People

Kalshi odds for 379 candidates and politicians across active markets.

Greg Abbott
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Greg Abbott
17%
Eric Adams
Who will Trump pardon? · Eric Adams
34%
Deborah Adeimy
FL-23 Republican nominee? · Deborah Adeimy
89%
Samuel Alito
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? · Samuel Alito
63%
Sam Altman
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026? · Sam Altman
56%
Julian Assange
Who will Trump pardon? · Julian Assange
28%
Gabriel Attal
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? · Gabriel Attal
79%
Don Bacon
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? · Don Bacon
6.5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
Who will Trump pardon? · Sam Bankman-Fried
35%
Steve Bannon
Who will Trump pardon? · Steve Bannon
+5%40%
Jordan Bardella
French presidential election: who will advance? · Jordan Bardella
38%
Xavier Becerra
California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra
+0.1%92.2%
Shenna Bellows
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? · Shenna Bellows
35%
Naftali Bennett
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? · Naftali Bennett
25%
Andy Beshear
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Andy Beshear
86%
Scott Bessent
Who will Trump pardon? · Scott Bessent
-4%46%
Jeff Bezos
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? · Jeff Bezos
33%
Salaam Bhatti
VA-01 Democratic nominee? · Salaam Bhatti
+29%34%
Hunter Biden
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Hunter Biden
+4%20%
Joe Biden
Joe Biden's presidential memoir release date · Before Jan 1, 2027
85%
Dan Bilzerian
FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory? · Dan Bilzerian, 0-5%
3%
Count Binface
Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent · At least 5%
+3%87%
Marsha Blackburn
Tennessee Republican Governor nominee? · Marsha Blackburn
+4.7%96.9%
Todd Blanche
Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee? · Before Oct 1, 2026
+7%85%
Adrian Boafo
MD-05 Democratic primary margin of victory? · Adrian Boafo, ≥6%
99%
Ilie Bolojan
Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania? · Before Oct 1, 2026
49%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Who will run for President of Brazil? · Flávio Bolsonaro
77%
Jair Bolsonaro
Who will run for President of Brazil? · Jair Bolsonaro
6.1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? · Michelle Bolsonaro
7%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place · Eduardo Bolsonaro
6%
Pam Bondi
Who will Trump pardon? · Pam Bondi
37%
Cory Booker
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Cory Booker
-2%71%
Alex Bores
NY-12 Democratic primary: 2nd place · Alex Bores
99%
Matt Borges
Who will Trump pardon? · Matt Borges
19%
Élisabeth Borne
French presidential election: who will advance? · Élisabeth Borne
38%
John Brennan
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · John Brennan
57%
Katie Britt
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Katie Britt
13%
Luke Bronin
CT-01 Democratic nominee? · Luke Bronin
79%
Brian Bryant
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? · Brian Bryant
1%
Kam Buckner
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) · Kam Buckner
1.6%
Doug Burgum
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Doug Burgum
16%
Andy Burnham
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? · Andy Burnham
+0.6%99%
Pete Buttigieg
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Pete Buttigieg
82%
Ronaldo Caiado
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? · Ronaldo Caiado
6%
Ken Calvert
CA-40 primary: first place · Ken Calvert
99%
Aileen Cannon
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? · Aileen Cannon
9.8%
Tucker Carlson
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Tucker Carlson
-5%20%
Mark Carney
Who will visit the White House in 2026? · Mark Carney
71%
Brendan Carr
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Brendan Carr
18%
Bill Cassidy
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche? · Bill Cassidy
45%
Bernard Cazeneuve
French presidential election: who will advance? · Bernard Cazeneuve
38%
Saikat Chakrabarti
CA-11 primary: Saikat Chakrabarti vote percent · 15% - 20%
98%
Connie Chan
CA-11 primary: Connie Chan vote percent · 25% - 30%
-1%98%
Derek Chauvin
Who will Trump pardon? · Derek Chauvin
28%
Liz Cheney
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Liz Cheney
-0.1%9.7%
Steven Cheung
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Steven Cheung
28%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
NY-13 Democratic primary: Darializa Avila Chevalier vote percent · At least 45%
99%
Lai Ching-te
Lai Ching-te departure announced? · Before January 1, 2028
29%
James Clapper
Who will be arrested in 2026? · James Clapper
22%
Jay Clayton
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence? · Jay Clayton
+0.7%94.7%
James Cleverly
2028 London mayoral election winner? · James Cleverly
8%
Hillary Clinton
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026? · Hillary Clinton
36%
Bill Clinton
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026? · Bill Clinton
58%
Yossi Cohen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Yossi Cohen
5%
Jay Collins
Florida Republican Governor nominee? · Jay Collins
+0.4%2.7%
Susan Collins
Maine Senate winner? (Person) · Susan Collins
39%
Doug Collins
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Doug Collins
15%
Sean Combs
Who will Trump pardon? · Sean Combs
+3%41%
George Conway
NY-12 Democratic primary: George Conway vote percent · 5% - 10%
98%
Lisa Cook
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Lisa Cook
24%
Roy Cooper
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Roy Cooper
20%
Yvette Cooper
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Yvette Cooper
88%
Piers Corbyn
Clacton by-election: 4th place · Piers Corbyn
9%
Tom Cotton
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? · Tom Cotton
2.9%
Jasmine Crockett
Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico? · Before Nov 3, 2026
-1%58%
Ted Cruz
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Ted Cruz
72%
Mark Cuban
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Mark Cuban
19%
Mattie Daughtrey
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? · Mattie Daughtrey
1%
Sharice Davids
KS-03 Democratic nominee? · Sharice Davids
98%
Diana DeGette
CO-01 Democratic primary: Diana DeGette vote percent · At least 30%
99%
Patrick Dempsey
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? · Patrick Dempsey
1%
Ron DeSantis
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? · Ron DeSantis
-5%62%
Casey DeSantis
Who will run for public office in 2026? · Casey DeSantis
+4.6%9.9%
Miguel Díaz-Canel
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Miguel Díaz-Canel
33%
Jamie Dimon
2028 Democratic VP nominee · Jamie Dimon
1%
Byron Donalds
Florida Republican Governor nominee? · Byron Donalds
94.7%
Victoria Doyle
FL-23 Democratic nominee? · Victoria Doyle
6%
Sean Duffy
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Sean Duffy
-1%20%
Sara Duterte
Philippine presidential election winner? · Sara Duterte
59%
Abdul El-Sayed
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee? · Abdul El-Sayed
-3%78%
Carin Elam
CA-14 primary: first place · Carin Elam
9%
Keith Ellison
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Keith Ellison
13%
Rahm Emanuel
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Rahm Emanuel
80%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Turkish presidential election: first round winner? · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
69%
Adriano Espaillat
NY-13 Democratic primary: Adriano Espaillat vote percent · At least 35%
99%
Lewis Evangelidis
Massachusetts Republican Senate nominee? · Lewis Evangelidis
6.8%
Tony Evers
2028 Democratic VP nominee · Tony Evers
0.2%
Nigel Farage
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? · Before Jan 1, 2027
19%
Anthony Fauci
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026? · Anthony Fauci
80%
Olivier Faure
French presidential election: who will advance? · Olivier Faure
32%
John Fetterman
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · John Fetterman
19%
Randy Fine
FL-06 Republican nominee? · Randy Fine
-1%94%
Jason Fischer
FL-11 Republican nominee? · Jason Fischer
2%
James Fishback
Who will drop out of their primary? · James Fishback
27%
Mette Frederiksen
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Mette Frederiksen
7%
Tarcísio de Freitas
São Paulo Governor winner? · Tarcísio de Freitas
95%
Jacob Frey
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Jacob Frey
9.9%
Keiko Fujimori
Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru? · Before Jan 1, 2028
+1%18%
Tulsi Gabbard
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Tulsi Gabbard
20%
Matt Gaetz
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Matt Gaetz
21%
Ruben Gallego
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? · Ruben Gallego
74%
Benny Gantz
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? · Benny Gantz
5%
Valli Geiger
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? · Valli Geiger
1%
Alexi Giannoulias
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) · Alexi Giannoulias
47%
Sara Gideon
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? · Sara Gideon
1%
Raphaël Glucksmann
French presidential election: who will advance? · Raphaël Glucksmann
38%
Jared Golden
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? · Jared Golden
1%
Jimmy Gomez
CA-34 primary: first place · Jimmy Gomez
99%
Angela Gonzales-Torres
CA-34 House winner? · Angela Gonzales-Torres
37%
Maggie Goodlander
NH-02 Democratic nominee? · Maggie Goodlander
95%
Ollie Granger
Clacton by-election: 4th place · Ollie Granger
-1%8%
Chuck Gray
WY-AL Republican nominee? · Chuck Gray
45%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026? · Marjorie Taylor Greene
-1%45%
Jamieson Greer
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Jamieson Greer
17%
Richard Grenell
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Richard Grenell
1.1%
Alina Habba
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? · Alina Habba
19%
Fernando Haddad
São Paulo Governor winner? · Fernando Haddad
8%
Harriet Hageman
Wyoming Republican Senate nominee? · Harriet Hageman
99%
Bill Hagerty
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State? · Bill Hagerty
11%
Nikki Haley
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Nikki Haley
15%
Sean Hannity
Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? · Sean Hannity
+6%22%
Kamala Harris
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Kamala Harris
+4%74%
Torence Hatch
Who will Trump pardon? · Torence Hatch
41%
Josh Hawley
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? · Josh Hawley
79%
John Healey
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · John Healey
34%
Pete Hegseth
Who will Trump pardon? · Pete Hegseth
43%
Melissa Hernandez
CA-14 House winner? · Melissa Hernandez
10%
Pete Hoekstra
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence? · Pete Hoekstra
0.1%
Joe Holberg
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) · Joe Holberg
5%
François Hollande
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? · François Hollande
55%
Chris Van Hollen
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Chris Van Hollen
27%
Elizabeth Holmes
Who will Trump pardon? · Elizabeth Holmes
36%
Tom Homan
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Tom Homan
17%
Larry Householder
Who will Trump pardon? · Larry Householder
24%
Wendy Huang
CA-14 primary: first place · Wendy Huang
4%
Jensen Huang
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026? · Jensen Huang
51%
Bill Hwang
Who will Trump pardon? · Bill Hwang
42%
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Turkish presidential election: first round winner? · Ekrem İmamoğlu
15%
Troy Jackson
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? · Troy Jackson
49%
Lebron James
2028 Democratic VP nominee · Lebron James
1%
Letitia James
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Letitia James
+1%41%
Pramila Jayapal
WA-07 primary: who will advance? · Pramila Jayapal
99%
Hakeem Jeffries
Who will be the next new Speaker of the House? · Hakeem Jeffries
79%
Jennifer Jenkins
FL-08 Democratic nominee? · Jennifer Jenkins
98%
Xi Jinping
Who will visit the White House in 2026? · Xi Jinping
88%
Dwayne Johnson
2028 Democratic VP nominee · Dwayne Johnson
1%
Mike Johnson
LA-04 Republican nominee? · Mike Johnson
-3%17%
Brandon Johnson
Chicago Mayor winner? · Brandon Johnson
11%
Brian Johnson
When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director? · Before Jan 1, 2027
54%
Darren Jones
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Darren Jones
41%
Eric Jones
CA-04 House winner? · Eric Jones
12%
Shevrin Jones
FL-24 Democratic nominee? · Shevrin Jones
30%
Jamie Joyce
CA-12 House winner? · Jamie Joyce
3%
Ratinho Júnior
Who will run for President of Brazil? · Ratinho Júnior
1.1%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove
CA-37 primary: first place · Sydney Kamlager-Dove
95%
Israel Katz
Israel Katz departure announced? · Before 2027
43%
Joe Kaufman
FL-25 Republican nominee? · Joe Kaufman
+4%10%
Mark Kelly
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Mark Kelly
-1%64%
Brian Kemp
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Brian Kemp
37%
Liz Kendall
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Liz Kendall
28%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026? · Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
55%
Joe Kent
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Joe Kent
13%
Ro Khanna
CA-17 primary: first place · Ro Khanna
99%
Young Kim
CA-40 House winner? · Young Kim
+1%32%
Erika Kirk
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Erika Kirk
16%
Melat Kiros
CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? · Melat Kiros, 12-15%
+1%99%
Dan Kleban
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? · Dan Kleban
4%
Amy Klobuchar
Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee? · Amy Klobuchar
-0.6%98.3%
Jared Kushner
Who will Trump pardon? · Jared Kushner
48%
Peter Kyle
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Peter Kyle
3%
Kari Lake
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica? · Before Jan 1, 2027
63%
David Lammy
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · David Lammy
37%
Brad Lander
NY-10 Democratic primary: Brad Lander vote percent · At least 60%
99%
Mitch Landrieu
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Mitch Landrieu
67%
Yair Lapid
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? · Yair Lapid
5.4%
Oliver Larkin
FL-25 Democratic nominee? · Oliver Larkin
+1%26%
Micah Lasher
NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory? · Micah Lasher, 4-6%
-1%60%
Sébastien Lecornu
French presidential election: who will advance? · Sébastien Lecornu
7%
Mike Lee
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? · Mike Lee
1.3%
Tim Leissner
Who will Trump pardon? · Tim Leissner
35%
Julia Letlow
Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory? · Julia Letlow, ≥9%
99%
Avigdor Lieberman
Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? · Avigdor Lieberman
3.7%
Mike Lindell
Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries? · Mike Lindell
29%
Kelly Loeffler
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Kelly Loeffler
22%
Vladimir Padrino López
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Vladimir Padrino López
2%
Jho Low
Who will Trump pardon? · Jho Low
-27%34%
Howard Lutnick
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Howard Lutnick
+1%35%
María Corina Machado
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? · Before Jan 1, 2027
66%
Tony Mack
Clacton by-election: 4th place · Tony Mack
-6%3%
Emmanuel Macron
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Emmanuel Macron
-2%10%
Nicolás Maduro
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Nicolás Maduro
+3%79%
Shabana Mahmood
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Shabana Mahmood
50%
Joseph Maldonado
Who will Trump pardon? · Joseph Maldonado
23%
Zohran Mamdani
Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York? · Will Zohran Mamdani endorse any candidate in any 2026 primary election for public office whose jurisdiction is outside of New York State before Sep 15, 2026?
20%
Lars Mapstead
CA-19 primary: first place · Lars Mapstead
1%
Ed Markey
Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee? · Ed Markey
+2%77%
Ken Martin
Ken Martin out as DNC chair? · Before Jan 1, 2027
25%
Thomas Massie
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Thomas Massie
-1%38%
Doris Matsui
CA-07 House winner? · Doris Matsui
38%
Ghislaine Maxwell
Who will Trump pardon? · Ghislaine Maxwell
+6%41%
Betty McCollum
MN-04 Democratic nominee? · Betty McCollum
97%
Mitch McConnell
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche? · Mitch McConnell
+3%20%
James McDonald
When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney? · Before Oct 1, 2026
32%
Pat McFadden
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Pat McFadden
34%
Linda McMahon
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Linda McMahon
+1%23%
Mallory McMorrow
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? · Mallory McMorrow wins
6%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? · Jean-Luc Mélenchon
87%
Giorgia Meloni
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? · Giorgia Meloni
15%
Bob Menendez
Who will Trump pardon? · Bob Menendez
29%
Friedrich Merz
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Friedrich Merz
9.9%
Javier Milei
Argentina presidential election winner? · Javier Milei
58%
Ed Miliband
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Ed Miliband
90%
Stephen Miller
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Stephen Miller
22%
Janet Mills
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? · Janet Mills
1%
Cory Mills
FL-07 Republican nominee? · Cory Mills
62%
Nicki Minaj
Who will run for public office in 2026? · Nicki Minaj
6.1%
Jason Miyares
Virginia Republican Senate nominee? · Jason Miyares
2.1%
Ashley Moody
Florida Republican Senate nominee? · Ashley Moody
+0.1%98.7%
Wes Moore
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Wes Moore
-7%63%
Jared Moskowitz
FL-25 Democratic nominee? · Jared Moskowitz
76%
Samantha Mota
CA-37 House winner? · Samantha Mota
6%
Seth Moulton
Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee? · Seth Moulton
+2%26%
Hector Mujica
FL-28 Democratic nominee? · Hector Mujica
1%
Lisa Murkowski
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche? · Lisa Murkowski
33%
Chris Murphy
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Chris Murphy
67%
Phil Murphy
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Phil Murphy
29%
James Murray
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · James Murray
3%
Elon Musk
Who will visit the White House in 2026? · Elon Musk
70%
Lee Jae Myung
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Lee Jae Myung
4%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Benjamin Netanyahu
-2%37%
Gavin Newsom
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Gavin Newsom
84%
Angie Nixon
Florida Democratic Senate nominee? · Angie Nixon
11%
Beto O'Rourke
2028 Democratic VP nominee · Beto O'Rourke
1%
Michelle Obama
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Michelle Obama
10%
Barack Obama
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026? · Barack Obama
22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
+4%58%
Ilhan Omar
MN-05 Democratic nominee? · Ilhan Omar
98%
Matt Ortega
CA-14 special election winner · Matt Ortega
1%
Jon Ossoff
When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy? · Before Oct 1, 2027
66%
Candace Owens
Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026? · Candace Owens
12%
Mehmet Oz
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Mehmet Oz
19%
Reza Pahlavi
Who will visit the White House in 2026? · Reza Pahlavi
9.2%
Maria Pappas
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) · Maria Pappas
1%
Kash Patel
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Kash Patel
-3%40%
Jimmy Patronis
FL-01 Republican nominee? · Jimmy Patronis
96%
Rand Paul
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche? · Rand Paul
73%
Ken Paxton
Maine-Texas Senate Combo · Ken Paxton and Susan Collins
-1%36%
Nancy Pelosi
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms? · Before election day 2026
-1%6%
Mary Peltola
Alaska Senate: who will advance? · Mary Peltola
94%
Marine Le Pen
French presidential election: who will advance? · Marine Le Pen
49%
Gustavo Petro
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Gustavo Petro
98.5%
Édouard Philippe
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? · Édouard Philippe
90%
Dean Phillips
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Dean Phillips
29%
Bridget Phillipson
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Bridget Phillipson
39%
Graham Platner
When will Graham Platner officially withdraw? · Before Jul 14, 2026
95%
Jared Polis
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Jared Polis
+3%40%
Jerome Powell
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? · Before Jan 31, 2028
90%
Spencer Pratt
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Spencer Pratt
19%
J.B. Pritzker
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · J.B. Pritzker
74%
Bill Pulte
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Bill Pulte
31%
Vladimir Putin
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Vladimir Putin
+2%37%
Gina Raimondo
2028 Democratic VP nominee · Gina Raimondo
1%
Cyril Ramaphosa
Which of these African leaders will leave office next? · Cyril Ramaphosa
3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Vivek Ramaswamy
21%
Reid Rasner
WY-AL Republican nominee? · Reid Rasner
5%
John Ratcliffe
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · John Ratcliffe
21%
Angela Rayner
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Angela Rayner
88%
Rachel Reeves
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Rachel Reeves
64%
Bruno Retailleau
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? · Bruno Retailleau
86%
Jonathan Reynolds
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Jonathan Reynolds
51%
Antonio Reynoso
NY-07 Democratic primary: Antonio Reynoso vote percent · At least 25%
99%
Luz Rivas
CA-29 primary: first place · Luz Rivas
99%
Kristin Robbins
Minnesota Republican Senate nominee? · Kristin Robbins
1%
Keonne Rodriguez
Who will Trump pardon? · Keonne Rodriguez
44%
Delcy Rodríguez
Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Delcy Rodríguez
-4%90%
Jorge Rodríguez
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Jorge Rodríguez
-1.9%1%
Mike Rogers
Michigan Republican Senate nominee? · Mike Rogers
-2.9%96%
Brooke Rollins
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Brooke Rollins
+2%22%
John Rose
Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries? · John Rose
9.8%
Yaakov Roth
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? · Yaakov Roth
1%
Marco Rubio
When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy? · Before Oct 1, 2027
64%
François Ruffin
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? · François Ruffin
74%
Mohammed bin Salman
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Mohammed bin Salman
-5%72%
Pedro Sánchez
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Pedro Sánchez
21%
Bernie Sanders
Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028? · Before November 4, 2028
14%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Sarah Huckabee Sanders
21%
Renan Santos
Who will run for President of Brazil? · Renan Santos
98.9%
Nicole Saphier
Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess? · Nicole Saphier
13%
Steve Scalise
LA-01 Republican nominee? · Steve Scalise
-1%12%
Adam Schiff
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? · Adam Schiff
25%
Jack Schlossberg
NY-12 Democratic primary: Jack Schlossberg vote percent · 10% - 15%
92%
Lance Schroyer
When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director? · Before Oct 1, 2026
10%
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
FL-20 Democratic nominee? · Debbie Wasserman Schultz
-8%37%
Erica Schwartz
When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director? · Before Jan 1, 2027
+9%78%
Nirav Shah
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? · Nirav Shah
6%
Josh Shapiro
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Josh Shapiro
75%
Claudia Sheinbaum
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Claudia Sheinbaum
+2%66%
Brad Sherman
CA-32 primary: first place · Brad Sherman
99%
Martin Shkreli
Who will Trump pardon? · Martin Shkreli
29%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election? · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
93%
Lula da Silva
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva, ≥15%
47%
Steve Simon
Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee? · Steve Simon
0.9%
Lateefah Simon
CA-12 primary: first place · Lateefah Simon
99%
Rakhi Israni Singh
CA-14 primary: first place · Rakhi Israni Singh
6%
Elissa Slotkin
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Elissa Slotkin
36%
Stephen A. Smith
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Stephen A. Smith
22%
Robin Smith
Who will Trump pardon? · Robin Smith
34%
Edward Snowden
Who will Trump pardon? · Edward Snowden
41%
Keir Starmer
Which G7 leader will leave next? · Keir Starmer
+0.7%98.9%
Elise Stefanik
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Elise Stefanik
11%
Bryan Steil
WI-01 Republican nominee? · Bryan Steil
98%
Haley Stevens
Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place · Haley Stevens
-6%81%
Jon Stewart
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Jon Stewart
18%
Wes Streeting
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Wes Streeting
48%
Dan Sullivan
Alaska Senate election margin of victory · Dan Sullivan, 0-3%
18%
Dan J. Sullivan
Alaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round) · At least 0.1%
92%
John Sununu
New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory? · John Sununu, ≥10%
85%
Sanae Takaichi
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026? · Sanae Takaichi
70%
James Talarico
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? · James Talarico
69%
Andrew Tate
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election? · Before 2035
3.6%
Peter Thiel
Who will leave California before 2027? · Peter Thiel
57%
Mike Thompson
CA-04 primary: first place · Mike Thompson
99%
Larry Thompson
CA-32 primary: first place · Larry Thompson
10%
John Thune
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche? · John Thune
78%
Thom Tillis
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche? · Thom Tillis
+9%70%
Bola Tinubu
Nigerian presidential election winner? · Bola Tinubu
60%
Rashida Tlaib
MI-12 Democratic nominee? · Rashida Tlaib
98%
Donald Trump
Will Trump pardon any members of his family? · Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029?
68%
Donald J. Trump
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Donald J. Trump
8.4%
Ivanka Trump
Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? · Ivanka Trump
18%
Eric Trump
Who will Trump pardon? · Eric Trump
-4%48%
Lara Trump
2028 Republican presidential nominee · Lara Trump
1%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Donald J. Trump Jr.
21%
Félix Tshisekedi
Which of these African leaders will leave office next? · Félix Tshisekedi
3.8%
Josh Turek
Iowa Senate winner? (Person) · Josh Turek
-8%37%
Scott Turner
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Scott Turner
15%
Kim Jong Un
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Kim Jong Un
+1%20%
Claire Valdez
NY-07 Democratic primary margin of victory? · Claire Valdez, ≥15%
99%
Paul Vallas
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027) · Paul Vallas
11%
J.D. Vance
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · J.D. Vance
+1%80%
JD Vance
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? · Before Oct 1, 2027
74%
Mai Vang
CA-07 primary: first place · Mai Vang
-2%97%
Roger Ver
Who will Trump pardon? · Roger Ver
13%
Dominique de Villepin
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? · Dominique de Villepin
56%
Russell Vought
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Russell Vought
18%
Aisha Wahab
CA-14 primary: first place · Aisha Wahab
99%
Zach Wahls
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms? · Zach Wahls
8.1%
Mike Waltz
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? · Mike Waltz
3%
Tim Walz
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Tim Walz
13%
Raphael Warnock
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? · Raphael Warnock
44%
Elizabeth Warren
2028 Democratic VP nominee · Elizabeth Warren
1%
Catherine West
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? · Catherine West
3%
Gretchen Whitmer
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028? · Gretchen Whitmer
-1%25%
Scott Wiener
CA-11 primary: first place · Scott Wiener
99%
Ben Wikler
Who will be the next DNC Chair? · Ben Wikler
5%
Susie Wiles
Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner? · Susie Wiles
48%
Steve Witkoff
Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia? · Before Jan 1, 2027
53%
Julie Won
NY-07 Democratic primary: Julie Won vote percent · At least 5%
99%
Luke Worley
Clacton by-election: 4th place · Luke Worley
+4%13%
Chris Wright
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Chris Wright
25%
Pope Leo XIV
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? · Pope Leo XIV
25%
Andrew Yang
2028 Democratic VP nominee · Andrew Yang
1%
Mansur Yavaş
Turkish presidential election winner? · Mansur Yavaş
6%
Glenn Youngkin
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Glenn Youngkin
43%
Lee Zeldin
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? · Lee Zeldin
30%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Who will visit the White House in 2026? · Volodymyr Zelenskyy
60%
Romeu Zema
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place · Romeu Zema
14%
Éric Zemmour
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? · Éric Zemmour
83%
Mark Zuckerberg
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026? · Mark Zuckerberg
33%