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Powered by KalshiWho will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?·Brandon Dukes·99%(+54%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?·Above 38.6%·71%(+52%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·Alaska·89%(+49%)MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)·Stephen Lynch, ≥12%·5%(-45%)Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary: Seth Moulton vote percent·At least 35%·92%(+45%)Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?·Above 5.9%·16%(-40%)Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?·France·6.8%(-39.2%)When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?·Before Dec 1, 2026·8%(-39%)Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?·Before 2028·75%(+38%)MA-01 Democratic primary: Richard Neal vote percent·At least 55%·8%(-36%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Ro Khanna·25%(-34%)Which lists will win a Knesset seat?·Religious Zionist Party·41%(-34%)Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?·On Nov 22, 2027·42%(-34%)New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)·Chris Pappas, ≥25%·68%(+33%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·73%(+33%)

HouseHistorical market

TN-04 Republican nominee?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Scott DesJarlais had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 7 Aug 2026, 17:04 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price

Scott DesJarlais

Closed contract

99%

Rishi K Saxena

Closed contract

3%

Joshua James

Closed contract

1%

Tom Davis

Closed contract

1%

Harold Rocky Jones

Closed contract

1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

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Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for TN-04 Republican nominee?

Scott DesJarlais had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 7 Aug 2026, 17:04 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for TN-04 Republican nominee?

Scott DesJarlais: 99%; Rishi K Saxena: 3%; Joshua James: 1%; Tom Davis: 1%; Harold Rocky Jones: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.