LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)
Trade ↗At least 6% is favored at 94% as of 21 Oct 2026, 04:35 UTC across 11 markets.
- At least 6%: 94% (24h change 0%)
- At least 10%: 60% (24h change 0%)
- At least 12%: 32% (24h change 0%)
- At least 14%: 22% (24h change 0%)
- At least 32%: 15% (24h change 0%)
- At least 30%: 7% (24h change 0%)
- At least 40%: 6% (24h change 0%)
- At least 34%: 5% (24h change 0%)
- At least 36%: 4% (24h change 0%)
- At least 42%: 4% (24h change 0%)
- At least 38%: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)?
At least 6% is favored at 94% as of 21 Oct 2026, 04:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)?
At least 6%: 94%; At least 10%: 60%; At least 12%: 32%; At least 14%: 22%; At least 32%: 15%; At least 30%: 7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.