Senate markets

VolumeOddsChange

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Ken Paxton

▲ +1.5%

94.9%

Alabama Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Barry Moore

▼ -0.6%

90.1%

Texas Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

▲ +2%

55%

Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory

10 options · Leader: Ken Paxton, 15-20%

▲ +5%

31%

2026 Texas Senate matchup?

2 options · Leader: Talarico vs. Paxton

▼ -0.6%

93.6%

Georgia Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Mike Collins

▲ +4%

81%

Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

12 options · Leader: Julia Letlow, 9%+

—

99.6%

Texas Senate: Exact outcome

4 options · Leader: Paxton defeats Talarico

▲ +1%

56%

Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Andy Barr, 25-30%

▼ -63%

68%

Alabama Republican Senate primary: Barry Moore vote percent

7 options · Leader: 35% - 40%

▲ +3%

97%

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

9 options · Leader: Abdul El-Sayed

▼ -2%

56%

Kentucky Republican Senate primary: Andy Barr vote percent

10 options · Leader: 60% - 65%

▲ +9%

88%

Maine Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

▲ +1%

70%

Alabama Democratic Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Everett Wess

▲ +7%

83%

Kentucky Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Andy Barr

▼ -2.3%

90.1%

Texas Republican Senate runoff: who endorses who?

5 options · Leader: Greg Abbott → Ken Paxton

▼ -31.9%

7.1%

Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Julia Letlow

▲ +0.2%

91.3%

South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?

4 options · Leader: Lindsey Graham

▼ -4.4%

92.8%

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

4 options · Leader: Graham Platner wins

▲ +2%

69%

Kentucky Republican Senate primary: Daniel Cameron vote percent

8 options · Leader: 30% - 35%

▲ +21%

96%

Iowa Democratic Senate nominee?

4 options · Leader: Josh Turek

▲ +10%

86%

Alabama Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

13 options · Leader: Barry Moore, 10-15%

▲ +7%

94%

Maine Democratic Senate nominee?

9 options · Leader: Graham Platner

▼ -0.2%

98.1%

Texas Senate Republican runoff: Ken Paxton vote percent

9 options · Leader: 52% - 55%

—

25%

Alaska Senate winner? (Party)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

▲ +1%

59%

Texas Republican Senate runoff: John Cornyn vote percent

10 options · Leader: 42% - 45%

—

25%

Alabama Republican Senate primary: Steve Marshall vote percent

7 options · Leader: 20% - 25%

▼ -20%

66%

Alabama Republican Senate primary: 2nd place

3 options · Leader: Jared Hudson

▲ +4%

99%

Alabama Republican Senate primary: Jared Hudson vote percent

7 options · Leader: 25% - 30%

▲ +28%

46%

Georgia Republican Senate primary: first round margin of victory

8 options · Leader: Mike Collins, 10-15%

▼ -2%

5%

Ohio Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Sherrod Brown

—

53%

Nebraska Senate winner?

3 options · Leader: Republican party

▼ -1%

62%

New Jersey Republican Senate nominee?

7 options · Leader: Alex Zdan

▲ +9%

56%

Texas Republican Senate primary runoff: voter turnout

13 options · Leader: Above 1.0M

▲ +18%

86%

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

10 options · Leader: Ken Paxton, 3+ pts

—

89%

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

4 options · Leader: Abdul El-Sayed

▲ +5%

46%

Texas Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leader: James Talarico, 1+ pts

▲ +6%

43%

Texas Republican Senate runoff: which counties will Ken Paxton win?

6 options · Leader: Harris

▼ -15%

84%

New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?

6 options · Leader: Chris Pappas

▲ +8.6%

88%

Oregon Republican Senate nominee?

7 options · Leader: David Brock Smith

▼ -14%

3%

South Dakota Republican Senate nominee?

3 options · Leader: Mike Rounds

▲ +0.7%

97.7%

South Carolina Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

▼ -2%

81%

Michigan Republican Senate nominee?

5 options · Leader: Mike Rogers

▼ -3.1%

95%

Michigan Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

71%

Kansas Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

76%

Louisiana Democratic Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Jamie Davis

▲ +0.7%

95.1%

Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

4 options · Leader: Ed Markey

▼ -1%

70%

Georgia Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Jon Ossoff

—

81%

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?

9 options · Leader: Michele Tafoya

▼ -2%

72%

Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?

2 options · Leader: Dan Osborn

▼ -17%

61%

Montana Senate winner?

3 options · Leader: Republican party

—

75%

Florida Democratic Senate nominee?

8 options · Leader: Alexander Vindman

▼ -0.4%

90.5%

Maine Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leader: Democrats, 1+ pts

▲ +3%

63%

Iowa Senate winner? (Person)

3 options · Leader: Ashley Hinson

—

58%

North Carolina Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Roy Cooper

—

84%

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

5 options · Leader: Mary Peltola

▼ -1%

55%

Montana Democratic Senate nominee?

4 options · Leader: Reilly Neill

▼ -1.8%

85%

Rhode Island Democratic Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Jack Reed

—

92.5%

Virginia Republican Senate nominee?

8 options · Leader: Bert Mizusawa

▼ -3%

49%

Georgia Republican Senate primary: 2nd place (1st round)

3 options · Leader: Derek Dooley

—

99%

Florida Republican Senate nominee?

10 options · Leader: Ashley Moody

▲ +1%

91%

Colorado Democratic Senate nominee?

4 options · Leader: John Hickenlooper

—

86%

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

1 option · Leader: Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine?

▼ -4%

57%

Maine Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Susan Collins

▼ -0.1%

97.9%

Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?

11 options · Leader: Adam Hamilton

—

78%

Maine State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

▼ -3%

84%

Colorado Republican Senate nominee?

5 options · Leader: Mark Baisley

▼ -0.1%

94.1%

Iowa Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

59%

2026 Democratic Senate primaries combo

1 option · Leader: Will at least 5 of the following 6 Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: James Talarico in Texas, Raja Krishnamoorthi in Illinois, Josh Turek in Iowa, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow in Michigan, and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota?

—

18%

Louisiana Senate primaries: which will be won outright?

1 option · Leader: Democratic primary

—

0%

Georgia Republican Senate primary: Mike Collins vote percent

7 options · Leader: 40% - 45%

▼ -24%

62%

Closest Senate race in 2026?

14 options · Leader: Texas

▲ +1%

15%

Mississippi Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

86%

Minnesota Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic (DFL) party

—

90.6%

Florida Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

▼ -1%

81%

Georgia Republican Senate primary: Derek Dooley vote percent

7 options · Leader: 30% - 35%

▲ +6%

93%

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place

3 options · Leader: Abdul El-Sayed

—

33%

2026 Republican Senate primaries combo

1 option · Leader: Will at least 5 of the following 6 Republican candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: Ken Paxton in Texas, Julia Letlow in Louisiana, Barry Moore in Alabama, Mike Collins in Georgia, Andy Barr in Kentucky, and Michele Tafoya in Minnesota?

▲ +3%

88%

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

3 options · Leader: John Cornyn, 1+ pts

—

2%

Iowa Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

61%

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

9 options · Leader: Peggy Flanagan

▲ +2%

85%

Georgia Republican Senate primary: Buddy Carter vote percent

7 options · Leader: 25% - 30%

▼ -10%

58%

Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?

5 options · Leader: Before Nov 3, 2026

▲ +1%

82%

Texas Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leader: Republicans, 3+ pts

▼ -3%

40%

Ohio Senate margin of victory

5 options · Leader: Republicans, 2+ pts

▼ -1%

32%

Minnesota Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 1+ pts

▼ -1%

87%

Ohio Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

60%

Kansas Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 3+ pts

▼ -6%

61%

Georgia Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leader: Democrats, 2+ pts

—

77%

New Hampshire Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

81%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 9+ pts

▼ -1%

90.7%

Rhode Island Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Raymond McKay

▼ -1%

84%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leader: Democrats, 1+ pts

—

83%

New Jersey Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

▼ -0.2%

90.2%

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

4 options · Leader: John E. Sununu

▼ -1%

87%

Wyoming Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

93.1%

West Virginia Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

92.8%

Virginia Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

95.6%

Tennessee Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

92.2%

South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

91%

South Dakota Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

90%

South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

81%

Rhode Island Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

92.1%

Oregon Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

▼ -1.1%

91.9%

Oregon Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

92.1%

Oklahoma Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

86%

Oklahoma Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

95%

New Mexico Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

▲ +0.4%

92.7%

New Hampshire Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

86%

North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

60%

Massachusetts Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

▼ -0.1%

95.2%

Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

86%

Kansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

71%

Illinois Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

91%

Illinois Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

92.7%

Idaho Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

82%

Idaho Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

93.1%

Georgia Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

65%

Florida Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

82%

Delaware Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

▼ -1.9%

93.9%

Colorado Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

87%

Colorado Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

▼ -1.2%

91.4%

Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

88%

Arkansas Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

93.6%

Alabama Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

91.3%

Alabama Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

▼ -0.1%

93.1%

Alaska Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

72%

Ohio State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

86%

New Hampshire State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

61%

North Carolina State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

66%

Minnesota State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

76%

Michigan State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

72%

Iowa State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

76%

Georgia State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

71%

Alaska State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

85%

Wyoming Republican Senate nominee?

3 options · Leader: Harriet Hageman

—

88%

Virginia Democratic Senate nominee?

3 options · Leader: Mark Warner

▼ -1.9%

95%

South Carolina Democratic Senate nominee?

5 options · Leader: Annie Andrews

▲ +0.8%

91%

Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?

9 options · Leader: Kevin Hern

▲ +0.9%

94%

Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee?

4 options · Leader: N’Kiyla Thomas

—

54%

Montana Republican Senate nominee?

3 options · Leader: Kurt Alme

▲ +1%

97%

Massachusetts Republican Senate nominee?

4 options · Leader: John Deaton

▲ +0.5%

85%

Louisiana Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

88%

Iowa Republican Senate nominee?

6 options · Leader: Ashley Hinson

—

97%

Delaware Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Michael Katz

—

55%

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout

4 options · Leader: Above 900k

—

92%

Maine Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout

6 options · Leader: Above 100k

—

92%

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

7 options · Leader: Graham Platner, ≥50%

—

90.1%

Who will Murkowski endorse in the Alaska Senate race?

1 option · Leader: Mary Peltola

—

4%

Wyoming Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 270K

—

1%

West Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 750K

—

1%

Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 3.80M

—

6%

Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 11.20M

▲ +4%

8%

Tennessee Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 3.00M

—

1%

South Dakota Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 340K

—

56%

South Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 1.68M

—

56%

Rhode Island Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 490K

—

1%

Oregon Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 1.93M

—

54%

Oklahoma Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 1.15M

—

36%

Ohio Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 4.10M

—

78%

New Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 920K

—

1%

New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 4.00M

—

6%

New Hampshire Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 590K

—

91%

Nebraska Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 920K

—

6%

North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 3.80M

—

11%

Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 590K

—

11%

Mississippi Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 1.07M

—

6%

Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 3.20M

—

2%

Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 5.60M

—

1%

Maine Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 820K

—

4%

Massachusetts Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 3.40M

—

3%

Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 1.36M

—

32%

Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 1.48M

—

61%

Kansas Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 1.00M

—

51%

Illinois Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 4.10M

—

45%

Idaho Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 590K

—

53%

Iowa Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 1.22M

—

46%

Georgia Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 3.90M

—

76%

Florida Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 7.80M

—

56%

Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 500K

—

26%

Colorado Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 2.50M

—

46%

Arkansas Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 900K

—

51%

Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 1.41M

—

41%

Alaska Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 260K

—

59%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 26+ pts

—

91.3%

West Virginia Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 26+ pts

—

87%

Virginia Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 11+ pts

▼ -0.1%

0.4%

Tennessee Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 16+ pts

—

87%

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 15+ pts

—

89%

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leader: Republicans, 1+ pts

—

79%

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leader: Democrats, 1+ pts

—

11%

Rhode Island Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 17+ pts

—

89%

Oregon Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 13+ pts

—

86%

Oklahoma Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 17+ pts

—

86%

Ohio Senate margin of victory

5 options · Leader: Democrats, 2+ pts

—

40%

New Mexico Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 9+ pts

—

82%

New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leader: Republicans, 2+ pts

—

10%

New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leader: Democrats, 2+ pts

—

73%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

2 options · Leader: Republicans, 1+ pts

▲ +1%

18%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 3+ pts

—

73%

Michigan Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leader: Republicans, 1+ pts

—

16%

Michigan Senate margin of victory

8 options · Leader: Democrats, 1+ pts

—

64%

Maine Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leader: Republicans, 1+ pts

—

30%

Massachusetts Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 23+ pts

—

80%

Louisiana Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 11+ pts

—

83%

Kentucky Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 12+ pts

—

76%

Illinois Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 9+ pts

—

81%

Idaho Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 19+ pts

—

75%

Iowa Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leader: Republicans, 2+ pts

—

59%

Iowa Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leader: Democrats, 2+ pts

—

21%

Georgia Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leader: Republicans, 2+ pts

—

9.4%

Florida Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leader: Republicans, 2+ pts

—

72%

Florida Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leader: Democrats, 2+ pts

—

9.9%

Delaware Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 14+ pts

—

91.7%

Colorado Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 8+ pts

—

85%

Arkansas Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 14+ pts

—

77%

Alabama Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Republicans, 13+ pts

—

86%

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

1 option · Leader: Senate

—

60%

Who will drop out of their primary?

2 options · Leader: John Cornyn

▼ -0.1%

1.1%