Powered by KalshiWhen will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 18, 2026·91%(+81%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·95%(+80%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)·At least 15·16%(-54%)Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?·Brandon Dukes·99%(+54%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?·Above 38.6%·73%(+53%)How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?·Exactly 2·57%(+48.5%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·86%(+46%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place·Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva·50%(+43%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)·Ed Markey, ≥30%·9%(-43%)When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?·Before Nov 1, 2026·82%(+43%)Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?·Before 2028·75%(+38%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?·António Guterres·80%(+37%)Hamilton East-Stoney Creek by-election winner?·Jeff Beattie·63%(+35%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·25%(-34%)Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·4%(-32%)

Powered by KalshiWhen will the House leave for its pre-election recess?·Before Sep 18, 2026·91%(+81%)Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?·Missouri Amendment 3·95%(+80%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)·At least 15·16%(-54%)Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?·Brandon Dukes·99%(+54%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?·Above 38.6%·73%(+53%)How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?·Exactly 2·57%(+48.5%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·86%(+46%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place·Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva·50%(+43%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)·Ed Markey, ≥30%·9%(-43%)When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?·Before Nov 1, 2026·82%(+43%)Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?·Before 2028·75%(+38%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?·António Guterres·80%(+37%)Hamilton East-Stoney Creek by-election winner?·Jeff Beattie·63%(+35%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·25%(-34%)Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026?·39.4 to 39.6·4%(-32%)

Live market summary

Republican party is favored at 53% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC across 2 markets.

house2 marketsLIVE

Arizona State House winner?

Odds history

Loading chart

All options

Republican party

53%

—

$205

Democratic party

53%

—

$40

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

More house odds All political markets

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Arizona State House winner?

Republican party is favored at 53% as of 6 Jul 2026, 22:03 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Arizona State House winner?

Republican party: 53%; Democratic party: 53%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.