People

Live prediction market odds for 369 candidates and politicians across every active Kalshi market.

Greg Abbott
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Greg Abbott
17%
Eric Adams
Who will Trump pardon? · Eric Adams
30%
Nick Adams
When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia? · Before Jan 1, 2027
1.2%
Ethan Agarwal
CA-17 primary: first place · Ethan Agarwal
0%
Colin Allred
TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory? · Colin Allred, 5-10%
+2% 32%
Sam Altman
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Sam Altman
+1.1% 95.9%
Claire Anderson
CA-36 primary: Who will advance? · Claire Anderson
1%
Julian Assange
Who will Trump pardon? · Julian Assange
24%
Don Bacon
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? · Don Bacon
5%
Mark Baisley
Colorado Republican Senate nominee? · Mark Baisley
92.1%
Sam Bankman-Fried
Who will Trump pardon? · Sam Bankman-Fried
28%
Steve Bannon
Who will Trump pardon? · Steve Bannon
40%
Andy Barr
Kentucky Republican Senate primary: Andy Barr vote percent · 60% - 65%
99%
Karen Bass
Los Angeles mayoral election: 2nd place (1st round) · Karen Bass
+1% 15%
Xavier Becerra
California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra
-3% 58%
Naftali Bennett
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? · Naftali Bennett
51%
Andy Beshear
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Andy Beshear
84%
Scott Bessent
Who will Trump pardon? · Scott Bessent
46%
Jeff Bezos
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? · Jeff Bezos
29%
Joe Biden
Who will make a public appearance in May 2026? · Joe Biden
-39% 52%
Hunter Biden
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Hunter Biden
12%
Dan Bilzerian
FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory? · Dan Bilzerian, 0-5%
3%
Marsha Blackburn
Tennessee Republican Governor nominee? · Marsha Blackburn
90%
Todd Blanche
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Todd Blanche
+1% 56%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Who will run for President of Brazil? · Flávio Bolsonaro
65%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
Who will run for President of Brazil? · Eduardo Bolsonaro
1.1%
Jair Bolsonaro
Who will run for President of Brazil? · Jair Bolsonaro
3%
Michelle Bolsonaro
Brazil Presidential election winner? · Michelle Bolsonaro
2%
Pam Bondi
Who will Trump pardon? · Pam Bondi
32%
Cory Booker
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Cory Booker
+2% 65%
Matt Borges
Who will Trump pardon? · Matt Borges
+1% 14%
Michelle Bowman
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? · Michelle Bowman
2.2%
Frank Bradley
Frank Bradley departure announced? · Before July 1, 2026
-0.2% 2.5%
Alvin Bragg
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Alvin Bragg
10%
Josh Brecheen
OK-02 Republican nominee? · Josh Brecheen
+1% 2%
John Brennan
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · John Brennan
+1% 60%
Houston Brignano
CA-36 primary: Who will advance? · Houston Brignano
1%
Katie Britt
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Katie Britt
7.2%
Luke Bronin
CT-01 Democratic nominee? · Luke Bronin
38%
Kam Buckner
Who will win the Chicago mayoral election? · Kam Buckner
1%
Doug Burgum
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Doug Burgum
+1% 18%
Pete Buttigieg
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Pete Buttigieg
80%
Ronaldo Caiado
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place · Ronaldo Caiado
+1% 2%
Daniel Cameron
Kentucky Republican Senate primary: Daniel Cameron vote percent · 30% - 35%
99%
Aileen Cannon
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? · Aileen Cannon
7.4%
Tucker Carlson
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Tucker Carlson
-2% 47%
Mark Carney
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Mark Carney
-0.1% 93%
Brendan Carr
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Brendan Carr
-1% 17%
Buddy Carter
Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent · 25% - 30%
-2% 91%
Bill Cassidy
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake? · Bill Cassidy
12%
Iván Cepeda Castro
Colombian presidential election first round winner? · Iván Cepeda Castro
-3% 67%
Saikat Chakrabarti
CA-11 House winner? (Person) · Saikat Chakrabarti
8%
Connie Chan
CA-11 House winner? (Person) · Connie Chan
34%
Derek Chauvin
Who will Trump pardon? · Derek Chauvin
28%
Liz Cheney
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Liz Cheney
8.6%
Lai Ching-te
Lai Ching-te departure announced? · Before January 1, 2028
35%
James Clapper
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · James Clapper
27%
James Cleverly
Who will win the 2028 London mayoral election? · James Cleverly
1%
Hillary Clinton
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026? · Hillary Clinton
+1% 66%
Bill Clinton
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026? · Bill Clinton
49%
Yossi Cohen
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? · Yossi Cohen
0.4%
Tom Cole
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? · Tom Cole
2.4%
Loren Colin
CA-34 primary: Who will advance? · Loren Colin
1%
Mike Collins
Georgia Republican Senate nominee? · Mike Collins
+1% 83%
Jay Collins
Florida Republican Governor nominee? · Jay Collins
+0.1% 3.1%
Susan Collins
Maine Republican Senate nominee? · Susan Collins
97.9%
Doug Collins
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Doug Collins
17%
Sean Combs
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026? · Sean Combs
37%
Lisa Cook
Who will be arrested before 2027? · Lisa Cook
-2% 19%
Roy Cooper
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Roy Cooper
23%
John Cornyn
Texas Republican Senate runoff: John Cornyn vote percent · 42% - 45%
+18% 44%
Tom Cotton
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? · Tom Cotton
1%
Jasmine Crockett
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes) · Jasmine Crockett
1%
Ted Cruz
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Ted Cruz
+1% 63%
Mark Cuban
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Mark Cuban
19%
Henry Cuellar
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? · Henry Cuellar
6.6%
Sharice Davids
Kansas Democratic Senate nominee? · Sharice Davids
-0.1% 3%
Antonio Delgado
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? · Antonio Delgado
4.3%
Audrey Denney
Who will win the CA-01 special election? · Audrey Denney
0.1%
Ron DeSantis
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? · Ron DeSantis
71%
Casey DeSantis
Who will run for public office in 2026? · Casey DeSantis
5.3%
Miguel Díaz-Canel
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Miguel Díaz-Canel
+1% 65%
Jamie Dimon
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? · Jamie Dimon
-0.1% 0.2%
Arthur Dixon
CA-34 primary: Who will advance? · Arthur Dixon
1%
Byron Donalds
Florida Republican Governor nominee? · Byron Donalds
87%
Derek Dooley
Georgia Republican Senate primary: 2nd place (1st round) · Derek Dooley
99%
Victoria Doyle
FL-22 Democratic nominee? · Victoria Doyle
-1% 1%
Gentner Drummond
Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee? · Gentner Drummond
-1% 46%
Sean Duffy
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Sean Duffy
25%
Sara Duterte
Who will win the next Philippine presidential election? · Sara Duterte
+1% 58%
Abdul El-Sayed
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee? · Abdul El-Sayed
+1% 55%
Carin Elam
CA-14 special election winner · Carin Elam
0%
Keith Ellison
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Keith Ellison
16%
Rahm Emanuel
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Rahm Emanuel
73%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
61%
Joni Ernst
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? · Joni Ernst
4.6%
Abelardo de la Espriella
Who will win the next Colombian presidential election? · Abelardo de la Espriella
-1% 63%
Lewis Evangelidis
Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee? · Lewis Evangelidis
0.1%
Tony Evers
2028 Democratic VP nominee · Tony Evers
0.2%
Sergio Fajardo
Who will win the next Colombian presidential election? · Sergio Fajardo
0%
Anthony Fauci
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026? · Anthony Fauci
30%
John Fetterman
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · John Fetterman
22%
Dinorah Figuera
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Dinorah Figuera
0.4%
Randy Fine
FL-06 Republican nominee? · Randy Fine
89%
Jason Fischer
FL-09 Republican nominee? · Jason Fischer
3%
James Fishback
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? · James Fishback
10%
John Fleming
Louisiana Republican Senate nominee? · John Fleming
-1% 5%
Mette Frederiksen
Who will be the Prime Minister of Denmark after their election? · Mette Frederiksen
87%
Tarcísio de Freitas
São Paulo Governor winner? · Tarcísio de Freitas
-3% 88%
Jacob Frey
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Jacob Frey
8.2%
Keiko Fujimori
Peru Presidential election winner? · Keiko Fujimori
-6% 69%
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence? · Before Aug 1, 2026
99.2%
Matt Gaetz
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Matt Gaetz
20%
Houston Gaines
GA-10 Republican primary: margin of victory · Houston Gaines, ≥25%
98%
James Gallagher
Who will win the CA-01 special election? · James Gallagher
-1% 86%
Ruben Gallego
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Ruben Gallego
52%
Ed Gallrein
Kentucky's 4th District Primary margin of victory · Ed Gallrein, 6+ pts
99%
Benny Gantz
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? · Benny Gantz
0.9%
Janeese Lewis George
Who will win the 2026 DC Democratic Mayoral Primary? · Janeese Lewis George
+5% 55%
Alexi Giannoulias
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) · Alexi Giannoulias
+6% 55%
Yair Golan
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? · Yair Golan
0.2%
Jared Golden
Maine Democratic Governor nominee? · Jared Golden
0.1%
Ciro Gomes
Brazil Presidential election winner? · Ciro Gomes
0%
Jimmy Gomez
CA-34 primary: Who will advance? · Jimmy Gomez
92.6%
Angela Gonzales-Torres
CA-34 primary: Who will advance? · Angela Gonzales-Torres
+56% 78%
Edmundo González
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Edmundo González
4.7%
Maggie Goodlander
NH-02 Democratic nominee? · Maggie Goodlander
95%
Chuck Gray
WY-AL Republican nominee? · Chuck Gray
+31% 33%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Marjorie Taylor Greene
+2% 30%
Jamieson Greer
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Jamieson Greer
+1% 16%
Richard Grenell
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence? · Richard Grenell
-1% 3.3%
Juan Guaidó
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Juan Guaidó
0.5%
Alina Habba
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? · Alina Habba
2%
Fernando Haddad
Brazil Presidential election winner? · Fernando Haddad
+2% 6.1%
Harriet Hageman
Wyoming Republican Senate nominee? · Harriet Hageman
88%
Bill Hagerty
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? · Bill Hagerty
3.9%
Nikki Haley
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Nikki Haley
32%
Kamala Harris
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Kamala Harris
61%
Torence Hatch
Who will Trump pardon? · Torence Hatch
51%
Josh Hawley
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Josh Hawley
42%
Pete Hegseth
Who will Trump pardon? · Pete Hegseth
41%
Melissa Hernandez
CA-14 special election winner · Melissa Hernandez
1%
Ashley Hinson
Iowa Republican Senate nominee? · Ashley Hinson
97%
Joe Holberg
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) · Joe Holberg
+1% 9%
Elizabeth Holmes
Who will Trump pardon? · Elizabeth Holmes
38%
Tom Homan
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Tom Homan
23%
Larry Householder
Who will Trump pardon? · Larry Householder
22%
Jensen Huang
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? · Jensen Huang
24%
Wendy Huang
CA-14 special election winner · Wendy Huang
+1% 1%
Jared Hudson
Alabama Republican Senate primary: 2nd place · Jared Hudson
99%
Wesley Hunt
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? · Wesley Hunt
1%
Marie Hurabiell
CA-11 House winner? (Person) · Marie Hurabiell
0%
Bill Hwang
Who will Trump pardon? · Bill Hwang
38%
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? · Ekrem İmamoğlu
13%
Troy Jackson
Maine Democratic Governor nominee? · Troy Jackson
-3% 42%
Lebron James
2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Lebron James
0.1%
Letitia James
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Letitia James
48%
Philip Jefferson
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? · Philip Jefferson
1%
Hakeem Jeffries
Who will be the next new Speaker of the House? · Hakeem Jeffries
-5% 76%
Jennifer Jenkins
FL-08 Democratic nominee? · Jennifer Jenkins
-2% 2%
Xi Jinping
Who will visit the White House in 2026? · Xi Jinping
+1% 89%
Julie Johnson
TX-33 Democratic primary runoff margin of victory? · Julie Johnson, 0-5%
-7% 5%
Dwayne Johnson
2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Dwayne Johnson
0.2%
Mike Johnson
Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House? · Before Nov 3, 2026
17%
Brandon Johnson
Who will be arrested before 2027? · Brandon Johnson
+0.2% 9.1%
Shevrin Jones
FL-24 Democratic nominee? · Shevrin Jones
-36% 5%
Ratinho Júnior
Who will run for President of Brazil? · Ratinho Júnior
1.2%
Israel Katz
Israel Katz departure announced? · Before 2027
+2% 43%
Mark Kelly
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Mark Kelly
59%
Brian Kemp
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Brian Kemp
33%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026? · Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
58%
Joe Kent
Who will run for public office in 2026? · Joe Kent
22%
Ro Khanna
CA-17 primary: first place · Ro Khanna
91%
Erika Kirk
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Erika Kirk
15%
Amy Klobuchar
Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee? · Amy Klobuchar
+0.1% 94.3%
Rustin Knudtson
CA-36 primary: Who will advance? · Rustin Knudtson
1%
Jared Kushner
Who will Trump pardon? · Jared Kushner
42%
Kari Lake
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica? · Before Apr 1, 2027
38%
David Lammy
Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July? · David Lammy
+10% 20%
Mitch Landrieu
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Mitch Landrieu
62%
Yair Lapid
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? · Yair Lapid
2.1%
Oliver Larkin
FL-23 Democratic nominee? · Oliver Larkin
+0.1% 4.2%
Mike Lee
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? · Mike Lee
3.1%
Calvin Lee
CA-34 primary: Who will advance? · Calvin Lee
+7.9% 9.9%
Tim Leissner
Who will Trump pardon? · Tim Leissner
30%
Julia Letlow
Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory · Julia Letlow, 9%+
99.7%
Yariv Levin
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? · Yariv Levin
1%
Avigdor Lieberman
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? · Avigdor Lieberman
+0.2% 5%
Ted Lieu
CA-36 primary: Who will advance? · Ted Lieu
1%
Mike Lindell
Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries? · Mike Lindell
32%
Kelly Loeffler
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Kelly Loeffler
23%
Vladimir Padrino López
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Vladimir Padrino López
1.7%
Jho Low
Who will Trump pardon? · Jho Low
23%
Rob Lucero
CA-34 primary: Who will advance? · Rob Lucero
1%
Howard Lutnick
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Howard Lutnick
-3% 48%
Nancy Mace
South Carolina Republican Governor nominee? · Nancy Mace
+0.3% 9%
María Corina Machado
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · María Corina Machado
12%
Emmanuel Macron
Which G7 leader will leave next? · Emmanuel Macron
12%
Nicolás Maduro
Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1? · Nicolás Maduro
-0.5% 96.5%
Shabana Mahmood
Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July? · Shabana Mahmood
+10% 20%
Joseph Maldonado
Who will Trump pardon? · Joseph Maldonado
19%
Zohran Mamdani
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045? · Before 2045
7.8%
Lars Mapstead
2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee · Lars Mapstead
1%
Steve Marshall
Alabama Republican Senate primary: Steve Marshall vote percent · 20% - 25%
+2% 98%
Ken Martin
Ken Martin out as DNC chair? · Before Jan 1, 2027
+1% 48%
Thomas Massie
KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent · 45% - 48%
+6% 95%
Ghislaine Maxwell
Who will Trump pardon? · Ghislaine Maxwell
40%
Betty McCollum
MN-04 Democratic nominee? · Betty McCollum
91%
Mitch McConnell
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake? · Mitch McConnell
22%
Mike McGuire
CA-01 primary: first place · Mike McGuire
-4% 18%
Linda McMahon
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Linda McMahon
+3% 26%
Mallory McMorrow
Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place · Mallory McMorrow
-1% 33%
Giorgia Meloni
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? · Giorgia Meloni
26%
Bob Menendez
Who will Trump pardon? · Bob Menendez
30%
Friedrich Merz
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Friedrich Merz
-1% 12%
Javier Milei
Who will win the next Argentine presidential election? · Javier Milei
57%
Ed Miliband
Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July? · Ed Miliband
-12% 42%
Stephen Miller
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Stephen Miller
23%
Janet Mills
Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner? · Before Nov 3, 2026
82%
Cory Mills
Will Cory Mills leave the House? · Before Nov 3, 2026
46%
Ryan Millsap
GA-10 Republican primary: margin of victory · Ryan Millsap, 0-5%
0%
Nicki Minaj
Who will join the Trump administration before July? · Nicki Minaj
-0.1% 1.4%
Stephen Miran
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? · Stephen Miran
20%
Jason Miyares
Virginia Republican Senate nominee? · Jason Miyares
0.1%
Narendra Modi
Who will Donald Trump talk to in May 2026? · Narendra Modi
-12% 26%
Ashley Moody
Florida Republican Senate nominee? · Ashley Moody
-0.2% 93.1%
Barry Moore
Alabama Republican Senate primary: Barry Moore vote percent · 35% - 40%
99%
Wes Moore
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Wes Moore
52%
Jared Moskowitz
FL-25 Democratic nominee? · Jared Moskowitz
+40% 90%
Hector Mujica
FL-28 Democratic nominee? · Hector Mujica
2%
Lisa Murkowski
Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake? · Lisa Murkowski
22%
Chris Murphy
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Chris Murphy
-1% 66%
Phil Murphy
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Phil Murphy
30%
Elon Musk
Who will visit the White House in 2026? · Elon Musk
-12% 50%
Lee Jae Myung
Who will be arrested before 2027? · Lee Jae Myung
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Benjamin Netanyahu
43%
Gavin Newsom
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Gavin Newsom
-1% 84%
Angie Nixon
Florida Democratic Senate nominee? · Angie Nixon
-0.8% 0.2%
Kristi Noem
2028 Republican presidential nominee · Kristi Noem
0.1%
Beto O'Rourke
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes) · Beto O'Rourke
1%
Barack Obama
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026? · Barack Obama
+1% 18%
Michelle Obama
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Michelle Obama
5.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
NY-14 Democratic nominee? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
95%
Ilhan Omar
MN-05 Democratic nominee? · Ilhan Omar
88%
Matt Ortega
CA-14 special election winner · Matt Ortega
0%
Dan Osborn
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? · Dan Osborn
43%
Jon Ossoff
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms? · Jon Ossoff
+1% 84%
Candace Owens
Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026? · Candace Owens
8%
Mehmet Oz
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Mehmet Oz
21%
Reza Pahlavi
Who will visit the White House in 2026? · Reza Pahlavi
22%
Maria Pappas
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) · Maria Pappas
-0.2% 6%
Kash Patel
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Kash Patel
-1% 68%
Jimmy Patronis
FL-01 Republican nominee? · Jimmy Patronis
84%
Rand Paul
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Rand Paul
38%
Ken Paxton
Texas Republican Senate nominee? · Ken Paxton
-0.1% 95.6%
Nancy Pelosi
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms? · Before election day 2026
8%
Mary Peltola
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? · Mary Peltola
24%
Gustavo Petro
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Gustavo Petro
97.8%
Dean Phillips
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Dean Phillips
-1% 21%
Chellie Pingree
Maine Democratic Governor nominee? · Chellie Pingree
0.1%
Brooke Pinto
DC Democratic House delegate nominee? · Brooke Pinto
16%
Graham Platner
Maine Democratic Senate nominee? · Graham Platner
-0.1% 98%
Jared Polis
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Jared Polis
-1% 48%
Jerome Powell
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? · Before Jan 31, 2028
+7% 74%
Spencer Pratt
Los Angeles mayoral election: 2nd place (1st round) · Spencer Pratt
+3% 69%
J.B. Pritzker
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · J.B. Pritzker
76%
Vladimir Putin
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Vladimir Putin
+1% 42%
Daniel Quintero
Who will win the next Colombian presidential election? · Daniel Quintero
0%
Chris Rabb
PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent · 40% - 45%
99%
Gina Raimondo
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes) · Gina Raimondo
1%
Nithya Raman
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? · Nithya Raman
58%
Cyril Ramaphosa
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Cyril Ramaphosa
10%
Vivek Ramaswamy
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Vivek Ramaswamy
7.2%
Reid Rasner
WY-AL Republican nominee? · Reid Rasner
+28% 30%
John Ratcliffe
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · John Ratcliffe
-1% 18%
Frederick Reardon
CA-36 primary: Who will advance? · Frederick Reardon
1%
Aldo Rebelo
Brazil Presidential election winner? · Aldo Rebelo
0%
Rachel Reeves
Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July? · Rachel Reeves
4%
Rick Rieder
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? · Rick Rieder
2.1%
Kristin Robbins
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee? · Kristin Robbins
0.1%
Delcy Rodriguez
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Delcy Rodriguez
20%
Keonne Rodriguez
Who will Trump pardon? · Keonne Rodriguez
44%
Delcy Rodríguez
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Delcy Rodríguez
-1% 91%
Jorge Rodríguez
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Jorge Rodríguez
+0.1% 3.2%
Mike Rogers
Michigan Republican Senate nominee? · Mike Rogers
95%
Brooke Rollins
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Brooke Rollins
+1% 17%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Diosdado Cabello Rondón
+0.1% 1.9%
John Rose
Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries? · John Rose
-0.2% 8.6%
Marco Rubio
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Marco Rubio
+4% 65%
Mohammed bin Salman
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Mohammed bin Salman
+7% 80%
Roberto Sánchez
Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory? · Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%
+1% 18%
Bernie Sanders
Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028? · Before November 4, 2028
6%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Sarah Huckabee Sanders
20%
Renan Santos
Who will run for President of Brazil? · Renan Santos
89%
Nicole Saphier
Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess? · Nicole Saphier
46%
Steve Scalise
LA-01 Republican nominee? · Steve Scalise
-1.5% 6.8%
Adam Schiff
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Adam Schiff
30%
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
FL-20 Democratic nominee? · Debbie Wasserman Schultz
+2% 47%
Erica Schwartz
When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director? · Before Jan 1, 2027
76%
Marianne Shamma
CA-36 primary: Who will advance? · Marianne Shamma
1%
Josh Shapiro
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Josh Shapiro
78%
Claudia Sheinbaum
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Claudia Sheinbaum
+3% 69%
Judy Shelton
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? · Judy Shelton
3.2%
Brad Sherman
CA-32 primary: first place · Brad Sherman
91%
Martin Shkreli
Who will Trump pardon? · Martin Shkreli
18%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Who will run for President of Brazil? · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
76%
Lula da Silva
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva, 0-5%
42%
Steve Simon
Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee? · Steve Simon
0.1%
Rakhi Israni Singh
CA-14 special election winner · Rakhi Israni Singh
9%
Elissa Slotkin
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Elissa Slotkin
38%
Stephen A. Smith
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Stephen A. Smith
-1% 23%
Joshua Smith
2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee · Joshua Smith
1%
Robin Smith
Who will Trump pardon? · Robin Smith
34%
Edward Snowden
Who will Trump pardon? · Edward Snowden
39%
Ala Stanford
PA-03 Democratic primary: Ala Stanford vote percent · 20% - 25%
+4% 96%
Keir Starmer
Which G7 leader will leave next? · Keir Starmer
+1% 79%
Elise Stefanik
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence? · Elise Stefanik
+3% 12%
Bryan Steil
WI-01 Republican nominee? · Bryan Steil
-1% 96%
Haley Stevens
Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place · Haley Stevens
+5% 34%
Jon Stewart
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Jon Stewart
+1% 16%
Tom Steyer
California Governor winner? · Tom Steyer
+3% 28%
Sharif Street
PA-03 Democratic primary: 2nd place · Sharif Street
99%
Tamas Sulyok
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary? · Before Aug 1, 2026
+8% 51%
Eric Swalwell
How many House votes to expel Eric Swalwell? · Above 218
0%
Sanae Takaichi
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Sanae Takaichi
5%
James Talarico
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? · James Talarico
85%
Andrew Tate
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election? · Before 2035
1%
Peter Thiel
Who will leave California before 2027? · Peter Thiel
52%
John Thune
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · John Thune
2%
Bola Tinubu
Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election? · Bola Tinubu
+24% 72%
Jessica Tisch
Jessica Tisch departure announced? · Before Jan 1, 2027
53%
Rashida Tlaib
MI-12 Democratic nominee? · Rashida Tlaib
91%
Melissa Toomim
CA-36 primary: Who will advance? · Melissa Toomim
11%
Miguel Rodríguez Torres
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Miguel Rodríguez Torres
0.5%
Donald Trump
How many people will Donald Trump pardon in May 2026? · 0
90%
Donald J. Trump
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Donald J. Trump
-1% 12%
Lara Trump
Florida Republican Senate nominee? · Lara Trump
0.1%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Donald J. Trump Jr.
22%
Félix Tshisekedi
Which of these African leaders will leave office next? · Félix Tshisekedi
7.4%
Josh Turek
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? · Josh Turek
35%
Scott Turner
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Scott Turner
20%
Kim Jong Un
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Kim Jong Un
20%
Paloma Valencia
Colombian presidential election: 2nd place (1st round) · Paloma Valencia
-1% 7%
Paul Vallas
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) · Paul Vallas
0.2%
J.D. Vance
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · J.D. Vance
-8% 71%
JD Vance
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? · Before Oct 1, 2027
-1% 67%
Roger Ver
Who will Trump pardon? · Roger Ver
9.9%
Russell Vought
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Russell Vought
16%
Aisha Wahab
CA-14 special election winner · Aisha Wahab
88%
Zach Wahls
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? · Zach Wahls
18%
Christopher Waller
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026? · Christopher Waller
1%
Mike Waltz
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence? · Mike Waltz
+3.4% 3.4%
Tim Walz
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Tim Walz
-0.1% 9.4%
Butch Ware
2028 Green Presidential nominee · Butch Ware
+55.9% 57%
Raphael Warnock
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Raphael Warnock
31%
Elizabeth Warren
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes) · Elizabeth Warren
1%
Kevin Warsh
Who will chair the June FOMC meeting? · Kevin Warsh
99%
Gretchen Whitmer
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Gretchen Whitmer
+1% 62%
Scott Wiener
CA-11 primary: first place · Scott Wiener
92%
Susie Wiles
Who will Trump pardon? · Susie Wiles
38%
Chris Wright
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Chris Wright
30%
Pope Leo XIV
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Pope Leo XIV
28%
Andrew Yang
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes) · Andrew Yang
1%
Mansur Yavaş
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election? · Mansur Yavaş
1.7%
Glenn Youngkin
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Glenn Youngkin
+1% 44%
Lee Zeldin
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Lee Zeldin
+1% 46%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Who will visit the White House in 2026? · Volodymyr Zelenskyy
66%
Romeu Zema
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place · Romeu Zema
25%
Mark Zuckerberg
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Mark Zuckerberg
76%