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MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent

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Live market summary

At least 50% is favored at 95% as of 21 Oct 2026, 18:05 UTC across 6 markets.

  • At least 50%: 95% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 54%: 94% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 56%: 93% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 58%: 91% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 60%: 76% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 62%: 66% (24h change 0%)

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About this market

Market question: MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent?

At least 50% is favored at 95% as of 21 Oct 2026, 18:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent?

At least 50%: 95%; At least 54%: 94%; At least 56%: 93%; At least 58%: 91%; At least 60%: 76%; At least 62%: 66%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.