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HouseHistorical market

WA-05 primary: who will advance?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

Carmela Conroy had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 14 Aug 2026, 21:03 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
Carmela Conroy
Closed contract
99%
Michael Baumgartner
Closed contract
97%
Kevin Fagan
Closed contract
8%
Matthew Hayes
Closed contract
5%
Michael McGarr
Closed contract
5%
Bajun Mavalwalla
Closed contract
2%
Nate Powell
Closed contract
1%
Anthony Jensen
Closed contract
1%
Andrew Bartleson
Closed contract
1%
Richard Freudenberg
Closed contract
1%
Kyle Ursey
Closed contract
1%
David Womack
Closed contract
1%
Ann Marie Danimus
Closed contract
0%
About this market

Market question: WA-05 primary: who will advance?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for WA-05 primary: who will advance?

Carmela Conroy had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 14 Aug 2026, 21:03 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for WA-05 primary: who will advance?

Carmela Conroy: 99%; Michael Baumgartner: 97%; Kevin Fagan: 8%; Matthew Hayes: 5%; Michael McGarr: 5%; Bajun Mavalwalla: 2%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.