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Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 1%·84%(+72%)FL-02 Republican primary: Keith Gross vote percent·At least 35%·13%(-61%)New Hampshire State Senate winner?·Democratic party·97%(+58%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·99.9%(+52.9%)WY-AL Republican nominee?·Kevin Christensen·3%(-48%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Jul 1, 2027·44%(-43%)Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?·Will Initiative 1 pass?·35%(-41%)Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?·State Question 845·76%(+37%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 30·25%(-35%)Michigan Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 1+ pts·72%(+34%)Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?·Initiative #175·10%(-34%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·62%(+32%)Michigan's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 4+ pts·35%(-30%)Which ballot measures will pass in Alabama?·Amendment 3·83%(+30%)Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?·Before Jan 1, 2027·15%(-30%)
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Summary

At least 45% is favored at 93% as of 16 Aug 2026, 07:04 UTC across 11 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • At least 45%: 93% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 50%: 83% (24h change -3%)
  • At least 53%: 76% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 55%: 68% (24h change -3%)
  • At least 58%: 54% (24h change -1%)
  • At least 60%: 46% (24h change -7%)
  • At least 63%: 38% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 65%: 16% (24h change -8%)
  • At least 75%: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • At least 70%: 1% (24h change -7%)
  • At least 80%: 1% (24h change 0%)
governor11 marketsLIVE

Florida Republican Governor primary: Byron Donalds vote percent

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At least 50%

83%
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At least 55%

68%
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At least 60%

46%
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At least 65%

16%
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