ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiHow many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?·Above 41,000·97%(+92%)Who will Trump pardon in 2026?·Leonard Glenn Francis·13%(-86%)How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?·Above 16,000·94%(+85%)Clacton by-election: 3rd place·Rejoin EU·99%(+82%)Clacton by-election margin of victory?·Reform UK, ≥40%·1%(-82%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Lesil McGuire·76%(+73%)Who will Russell Fry endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?·Darline Graham·99%(+72%)Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent·At least 25%·99%(+64%)Who will Trump pardon?·Steve Bannon·29%(-57%)FL-11 Republican nominee?·Joe Strada·73%(+55%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·South Carolina·93%(+54%)Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)·Rahm Emanuel·24%(-53%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?·At least 3·6%(-51%)WY-AL Republican nominee?·Kevin Christensen·51%(+50%)Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·53%(+47.2%)
Back
Summary

At least 35% is favored at 88% as of 15 Aug 2026, 03:33 UTC across 4 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • At least 35%: 88% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 45%: 59% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 50%: 35% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 55%: 18% (24h change 0%)
house4 marketsLIVE

Alaska at-large congressional district primary: Nick Begich vote percent

Trade ↗

Odds history

Loading chart

All options