Live market summary
Republican Party is favored at 51% as of 12 Sep 2026, 05:06 UTC across 2 markets.
- Republican Party: 51% (24h change -2%)
- Democratic Party: 49% (24h change +1%)
About this market
Market question: Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Republican Party is favored at 51% as of 12 Sep 2026, 05:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Republican Party: 51%; Democratic Party: 49%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.