All markets

Every active prediction market, grouped by category

1193 events

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

44 options

28%
+1%

2028 Republican presidential nominee

34 options

37%
-0.7%

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

25 options

20%
+1%

Donald Trump out as President?

4 options

41%
+0.9%

2028 Democratic VP nominee

45 options

9%
-0.2%

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

34 options

86%
+4%

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

1 option

25%
-1%

Who will Trump pardon?

49 options

63%
+5%

Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

1 option

31%
+1%

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)

2 options

58%

Will Trump resign during his term?

1 option

20%
-5%

2026: Trump's bad year?

1 option

19%
-1%

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

1 option

69%
-1%

2028 Presidential matchup

16 options

13%
+1%

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

8 options

93.2%
+3%

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

29 options

83%
-2%

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

30 options

32%
+1%

2028 Republican VP nominee

21 options

27%
+1%

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

10 options

20%
+0.1%

Who will visit the White House in 2026?

26 options

79%
+2%

How many ties will J.D. Vance break in 2026?

10 options

22%
-0.5%

Will Trump declare an election emergency?

4 options

41%
+1%

2026: Trump's dream year?

1 option

6.1%

Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?

11 options

71%
+3%

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

19 options

93.3%
+1%

Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?

1 option

59%

Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?

1 option

7%
+1%

When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?

4 options

68%
+2%

Will Trump attend any White House Correspondents Dinner?

1 option

91%
+1%

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

32 options

6%
-1%

Will Trump pardon any members of his family?

1 option

70%
-1%

Will Rubio and Vance run for President?

1 option

56%
+1%

Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?

9 options

41%

Will Trump run for a third term?

3 options

22%

How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?

4 options

80%
+1%

How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

8 options

34%
+1%

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?

1 option

10%

Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?

1 option

4.3%

Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?

1 option

12%

When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?

4 options

52%

Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?

1 option

11%
-1%

Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?

1 option

8%
+3%

2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee

11 options

12%
+2.1%

2028 Green Presidential nominee

6 options

22%

Will the 2028 presidential election occur?

1 option

90.1%

How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?

5 options

25%

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?

4 options

73%

Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?

1 option

11%

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?

1 option

25%

Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?

12 options

35%

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

5 options

28%

Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?

1 option

19%

Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?

1 option

15%

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

2 options

60%
+2%

Maine Democratic Senate nominee?

7 options

87%
+1.2%

South Carolina Senate winner?

2 options

76%
+11%

Texas Senate winner?

2 options

57%

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

9 options

63%
-6%

2026 Texas Senate matchup?

2 options

61%
+3%

Ohio Senate winner? (Special)

2 options

58%
-1%

Florida Senate winner?

2 options

84%

Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory

10 options

30%
+4%

Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?

7 options

62%
-2%

Nebraska Senate winner?

3 options

70%
+1%

Alaska Senate winner? (Party)

2 options

59%
+2%

Montana Senate winner?

3 options

78%
-2.1%

Iowa Senate winner?

2 options

61%

Maine Senate winner?

2 options

71%

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

5 options

56%
-2%

North Carolina Senate winner?

2 options

85%
+1%

Florida Republican Senate nominee?

10 options

91.1%
-1.2%

Michigan Senate winner?

2 options

78%

Idaho Senate winner?

2 options

93%
+0.1%

Georgia Senate winner?

2 options

83%
+1%

Texas Senate: Exact outcome

4 options

35%
-4%

Closest Senate race in 2026?

11 options

15%
-1.5%

Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

12 options

16%
+11%

New Hampshire Senate winner?

2 options

84%

Will Janet Mills drop out of the Maine Senate Democratic primary in Apr 2026?

1 option

12%
-1%

2026 Democratic Senate primaries combo

1 option

28%

Minnesota Senate winner?

2 options

90%

Colorado Republican Senate nominee?

5 options

43%
-3.7%

Georgia Republican Senate nominee?

9 options

87%
+1%

Ohio Republican Senate nominee?

15 options

97.2%

Louisiana Democratic Senate nominee?

3 options

70%
-1%

Alabama Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

91.2%

North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

55%
+1%

Idaho Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

82%

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

10 options

75%

Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

88%
-0.1%

Ohio Democratic Senate nominee?

4 options

98.1%

Virginia Republican Senate nominee?

8 options

50%
-2.9%

South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

91%
-0.1%

Kansas Senate winner?

2 options

87%
-0.1%

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

7 options

33%
-2%

Oklahoma Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

86%
+0.2%

Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

86%

South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

79%

Kansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

72%

Illinois Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

91%

Florida Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

80%

Alaska Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

72%
-1%

Illinois Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

13 options

97.1%

2026 Republican Senate primaries combo

1 option

50%
+2%

Ohio Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

60%

Iowa Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

61%

Wyoming Senate winner?

2 options

91.9%

West Virginia Senate winner?

2 options

93%

Virginia Senate winner?

2 options

92.1%

Tennessee Senate winner?

2 options

92.6%

South Dakota Senate winner?

2 options

92.4%
+0.1%

Rhode Island Senate winner?

2 options

93.1%

Oregon Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

89%

Oregon Senate winner?

2 options

95.1%

Oklahoma Senate winner?

2 options

95.1%

New Mexico Senate winner?

2 options

94.5%
+0.4%

New Jersey Senate winner?

2 options

92.1%
+0.1%

New Hampshire Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

86%

Mississippi Senate winner?

2 options

90.7%

Massachusetts Senate winner?

2 options

95.1%

Kentucky Senate winner?

2 options

90.1%

Illinois Senate winner?

2 options

92.8%
-2.3%

Georgia Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

65%

Delaware Senate winner?

2 options

93.9%
-1%

Colorado Senate winner? (2028)

2 options

87%

Colorado Senate winner?

2 options

93%
+0.3%

Arkansas Senate winner?

2 options

93.9%

Alabama Senate winner?

2 options

93%

Wyoming Republican Senate nominee?

3 options

88%

Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee?

4 options

53%

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

4 options

86%

New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?

6 options

90%
-1%

Nebraska Democratic Senate nominee?

2 options

88%

Maine Republican Senate nominee?

2 options

93.2%

Massachusetts Republican Senate nominee?

4 options

83%

Louisiana Senate winner?

2 options

93%

Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?

10 options

30%
-1%

Florida Democratic Senate nominee?

8 options

87%
+1%

Delaware Republican Senate nominee?

2 options

50%

Who will Murkowski endorse in the Alaska Senate race?

1 option

4%

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

4 options

69%

Louisiana Senate primaries: which will be won outright?

2 options

80%

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

9 options

85%

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

1 option

68%

Which party will win the U.S. House?

2 options

85%

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

11 options

46%
+5%

IN-07 Republican nominee?

2 options

66%
+8%

GA-14 special election runoff: margin of victory

9 options

98.4%
-0.7%

CA-47 primary: Who will advance?

9 options

89%
-36%

NJ-11 Special Election winner?

2 options

98.6%
-0.1%

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

12 options

23%
+3%

CO-01 Democratic nominee?

3 options

70%
-3.4%

2026 NJ-11 special election margin of victory?

7 options

36%
-5%

CA-04 primary advancers?

6 options

96.5%
-0.1%

2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

10 options

20%
+0.1%

TX-35 House winner?

2 options

52%
-2%

NY-09 House winner?

2 options

97%
+0.1%

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?

7 options

72%
+1%

CA-30 primary: Who will advance?

7 options

86%
-12.4%

CA-43 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

93.9%
-29%

PA-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

90.1%
-2.7%

AL-01 Republican nominee?

7 options

58%
+4%

Who will advance from the CA-11 primary?

9 options

87%
-1%

TX-33 Democratic nominee?

3 options

71%

CO-05 House winner?

2 options

65%
+4%

CA-20 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

93.9%
-25%

CA-15 primary: Who will advance?

5 options

98.7%
+12.7%

KY-02 Democratic nominee?

4 options

56%

ID-02 Democratic nominee?

2 options

98.9%
+8.9%

FL-05 House winner?

2 options

90%
+1.5%

GA-03 House winner?

2 options

94.3%
-0.7%

NY-17 Democratic nominee?

8 options

56%
-4%

KY-06 Republican nominee?

5 options

55%
+7%

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

10 options

19%
-10%

CA-17 primary: Who will advance?

6 options

91.9%
-8.8%

Will Cory Mills leave the House before the midterms?

1 option

14%
-1%

LA-05 Democratic nominee?

5 options

50%
+13%

PA-17 Republican nominee?

2 options

92.9%
-4.8%

SC-01 House winner?

2 options

80%

KY-06 House winner?

2 options

78%
-1%

GA-07 House winner?

2 options

90.2%
+1.3%

GA-08 House winner?

2 options

95%
+0.1%

FL-22 House winner?

2 options

64%
-2%

OK-05 House winner?

2 options

91.3%
-1.1%

IN-09 Democratic nominee?

4 options

86%

NE-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

82%

NY-07 Democratic nominee?

9 options

74%
+6%

WI-08 House winner?

2 options

79%
+1%

PA-09 House winner?

2 options

95.5%
-1.2%

OH-07 Democratic nominee?

8 options

82%
+4%

IN-04 Republican nominee?

3 options

79%
-7%

MI-06 House winner?

2 options

95.2%
-0.9%

LA-04 House winner?

2 options

95.4%
-0.9%

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

8 options

30%
+2.8%

NY-17 House winner?

2 options

62%
-1%

MO-01 House winner?

2 options

90.7%
+1.7%

GA-12 House winner?

2 options

89%
-1.3%

WA-10 House winner?

2 options

94.7%
-1.2%

TX-36 House winner?

2 options

91.4%
-1%

TX-30 House winner?

2 options

95.4%
-0.9%

TX-01 House winner?

2 options

95%
+0.5%

RI-01 House winner?

2 options

95.4%
-0.9%

PA-12 House winner?

2 options

94.3%
+0.8%

PA-11 House winner?

2 options

92.4%
-0.9%

PA-06 House winner?

2 options

96.3%
-0.8%

OR-06 House winner?

2 options

94.7%
-1.2%

OR-01 House winner?

2 options

96.3%
-0.7%

NY-16 House winner?

2 options

96.3%
-0.8%

NY-06 House winner?

2 options

95.3%
+0.8%

NJ-04 House winner?

2 options

94.3%
-0.9%

MS-02 House winner?

2 options

95.7%
-0.5%

MO-07 House winner?

2 options

95.3%
-0.8%

MI-12 House winner?

2 options

96.3%
-0.8%

MI-05 House winner?

2 options

93.4%
-0.9%

MD-04 House winner?

2 options

96.3%
-0.8%

KY-04 House winner?

2 options

94.3%
-0.9%

IL-04 House winner?

2 options

96.4%
-1%

GA-01 House winner?

2 options

89%
-1.4%

FL-12 House winner?

2 options

93.5%
+1%

DE-AL House winner?

2 options

96.3%
-0.8%

CT-03 House winner?

2 options

95.4%
-0.9%

CO-06 House winner?

2 options

95.4%
-0.9%

CA-51 House winner?

2 options

96.3%
-0.9%

CA-31 House winner?

2 options

96.3%
-0.9%

CA-10 House winner?

2 options

95.2%
+0.8%

CA-02 House winner?

2 options

95.7%
-0.5%

MN-03 House winner?

2 options

95.6%
+1.1%

FL-25 House winner?

2 options

63%
+1%

TX-24 Democratic nominee?

3 options

92.4%
-1%

MT-01 House winner?

2 options

57%
-1%

OH-01 Republican nominee?

4 options

57%
+3%

LA-05 Republican nominee?

7 options

83%
+1.4%

TX-38 Republican nominee?

10 options

90.5%
-2.5%

OK-01 House winner?

2 options

91.1%
+0.3%

CA-28 House winner?

2 options

91.8%
-0.6%

WV-02 Democratic nominee?

3 options

51%
-6.3%

KY-02 Republican nominee?

3 options

95.1%
+0.1%

WI-07 House winner?

2 options

91%

KY-01 Republican nominee?

4 options

94.1%
+1%

VA-05 House winner?

2 options

72%
-1%

NY-12 Democratic nominee?

20 options

46%
-3%

GA-09 House winner?

2 options

95.8%
+0.3%

OH-06 Democratic nominee?

8 options

54%

TX-16 Republican nominee?

7 options

78%
+3%

NJ-11 House winner?

2 options

93.9%
+0.3%

MD-03 House winner?

2 options

95.1%
-0.4%

GA-11 House winner?

2 options

90.4%
-0.5%

OH-15 Democratic nominee?

2 options

86%
-1.3%

OH-13 Republican nominee?

4 options

71%
-0.8%

OH-05 Democratic nominee?

4 options

91%
+12%

TX-20 House winner?

2 options

92.9%
-0.3%

FL-14 House winner?

2 options

59%

CA-06 primary: Who will advance?

7 options

87%
+6%

CA-01 primary: Who will advance?

7 options

79%
+5.5%

ME-02 Democratic nominee?

5 options

53%
-1%

TX-23 House winner?

2 options

69%
+1%

AZ-01 Republican nominee?

8 options

74%
-5%

TX-05 Democratic nominee?

3 options

78%

NJ-02 House winner?

2 options

74%
-1%

DC Democratic House delegate nominee?

10 options

50%

IN-04 Democratic nominee?

9 options

50%
-1%

TX-09 Republican nominee?

9 options

72%
+2%

CA-13 House winner?

2 options

66%

TX-37 Republican nominee?

3 options

48%

CA-07 primary: Who will advance?

6 options

87%

KS-04 House winner?

2 options

90.1%
+0.3%

TX-15 House winner?

2 options

54%
-1%

FL-23 House winner?

2 options

65%

NY-04 Republican nominee?

7 options

23%
-0.4%

TX-35 Republican nominee?

11 options

77%
+1%

OH-10 Democratic nominee?

6 options

86%
+1%

SC-07 House winner?

2 options

93.3%

SC-02 House winner?

2 options

89%
-1%

OH-02 House winner?

2 options

96.2%
-0.2%

MS-04 House winner?

2 options

96.3%
+0.3%

CA-52 House winner?

2 options

96.2%
-0.1%

AR-03 House winner?

2 options

94.3%
+0.2%

WI-02 House winner?

2 options

95.1%
-0.9%

Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?

1 option

16%

ME-01 House winner?

2 options

95.5%
-0.5%

IN-05 House winner?

2 options

88%
-1%

MD-06 House winner?

2 options

87%

TX-09 House winner?

2 options

68%

MA-02 House winner?

2 options

96.8%

TX-34 House winner?

2 options

60%
-2%

OR-02 Republican nominee?

3 options

94.7%

NV-02 Republican nominee?

15 options

63%
-1%

Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?

1 option

13%

IN-03 House winner?

2 options

90.5%
-2%

OH-11 Democratic nominee?

5 options

96%

WI-03 House winner?

2 options

69%
+1%

How many House Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

8 options

16%
-1%

KY-01 House winner?

2 options

94.9%
+0.1%

NC-01 House winner?

2 options

52%

IN-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

97%
-1%

TX-32 Republican nominee?

9 options

95.1%

PA-13 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

NY-26 House winner?

2 options

95.2%
+0.1%

ND-AL House winner?

2 options

92.3%

MT-02 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

UT-01 Democratic nominee?

9 options

51%

GA-05 Democratic nominee?

2 options

94%

WI-05 House winner?

2 options

91.1%
-0.1%

MO-02 House winner?

2 options

83%

2026 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?

9 options

27%

TX-12 House winner?

2 options

85%

PA-16 House winner?

2 options

86%

NH-02 House winner?

2 options

86%

MO-03 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

VA-10 House winner?

2 options

87%
+1%

TX-04 House winner?

2 options

90.2%

KY-05 House winner?

2 options

95.7%

Who will advance in the CA-48 primary?

4 options

89%
-2%

OH-06 House winner?

2 options

88%
+0.2%

NY-05 House winner?

2 options

91%

MN-04 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

MD-01 House winner?

2 options

83%

CA-14 primary: Who will advance?

9 options

91.9%
+2.9%

Will Don Bacon resign his office before the midterms?

1 option

3%

WI-06 House winner?

2 options

88%
+0.2%

CA-45 primary: Who will advance?

6 options

89%
-4.8%

NY-15 Democratic nominee?

2 options

86%
-1%

NY-10 Democratic nominee?

5 options

82%

KY-05 Republican nominee?

5 options

82%
+1%

OH-07 House winner?

2 options

80%

GA-12 Democratic nominee?

5 options

39%

GA-01 Democratic nominee?

8 options

49%
+1%

CA-31 primary: Who will advance?

3 options

91%
+4%

CA-24 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

93.9%
+7.9%

ME-02 House winner?

2 options

52%

WV-01 Republican nominee?

2 options

95.2%

WV-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

78%

VA-02 Democratic nominee?

7 options

81%

UT-03 Republican nominee?

2 options

57%

TX-35 Democratic nominee?

4 options

61%
+59.9%

TX-33 Republican nominee?

5 options

96.1%
-2%

TX-30 Republican nominee?

4 options

80%

TX-19 Republican nominee?

7 options

88%

TX-17 Democratic nominee?

3 options

89%
-1%

TX-14 Democratic nominee?

3 options

77%

TX-07 Republican nominee?

4 options

89%
-1%

TX-01 Democratic nominee?

4 options

84%

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

8 options

26%
-3.5%

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

2 options

61%

Will Nancy Mace resign before the midterms?

1 option

10%

PA-12 Democratic nominee?

2 options

95.6%

PA-10 Democratic nominee?

2 options

90.1%

Pennsylvania State House winner?

2 options

87%

OR-05 Republican nominee?

2 options

88%

OR-05 Democratic nominee?

2 options

94.6%

OR-04 Republican nominee?

2 options

93.9%

OR-04 Democratic nominee?

4 options

87%

OR-03 Democratic nominee?

3 options

91.5%

OR-02 Democratic nominee?

6 options

42%

OR-01 Republican nominee?

2 options

63%

OR-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

96.8%
-0.3%

OH-15 Republican nominee?

3 options

96%

OH-14 Republican nominee?

2 options

96%

OH-14 Democratic nominee?

3 options

87%

OH-12 Democratic nominee?

3 options

87%

OH-08 Democratic nominee?

3 options

60%

OH-06 Republican nominee?

2 options

96%

OH-05 Republican nominee?

3 options

96%
-2%

OH-04 Democratic nominee?

2 options

96%
-1.1%

OH-03 Democratic nominee?

2 options

96%

OH-02 Republican nominee?

2 options

96%

OH-02 Democratic nominee?

2 options

69%
+1%

OH-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

95.2%

NY-08 Democratic nominee?

3 options

93%
-1%

NV-02 Democratic nominee?

11 options

29%

Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?

3 options

75%

NE-03 Republican nominee?

2 options

94%

IL-09 Democratic primary margin of victory?

9 options

92%
-1%

MO-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

57%
+1%

MI-13 Democratic nominee?

5 options

55%

MD-05 Democratic nominee?

24 options

48%

Will Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick leave the House before the midterms?

1 option

85%

LA-06 Republican nominee?

4 options

62%

LA-04 Republican nominee?

3 options

96%

LA-04 Democratic nominee?

2 options

60%

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

3 options

49%

LA-02 Democratic nominee?

2 options

96%

LA-01 Republican nominee?

2 options

94%

LA-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

97%

KY-06 Democratic nominee?

7 options

59%
+2%

KY-04 Democratic nominee?

2 options

89%
+1%

KY-03 Republican nominee?

4 options

70%

IN-08 Democratic nominee?

4 options

92.3%

IN-07 Democratic nominee?

4 options

93.1%

IN-06 Republican nominee?

2 options

96%

IN-06 Democratic nominee?

4 options

90.9%

IN-05 Republican nominee?

2 options

97%

IN-05 Democratic nominee?

7 options

89%

IN-03 Republican nominee?

2 options

94.6%

IN-02 Democratic nominee?

2 options

90%

IN-01 Republican nominee?

3 options

96%

ID-02 Republican nominee?

3 options

92.3%
+0.4%

ID-01 Republican nominee?

3 options

92%

ID-01 Democratic nominee?

2 options

98%
-1%

How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?

3 options

69%

WA-08 House winner?

2 options

90%

UT-03 House winner?

2 options

86%

UT-02 House winner?

2 options

87%

UT-01 House winner?

2 options

85%

TX-32 House winner?

2 options

83%

WY-AL House winner?

2 options

93.8%

WV-02 House winner?

2 options

94.2%

WV-01 House winner?

2 options

93.4%

WI-04 House winner?

2 options

96%

WA-09 House winner?

2 options

94.6%

WA-07 House winner?

2 options

96.2%
+0.1%

WA-06 House winner?

2 options

96.6%

WA-05 House winner?

2 options

78%

WA-04 House winner?

2 options

85%

WA-02 House winner?

2 options

96.1%
+0.1%

WA-01 House winner?

2 options

93.9%

Vermont House winner?

2 options

96.3%

VA-11 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

VA-09 House winner?

2 options

94.3%

VA-08 House winner?

2 options

91.1%
+0.1%

VA-06 House winner?

2 options

78%

VA-04 House winner?

2 options

94.1%

VA-03 House winner?

2 options

94.9%

UT-04 House winner?

2 options

94.7%

TX-38 House winner?

2 options

88%

TX-37 House winner?

2 options

94%

TX-33 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

TX-31 House winner?

2 options

85%

TX-29 House winner?

2 options

92.7%

TX-27 House winner?

2 options

88%

TX-26 House winner?

2 options

90.2%
-0.2%

TX-25 House winner?

2 options

89%

TX-24 House winner?

2 options

78%

TX-22 House winner?

2 options

87%

TX-21 House winner?

2 options

87%

TX-19 House winner?

2 options

92.8%

TX-18 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

TX-17 House winner?

2 options

84%

TX-16 House winner?

2 options

95.6%

TX-14 House winner?

2 options

91.1%

TX-13 House winner?

2 options

95%

TX-11 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

TX-10 House winner?

2 options

87%

TX-08 House winner?

2 options

92.1%

TX-07 House winner?

2 options

94.1%

TX-06 House winner?

2 options

92.3%

TX-05 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

TX-03 House winner?

2 options

90.9%

TX-02 House winner?

2 options

89%

TN-09 House winner?

2 options

96.1%

TN-08 House winner?

2 options

94.9%

TN-07 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

TN-06 House winner?

2 options

95.2%

TN-05 House winner?

2 options

81%

TN-04 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

TN-03 House winner?

2 options

94.1%

TN-02 House winner?

2 options

95.4%

TN-01 House winner?

2 options

97.1%

SD-AL House winner?

2 options

94.5%

SC-06 House winner?

2 options

92.6%

SC-05 House winner?

2 options

92.7%

SC-04 House winner?

2 options

92.3%

SC-03 House winner?

2 options

96.8%
+0.1%

RI-02 House winner?

2 options

96.1%

PA-15 House winner?

2 options

93%

PA-14 House winner?

2 options

94.7%

PA-05 House winner?

2 options

93.1%

PA-04 House winner?

2 options

93.3%

PA-03 House winner?

2 options

97.5%
-1%

PA-02 House winner?

2 options

97.4%
-1%

OR-04 House winner?

2 options

94%

OR-03 House winner?

2 options

97.4%
-1%

OR-02 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

OK-04 House winner?

2 options

94.9%

OK-03 House winner?

2 options

91.2%

OK-02 House winner?

2 options

95.6%

OH-15 House winner?

2 options

77%

OH-14 House winner?

2 options

90.4%

OH-12 House winner?

2 options

92.3%

OH-11 House winner?

2 options

92.9%

OH-10 House winner?

2 options

73%
-1%

OH-08 House winner?

2 options

88%

OH-05 House winner?

2 options

89%

OH-04 House winner?

2 options

93.7%

OH-03 House winner?

2 options

96.1%
+0.1%

NY-25 House winner?

2 options

95%
+0.1%

NY-24 House winner?

2 options

85%

NY-23 House winner?

2 options

87%

NY-21 House winner?

2 options

76%

NY-20 House winner?

2 options

94.3%

NY-15 House winner?

2 options

96.9%

NY-14 House winner?

2 options

95.8%
+0.1%

NY-13 House winner?

2 options

97%
-1%

NY-12 House winner?

2 options

96.5%
+0.1%

NY-11 House winner?

2 options

82%

NY-10 House winner?

2 options

96.3%

NY-08 House winner?

2 options

96.4%
+0.1%

NY-07 House winner?

2 options

96.2%
+0.1%

NY-02 House winner?

2 options

74%

NY-01 House winner?

2 options

66%
-2%

NV-02 House winner?

2 options

76%
-2%

NM-03 House winner?

2 options

87%

NM-01 House winner?

2 options

91%

NJ-12 House winner?

2 options

94.1%

NJ-10 House winner?

2 options

96.2%

NJ-08 House winner?

2 options

93.9%

NJ-06 House winner?

2 options

93.4%

NJ-03 House winner?

2 options

89%

NJ-01 House winner?

2 options

94.9%

NE-03 House winner?

2 options

92.8%

NE-01 House winner?

2 options

82%

NC-14 House winner?

2 options

86%

NC-13 House winner?

2 options

87%

NC-12 House winner?

2 options

94.3%

NC-10 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

NC-09 House winner?

2 options

86%

NC-08 House winner?

2 options

91.6%

NC-07 House winner?

2 options

84%

NC-06 House winner?

2 options

86%

NC-05 House winner?

2 options

93.1%

NC-04 House winner?

2 options

96.2%
+0.1%

NC-03 House winner?

2 options

88%

NC-02 House winner?

2 options

94.7%

MS-03 House winner?

2 options

94.5%
+0.1%

MS-01 House winner?

2 options

96%

MO-08 House winner?

2 options

96.7%

MO-06 House winner?

2 options

95.1%

MO-04 House winner?

2 options

89%

MN-08 House winner?

2 options

77%

MN-07 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

MN-06 House winner?

2 options

83%
-1%

MN-05 House winner?

2 options

91.6%

MN-01 House winner?

2 options

57%

MI-13 House winner?

2 options

96.1%
+0.1%

MI-11 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

MI-09 House winner?

2 options

93%

MI-02 House winner?

2 options

96.2%

MI-01 House winner?

2 options

87%

MD-08 House winner?

2 options

96.9%
+0.1%

MD-07 House winner?

2 options

96.3%
+0.1%

MD-05 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

MD-02 House winner?

2 options

92.5%

MA-09 House winner?

2 options

95%

MA-08 House winner?

2 options

96.3%
+0.1%

MA-07 House winner?

2 options

97%

MA-06 House winner?

2 options

94.2%

MA-05 House winner?

2 options

97.5%
-1%

MA-04 House winner?

2 options

96.4%
+0.1%

MA-03 House winner?

2 options

95%

MA-01 House winner?

2 options

95.1%

LA-06 House winner?

2 options

92.7%

LA-05 House winner?

2 options

93%
-0.1%

LA-03 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

LA-02 House winner?

2 options

97.5%
-1%

LA-01 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

KY-03 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

KY-02 House winner?

2 options

94.4%

KS-03 House winner?

2 options

88%

KS-02 House winner?

2 options

89%

KS-01 House winner?

2 options

94.2%

IN-09 House winner?

2 options

93.5%

IN-08 House winner?

2 options

89%

IN-06 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

IN-04 House winner?

2 options

95.4%

IN-02 House winner?

2 options

93%

IL-16 House winner?

2 options

92%

IL-15 House winner?

2 options

95.3%

IL-14 House winner?

2 options

94.1%
+0.1%

IL-13 House winner?

2 options

93.5%

IL-12 House winner?

2 options

92.6%

IL-11 House winner?

2 options

93.3%

IL-10 House winner?

2 options

94.3%

IL-09 House winner?

2 options

95%

IL-08 House winner?

2 options

92.2%

IL-07 House winner?

2 options

96.6%
+0.1%

IL-06 House winner?

2 options

92.5%
+0.1%

IL-05 House winner?

2 options

97%
-1%

IL-03 House winner?

2 options

97.2%
-1%

IL-02 House winner?

2 options

97.2%
-1%

IL-01 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

ID-02 House winner?

2 options

94.9%

ID-01 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

IA-04 House winner?

2 options

93.4%

IA-02 House winner?

2 options

51%

HI-02 House winner?

2 options

93.5%

HI-01 House winner?

2 options

96.6%
+0.1%

GA-14 House winner?

2 options

94.2%

GA-13 House winner?

2 options

95.9%

GA-10 House winner?

2 options

92.1%

GA-06 House winner?

2 options

96.8%
+0.1%

GA-05 House winner?

2 options

95.1%

GA-04 House winner?

2 options

96.9%
-0.2%

GA-02 House winner?

2 options

92.1%

FL-28 House winner?

2 options

88%

FL-27 House winner?

2 options

57%
+2%

FL-26 House winner?

2 options

90.1%

FL-24 House winner?

2 options

96.2%

FL-21 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

FL-20 House winner?

2 options

88%

FL-19 House winner?

2 options

91.9%

FL-18 House winner?

2 options

93.1%

FL-17 House winner?

2 options

90.5%

FL-16 House winner?

2 options

83%

FL-15 House winner?

2 options

83%

FL-11 House winner?

2 options

91.3%

FL-10 House winner?

2 options

89%

FL-09 House winner?

2 options

64%

FL-08 House winner?

2 options

91.8%

FL-07 House winner?

2 options

74%

FL-06 House winner?

2 options

93.8%

FL-04 House winner?

2 options

86%

FL-03 House winner?

2 options

92.1%

FL-02 House winner?

2 options

88%

FL-01 House winner?

2 options

92.2%

CT-04 House winner?

2 options

95.3%

CT-02 House winner?

2 options

95%

CT-01 House winner?

2 options

96.4%
+0.1%

CO-07 House winner?

2 options

94.4%

CO-04 House winner?

2 options

65%

CO-02 House winner?

2 options

92.3%

CO-01 House winner?

2 options

90.3%

CA-50 House winner?

2 options

91.8%

CA-48 House winner?

2 options

81%

CA-46 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

CA-44 House winner?

2 options

96.3%
+0.1%

CA-43 House winner?

2 options

96.8%

CA-42 House winner?

2 options

97.5%

CA-39 House winner?

2 options

92.4%

CA-38 House winner?

2 options

95.2%

CA-37 House winner?

2 options

92.7%

CA-36 House winner?

2 options

93%

CA-35 House winner?

2 options

96.2%
+0.1%

CA-34 House winner?

2 options

96.5%
+0.1%

CA-33 House winner?

2 options

94%

CA-32 House winner?

2 options

95.7%

CA-30 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

CA-29 House winner?

2 options

96.5%

CA-26 House winner?

2 options

91.5%

CA-25 House winner?

2 options

89%

CA-24 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

CA-23 House winner?

2 options

89%

CA-20 House winner?

2 options

93.6%

CA-19 House winner?

2 options

96.6%
+0.1%

CA-18 House winner?

2 options

96.5%
+0.1%

CA-17 House winner?

2 options

95.7%

CA-16 House winner?

2 options

95.7%
+0.1%

CA-15 House winner?

2 options

96%

CA-14 House winner?

2 options

93.4%

CA-12 House winner?

2 options

96.4%

CA-11 House winner?

2 options

96.6%
+0.1%

CA-08 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

CA-07 House winner?

2 options

94.5%

CA-06 House winner?

3 options

89%

CA-05 House winner?

2 options

87%

CA-04 House winner?

2 options

95%

CA-01 House winner?

2 options

93.9%

AZ-09 House winner?

2 options

89%

AZ-08 House winner?

2 options

83%

AZ-07 House winner?

2 options

94.4%

AZ-05 House winner?

2 options

87%

AZ-04 House winner?

2 options

89%

AZ-03 House winner?

2 options

96.4%
+0.1%

AR-04 House winner?

2 options

94%

AR-02 House winner?

2 options

83%

AR-01 House winner?

2 options

94.3%

AL-07 House winner?

2 options

96.9%
-1%

AL-06 House winner?

2 options

95.5%

AL-05 House winner?

2 options

89%

AL-04 House winner?

2 options

95.9%

AL-03 House winner?

2 options

95.4%

AL-02 House winner?

2 options

95.1%

AL-01 House winner?

2 options

97.1%
-1%

NC-11 House winner?

2 options

65%

MO-05 House winner?

2 options

65%

IN-07 House winner?

2 options

94.2%
+0.1%

GA-12 Republican nominee?

2 options

95%

GA-11 Democratic nominee?

2 options

56%

GA-10 Republican nominee?

3 options

90.2%
-1.6%

GA-10 Democratic nominee?

3 options

73%

GA-09 Democratic nominee?

2 options

69%

GA-08 Democratic nominee?

2 options

80%
+2%

GA-07 Democratic nominee?

4 options

55%

GA-06 Republican nominee?

2 options

86%

GA-04 Democratic nominee?

3 options

95.7%

GA-03 Democratic nominee?

2 options

93%
+1%

GA-14 Republican nominee?

9 options

98%

FL-23 Democratic nominee?

2 options

57%

CA-52 primary: Who will advance?

3 options

87%

CA-51 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

93.9%
+6.9%

CA-50 primary: Who will advance?

6 options

88%
+6%

CA-49 primary: Who will advance?

3 options

92%
+3%

CA-46 primary: Who will advance?

5 options

89%
+3%

CA-42 primary: Who will advance?

5 options

93.5%
+6.5%

CA-41 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

92.8%

CA-38 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

83%
+0.4%

CA-37 primary: Who will advance?

9 options

87%

CA-36 primary: Who will advance?

7 options

86%

CA-34 primary: Who will advance?

6 options

87%
+5%

CA-33 primary: Who will advance?

7 options

87%
-7.3%

CA-32 primary: Who will advance?

9 options

93.5%
+5.5%

CA-29 primary: Who will advance?

3 options

87%
-6.8%

CA-28 primary: Who will advance?

3 options

98%
+6.8%

CA-27 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

92.9%
+6.9%

CA-26 primary: Who will advance?

9 options

93.9%
+7.9%

CA-25 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

93.5%
+7.5%

CA-23 primary: Who will advance?

6 options

93.5%
+7.5%

CA-21 primary: Who will advance?

6 options

86%
+1%

CA-19 primary: Who will advance?

7 options

93%
+6%

CA-18 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

93%
+6%

CA-16 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

86%

CA-13 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

90%
+3%

CA-10 primary: Who will advance?

7 options

93.9%
+4.9%

CA-09 primary: Who will advance?

5 options

90%
+3%

CA-08 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

93.9%
+4.9%

CA-05 primary: Who will advance?

4 options

91%
-1%

CA-03 primary: Who will advance?

8 options

92.9%

CA-02 primary: Who will advance?

7 options

93.5%
+6.5%

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

8 options

40%

CA-17 winner? (Person)

6 options

75%

AL-06 Republican nominee?

2 options

95%

AL-05 Democratic nominee?

3 options

88%
+0.5%

AL-04 Republican nominee?

2 options

93.2%

AL-04 Democratic nominee?

2 options

79%
-4%

AL-03 Republican nominee?

2 options

95%

Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)

5 options

69%

WI-01 House winner?

2 options

65%

WA-03 House winner?

2 options

76%

VA-07 House winner?

2 options

87%

VA-02 House winner?

2 options

86%

VA-01 House winner?

2 options

75%

TX-28 House winner?

2 options

72%

PA-08 House winner?

2 options

67%

PA-07 House winner?

2 options

71%

PA-17 House winner?

2 options

84%

PA-10 House winner?

2 options

68%

PA-01 House winner?

2 options

58%

OR-5 House winner?

2 options

83%

OH-09 House winner?

2 options

64%

OH-13 House winner?

2 options

83%

OH-01 House winner?

2 options

75%

NY-04 House winner?

2 options

70%

NY-03 House winner?

2 options

76%

NY-22 House winner?

2 options

84%

NY-19 House winner?

2 options

77%

NY-18 House winner?

2 options

89%

NV-04 House winner?

2 options

88%

NV-03 House winner?

2 options

80%

NV-01 House winner?

2 options

85%

NM-02 House winner?

2 options

75%

NJ-09 House winner?

2 options

85%

NJ-07 House winner?

2 options

64%

NJ-05 House winner?

2 options

86%

NH-01 House winner?

2 options

80%

NE-02 House winner?

2 options

82%

MN-02 House winner?

2 options

87%

MI-08 House winner?

2 options

88%

MI-07 House winner?

2 options

80%

MI-04 House winner?

2 options

69%

MI-03 House winner?

2 options

87%

MI-10 House winner?

2 options

69%

IN-01 House winner?

2 options

82%

IL-17 House winner?

2 options

88%

IA-03 House winner?

2 options

66%

IA-01 House winner?

2 options

64%

FL-13 House winner?

2 options

73%

CT-05 House winner?

2 options

88%

CO-08 House winner?

2 options

68%

CO-03 House winner?

2 options

69%

CA-09 House winner?

2 options

88%

CA-49 House winner?

2 options

92.1%

CA-47 House winner?

2 options

94.4%

CA-45 House winner?

2 options

83%

CA-41 House winner?

2 options

93.8%

CA-40 House winner?

2 options

74%

CA-03 House winner?

2 options

89%

CA-27 House winner?

2 options

90.1%

CA-22 House winner?

2 options

65%

CA-21 House winner?

2 options

82%

AZ-06 House winner?

2 options

74%

AZ-02 House winner?

2 options

68%

AZ-01 House winner?

2 options

65%

Alaska House winner?

2 options

67%

California Governor winner?

25 options

52%
-36.8%

Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?

2 options

11%
-2%

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

9 options

85%
+0.8%

South Carolina Republican Governor nominee?

6 options

39%
-9%

Ohio Republican Governor nominee?

6 options

96.3%
+0.8%

California Governor primary: 1st place

8 options

42%
-26.2%

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

14 options

25%
-6%

California Governor winner? (Party)

2 options

85%
+2%

California Governor matchup?

15 options

57%
+33%

New York Governor winner?

2 options

90.1%

Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?

9 options

73%
+1%

Oregon Republican Governor nominee?

8 options

45%
+1%

California governor primary: 2nd place

10 options

47%
-29%

Texas Governor winner?

2 options

81%

Ohio Governor winner?

2 options

53%
-2%

Iowa Governor winner?

2 options

57%
-2%

Los Angeles mayor matchup

10 options

37%
-14%

Arizona Governor winner?

2 options

76%
-1%

Colorado Republican Governor nominee?

8 options

43%
+1%

Michigan Governor winner?

3 options

60%

California governor primary: 3rd place

10 options

29%
-22%

Kansas Republican Governor nominee?

8 options

45%
+4%

Florida Governor winner?

2 options

74%
+1%

Colorado Governor winner?

2 options

89%
+1%

California Lieutenant Governor winner?

9 options

67%
+0.6%

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

15 options

52%
+1%

New Hampshire Governor winner?

2 options

75%
-1%

New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee?

5 options

74%

Minnesota Governor winner?

2 options

90.1%
-0.1%

Georgia Republican Governor nominee?

6 options

66%
+2%

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

17 options

48%

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

7 options

88%
-2%

Maryland Republican Governor nominee?

9 options

46%
-4%

Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

10 options

94.1%
+0.1%

Massachusetts Governor winner?

2 options

88%

South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?

4 options

69%

Oregon Governor winner?

2 options

85%

Maine Governor winner?

2 options

82%

Maine Democratic Governor nominee?

11 options

41%
+2%

Wisconsin Governor winner?

2 options

82%

Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?

1 option

34%
+3%

Will Kamala Harris run for California Governor?

1 option

3.6%

Illinois Governor winner?

2 options

91.1%

Texas Lieutenant Governor winner?

2 options

95%

Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?

2 options

56%

Vermont Republican Governor nominee?

5 options

94%
-1%

Vermont Democratic Governor nominee?

7 options

29%
-1%

Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

2 options

71%

Pennsylvania Republican Governor nominee?

6 options

94.3%
-0.9%

Ohio Democratic Governor nominee?

8 options

98%

New York Republican Governor nominee?

4 options

92.3%
-0.7%

New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?

4 options

74%
+1%

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

8 options

56%

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

9 options

90.3%

Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?

8 options

47%

Kansas Democratic Governor nominee?

4 options

71%

Iowa Democratic Governor nominee?

3 options

97.1%

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

8 options

77%

Connecticut Republican Governor nominee?

3 options

56%

Colorado Democratic Governor nominee?

3 options

74%

Closest Governor race in 2026?

14 options

15%
-0.1%

Wyoming Governor winner?

2 options

92.1%

Vermont Governor Winner? (2028)

2 options

55%

Vermont Governor winner?

2 options

75%

Tennessee Governor winner?

2 options

90%
+1%

South Dakota Governor winner?

2 options

96%

South Carolina Governor winner?

2 options

90.1%

Rhode Island Governor winner?

2 options

89%

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

2 options

93%

Oklahoma Governor winner?

2 options

90.1%

Nevada Governor winner?

2 options

52%

New Mexico Governor winner?

2 options

91%

Maryland Governor winner?

2 options

91.1%

Kansas Governor winner?

2 options

63%
+1%

Idaho Governor winner?

2 options

92.6%

Hawaii Governor winner?

2 options

91.1%

Georgia Governor winner?

2 options

53%

Connecticut Governor winner?

2 options

90.8%

Who will win the governorship in Arkansas?

2 options

93.1%

Alabama Governor winner?

2 options

89%
+0.1%

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

1 option

91.9%
-0.7%

Virginia redistricting referendum margin of victory?

8 options

23%
+2%

2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

4 options

51%
+1%

Blue tsunami in 2026?

1 option

53%
+9%

Which bills will become law in 2026?

17 options

85%
+4%

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

5 options

76%
+17%

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

21 options

94%
-5.6%

Blue wave in 2026?

1 option

80%
+2%

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

8 options

39%
+1%

How many reconciliation bills will be passed in 2026?

3 options

57%
-7%

Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?

5 options

3.5%
+0.8%

Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?

1 option

10%

Will Tony Gonzales leave Congress before the midterms?

1 option

23%

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?

13 options

81%
+48%

Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?

6 options

20%

Will Congress override Trump's veto?

2 options

28%
-4%

Who will run for public office in 2026?

11 options

10%
-2.3%

Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?

14 options

90.1%
+0.1%

Will Democrats hold a midterm convention?

1 option

1%

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

1 option

36%

How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

6 options

13%

Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?

1 option

2%
-1.1%

Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?

1 option

13%

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

8 options

16%

Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?

1 option

8%

Will Republicans hold a midterm convention?

1 option

87%

Will any member of Congress be expelled before 2027?

1 option

34%

Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?

1 option

13%

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

10 options

32%
+3%

Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?

1 option

94.9%
+0.4%

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

4 options

74%

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

1 option

57%
-1%

Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will?

1 option

87%
-1%

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

5 options

66%

Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?

1 option

2%
+1%

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

34 options

19%
+1%

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?

1 option

1%

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about flag burning before 2027?

1 option

3.1%
+0.1%

Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?

1 option

6.8%
+0.1%

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

1 option

22%

Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

1 option

8%

Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?

1 option

24%

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

20 options

46%
-4%

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

33 options

81%
-3%

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

23 options

36%
+8%

Tulsi Gabbard out as Director of National Intelligence?

4 options

45%
-13%

When will Trump's Attorney General pick be announced?

8 options

79%
-6%

Will Tulsi Gabbard announce her departure as Director of National Intelligence?

4 options

50%
-10%

Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?

4 options

50%
+1%

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

4 options

58%
-3%

Will Kash Patel announce his departure as FBI Director?

4 options

30%
-23%

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

4 options

70%
+3%

Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer announce her departure as Secretary of Labor?

4 options

69%
-7%

Will Howard Lutnick announce his departure as Commerce Secretary?

4 options

39%
+5%

How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

6 options

56%
+2.2%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer out as Labor Secretary?

3 options

53%
+3%

How many Attorneys General will Trump have?

5 options

48%
-5%

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

10 options

82%
-3%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

16 options

44%
-3%

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?

5 options

53%
-1%

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

8 options

27%

Frank Bradley out as USSOCOM Commander?

2 options

9.9%

How long will the government shutdown last?

16 options

92.6%
+7%

When will DHS be funded again?

6 options

95.1%
+10%

US-Iran nuclear deal?

6 options

53%
-8%

Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?

2 options

20%
-1%

Will the SAVE Act become law?

1 option

11%
-1%

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

1 option

14%
+1%

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

2 options

35%
-1%

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

1 option

15%
-1%

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

33 options

55%
+3%

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

8 options

81%
-0.3%

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

5 options

52%
-7%

Who will be arrested before 2027?

23 options

40%
+1%

Will the US acquire any new territory?

4 options

35%
+4%

Wisconsin Supreme Court margin of victory?

9 options

98.3%
-0.8%

When will ICE removal operations be funded again?

4 options

67%
+7%

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

3 options

54%
-4%

Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?

6 options

28%
+4%

What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

7 options

5%

Will the US take control of any part of Canada?

1 option

12%

Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?

1 option

32%
+9%

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

1 option

37%
+3%

Will Trump recognize Taiwan?

1 option

19%
+3%

Will legislation restricting institutional single-family home investment become law in 2026?

1 option

56%
-3%

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

1 option

38%
+2%

Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks?

2 options

21%
-8%

Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?

4 options

53%
+3%

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

2 options

63%
-1%

How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?

12 options

13%
-3%

Will permitting reform become law in 2026?

1 option

37%
+2%

Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?

5 options

32%
-1%

How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

6 options

8%
-2.4%

Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?

1 option

40%
+1%

Will the Massachusetts rent control initiative pass?

1 option

56%
+4%

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

1 option

57%

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent in 2026?

1 option

13%

Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?

1 option

5%
-0.1%

Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?

1 option

37%

Will Trump release new UFO files before 2027?

1 option

73%

Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?

1 option

13%

Will Anthropic win its lawsuit against the Pentagon?

1 option

77%
-1%

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

3 options

56%
+2%

Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

1 option

74%
+1%

Georgia Republican Secretary of State nominee?

4 options

47%
+1%

Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?

1 option

7.2%
-4.8%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Rhode Island?

2 options

91.8%

How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?

5 options

7.6%
-1.7%

US test scores in Math in 2026?

3 options

55%
+1%

Will NYC buses become free before 2027?

1 option

12%
+1%

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration

3 options

98%
+1%

Will Trump expand the H1-B program?

1 option

30%

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

1 option

34%

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

16 options

10%

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

1 option

32%

Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?

1 option

23%
-1%

Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)

7 options

55%
-0.1%

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before 2027?

1 option

20%
-2%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Iowa?

2 options

52%

Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?

1 option

46%

Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?

10 options

76%
-0.1%

Deportations in 2026?

5 options

87%
-1%

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

3 options

73%
-2%

US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

1 option

34%
-2%

How many bills with Trump veto in 2026?

5 options

82%
+1%

When will the DOJ release Data Set 13?

2 options

35%

Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?

1 option

3%

South Carolina Attorney General winner?

2 options

91%

Will anyone be charged in the Minnesota daycare fraud scandal?

1 option

28%

Who will win the 2026 DC Democratic Mayoral Primary?

4 options

1%

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

10 options

33%
+1%

Will DC come under federal control in 2026?

1 option

7%

Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?

1 option

5.1%

Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?

1 option

18%

Who will win the Chicago mayoral election?

9 options

42%
-1%

Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?

1 option

24%

Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law?

2 options

13%

When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?

2 options

27%
-1%

Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?

6 options

15%

Will new tariffs become law?

2 options

5%

Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?

3 options

59%

Arizona Attorney General winner?

2 options

68%

Who will be Trump's ATF Director?

9 options

97%
-0.1%

Will the US Mint finalize a design for the Trump dollar before 2027?

1 option

37%

Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?

1 option

32%

US bans social media for children in 2026?

1 option

8%

Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?

1 option

14%

Wisconsin Secretary of State winner?

2 options

74%

Ohio Secretary of State winner?

2 options

80%

Nevada Secretary of State winner?

2 options

79%

Indiana Secretary of State winner?

2 options

74%

Georgia Secretary of State winner?

2 options

57%

Arizona Secretary of State winner?

2 options

81%

Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026?

1 option

23%

Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?

3 options

94.4%

Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?

1 option

12%
+1%

Will New York tax QSBS gains?

1 option

10%

Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?

1 option

14%
-1%

Will Mamdani tax billionaires before 2027?

1 option

12%

Will Mamdani raise property taxes?

1 option

23%

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

1 option

17%

Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?

1 option

35%
-1%

Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?

1 option

23%
-1%

How many government shutdowns in 2026?

4 options

53%

Will the nickel be discontinued?

1 option

2.1%

Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?

1 option

35%

North Carolina Supreme Court winner?

2 options

65%

Will the Jones Act be repealed?

1 option

14%

Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?

1 option

30%

Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?

1 option

19%

Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?

1 option

20%

Will Georgia officially switch to permanent daylight saving time?

1 option

16%

Who will the FTC go after next?

5 options

3.1%
+0.1%

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement?

1 option

46%

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

1 option

5%

Will E-Verify be expanded in 2026?

1 option

30%

Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach 270 electoral votes before 2030?

1 option

3.1%

Will the Drain the Swamp Act become law?

1 option

2.1%
+0.1%

Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?

1 option

7%
+2%

Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?

1 option

15%

Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?

1 option

29%
+3%

Will Brendan Carr leave as FCC chair before 2027?

1 option

16%

Will Trump impose capital controls?

1 option

18%

Who will leave California before 2027?

7 options

64%
-1%

Wisconsin Attorney General winner?

2 options

80%
+1%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Vermont?

2 options

88%

Texas Attorney General winner?

2 options

80%

South Dakota Attorney General winner?

2 options

95.1%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Oklahoma?

2 options

92%

Ohio Attorney General winner?

2 options

74%

New York Attorney General winner?

2 options

93.3%

Nevada Attorney General winner?

2 options

76%

Who will win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

2 options

92.8%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?

2 options

88%

Who will win the Attorney General race in North Dakota?

2 options

92%

Minnesota Attorney General winner?

2 options

86%

Michigan Attorney General winner?

2 options

75%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Maryland?

2 options

95%

Massachusetts Attorney General winner?

2 options

94%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Kansas?

2 options

65%

Illinois Attorney General winner?

2 options

89%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Idaho?

2 options

96%

Georgia Attorney General winner?

2 options

50%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Florida?

2 options

82%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Delaware?

2 options

89%

Connecticut Attorney General winner?

2 options

90%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Colorado?

2 options

83%

Arkansas Attorney General winner?

2 options

92%

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas in 2026? (Blexas)

1 option

38%

When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia?

2 options

1%

Will AI regulation become law in 2026?

1 option

14%
-1%

Oklahoma Republican Attorney General nominee?

2 options

75%

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

4 options

39%
-1%

Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029?

1 option

20%

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

1 option

4%

Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election?

2 options

71%
+1%

Peru presidential election matchup

15 options

27%
+12%

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

4 options

27%
-2%

Hungary parliamentary election: TISZA number of seats?

8 options

96.5%
+11%

Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

18 options

67%
+4%

Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?

36 options

95.2%
+5%

Hungary parliamentary election: Fidesz–KDNP number of seats?

8 options

89%
-12%

Margin of victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election?

11 options

20%
+9.3%

When will Trump visit China?

7 options

84%
+3%

Peru presidential election: first round second place?

9 options

25%
+8%

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

3 options

52%
+3%

Who will be Prime Minister of Slovenia after their election?

7 options

77%
+24%

Keir Starmer Out?

2 options

36%
+1%

Who will win the next CAQ leadership election?

6 options

76%
+6%

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

23 options

89%
-7%

Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

7 options

24%
-0.7%

Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?

7 options

29%
+1%

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

1 option

18%
+1%

Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election?

3 options

65%
-4.9%

Brazil Presidential election winner?

12 options

41%
-2.9%

Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office?

3 options

51%
-1%

When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

4 options

41%
-1%

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

1 option

32%

Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?

1 option

18%
-3%

Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?

14 options

22%
-0.1%

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

11 options

55%
-4%

Who will win the next Philippine Senate election?

2 options

58%
+1%

Who will win the next Turkish general election?

4 options

79%
+1%

Who will be the next new Prime Minister of Israel?

12 options

30%
-3%

Which of these African leaders will leave office next?

10 options

30%
-5%

Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?

1 option

21%
+2%

Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?

9 options

39%

2026 Farrer by-election winner?

8 options

50%
+8%

Which G7 leader will leave next?

7 options

53%
-3%

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

1 option

3.2%
-1.9%

Will Iran hold a presidential election?

2 options

16%

Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

1 option

8.3%
+0.1%

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?

1 option

40%
-2%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

20 options

25%
-1%

Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?

1 option

0%
-1%

Who will the next Pope be?

7 options

6%
+1%

Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?

1 option

25%
-4%

Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election?

3 options

70%
+2%

Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?

1 option

14%
+1%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?

2 options

19%
-3%

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan?

4 options

21%
-0.1%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?

1 option

23%

Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?

1 option

63%

Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?

1 option

4.4%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?

1 option

6.1%
+0.1%

Which party will win the next UK general election?

8 options

35%
+4%

How many seats will the SNP win in the Scottish Parliament election?

4 options

81%

Who will win the next Argentine presidential election?

5 options

60%
+1%

Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?

1 option

67%

Scottish independence referendum called in 2026?

1 option

3.1%

UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes

3 options

45%

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election?

10 options

43%
-1%

Who will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

4 options

78%

Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?

4 options

66%

Who will win the next Spanish general election?

4 options

69%
+1%

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

1 option

10%

When will France announce a snap election?

1 option

28%
-1%

Who will win the next Slovak parliamentary election?

3 options

49%

Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

13 options

16%
-2%

Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?

1 option

22%
+2%

Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?

4 options

46%

Who will win the next Polish general election?

5 options

48%

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election?

5 options

60%
-1%

Who will win the next Philippine House election?

5 options

38%
+1%

Who will win the next Paraguayan Senate election?

6 options

74%

Who will win the next Paraguayan Chamber of Deputies election?

6 options

80%
+2%

Who will win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

3 options

65%

Who will win the next Nigerian Senate election?

3 options

56%

New Zealand general election winner?

6 options

48%

Who will win the next Mongolian presidential election?

5 options

42%

Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election?

7 options

19%

Who will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?

6 options

82%

Who will win the next Malaysian general election?

3 options

51%
+1%

Who will win the 2028 London mayoral election?

8 options

24%

Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election?

3 options

46%
+4%

Who will win the next Kenyan National Assembly election?

3 options

48%

Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

1 option

62%

Who will win the next Italian Senate election?

5 options

54%

Who will win the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election?

5 options

57%

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

17 options

41%

Who will win the next Israeli legislative election?

4 options

69%

How many seats will the Historic Pact win in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives?

5 options

4.3%

Who will win the next Greek general election?

3 options

77%

Who will win the next Ghanaian presidential election?

6 options

22%

Who will win the next Ghanaian parliamentary election?

2 options

53%

Who will win the next Georgian parliamentary election?

2 options

75%

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?

1 option

81%

Who will win the 2027 French presidential election?

27 options

23%

Who will win the next Finnish general election?

5 options

70%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the Faroe Islands?

6 options

95.1%

What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

4 options

2%
-1%

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

6 options

5%
-1%

Who will win the next Dominican Republic Senate election?

3 options

78%
+1%

Who will win the next Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election?

3 options

72%

Who will be the Prime Minister of Denmark after their election?

4 options

87%
-3.7%

Will anyone win the Colombian presidential election in the first round?

1 option

4.6%
-0.4%

Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?

1 option

4%

Will the Canadian Liberals gain a majority government in 2026?

1 option

99.2%
+0.1%

Who will win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

10 options

34%
-0.9%

Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?

1 option

15%

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

2 options

78%
+4%

Who will win the next Australian Senate election?

4 options

70%
-1%

Who will win the next Australian House election?

4 options

52%
-1.1%

EU loses a member before 2030?

1 option

12%