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HouseHistorical market

KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

45% - 48% had the highest retained price at 59% when this page was last updated on 9 Jun 2026, 00:37 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
45% - 48%
Closed contract
59%
42% - 45%
Closed contract
2%
Below 39%
Closed contract
1%
39% - 42%
Closed contract
1%
48% - 51%
Closed contract
1%
51% - 54%
Closed contract
1%
54% - 57%
Closed contract
1%
57% - 60%
Closed contract
1%
At least 60%
Closed contract
1%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent?

45% - 48% had the highest retained price at 59% when this page was last updated on 9 Jun 2026, 00:37 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for KY-04 Republican primary: Thomas Massie vote percent?

45% - 48%: 59%; 42% - 45%: 2%; Below 39%: 1%; 39% - 42%: 1%; 48% - 51%: 1%; 51% - 54%: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.