 3 markets.
- Tarcísio de Freitas: 97% (24h change 0%)
- Fernando Haddad: 3% (24h change +2%)
- Kim Kataguiri: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: São Paulo Governor winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in São Paulo Governor winner?
Tarcísio de Freitas is favored at 97% as of 23 Sep 2026, 18:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for São Paulo Governor winner?
Tarcísio de Freitas: 97%; Fernando Haddad: 3%; Kim Kataguiri: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.