Election
Odds
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U.S. Midterms 2026
2028 President
Congress
Policy
International
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·
Updated just now
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VA-08 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
2%
(-90%)
How many Truths will Trump delete in May 2026?
·
At least 15
·
96%
(+89%)
CT-04 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
86%
(+84%)
Virginia Democratic Senate nominee?
·
Mark Warner
·
93.7%
(+83.7%)
TN-03 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
94.2%
(+83.2%)
PA-04 House winner?
·
Madeleine Dean
·
86%
(+83%)
CA-35 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
87%
(+82%)
OH-03 House winner?
·
Joyce Beatty
·
86%
(+81%)
CT-03 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
85%
(+80%)
MD-02 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
88%
(+80%)
Who will join the Trump administration before July?
·
John Solomon
·
3%
(-80%)
NY-05 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
92.5%
(+79.5%)
HI-02 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
89%
(+79%)
IL-11 House winner?
·
Bill Foster
·
5%
(-79%)
MI-12 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
85%
(+79%)
Powered by
Kalshi
VA-08 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
2%
(-90%)
How many Truths will Trump delete in May 2026?
·
At least 15
·
96%
(+89%)
CT-04 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
86%
(+84%)
Virginia Democratic Senate nominee?
·
Mark Warner
·
93.7%
(+83.7%)
TN-03 House winner?
·
Republican party
·
94.2%
(+83.2%)
PA-04 House winner?
·
Madeleine Dean
·
86%
(+83%)
CA-35 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
87%
(+82%)
OH-03 House winner?
·
Joyce Beatty
·
86%
(+81%)
CT-03 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
85%
(+80%)
MD-02 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
88%
(+80%)
Who will join the Trump administration before July?
·
John Solomon
·
3%
(-80%)
NY-05 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
92.5%
(+79.5%)
HI-02 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
89%
(+79%)
IL-11 House winner?
·
Bill Foster
·
5%
(-79%)
MI-12 House winner?
·
Democratic party
·
85%
(+79%)
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Market
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Odds
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24h
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Volume
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At least 1
97
%
—
83
Trade ↗
At least 2
89
%
—
520
Trade ↗
At least 3
73
%
—
605
Trade ↗
At least 4
56
%
—
139
Trade ↗
At least 5
36
%
—
471
Trade ↗
At least 7
14
%
—
31
Trade ↗
At least 10
5
%
—
85
Trade ↗
At least 15
2
%
—
62
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