Senate markets

Texas Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Ken Paxton · Vol: $9.0M

-2%
51%

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?

2 options · Leads: Darline Graham · Vol: $8.7M

-9%
72%

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

13 options · Leads: Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3% · Vol: $6.3M

99%

Maine Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Troy Jackson · Vol: $3.9M

66%

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

1 option · Leads: Before election day 2026 · Vol: $2.5M

+0.8%
7.5%

Michigan Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Abdul El-Sayed · Vol: $2.2M

+5%
61%

Ohio Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Sherrod Brown · Vol: $2.1M

52%

Maine Senate winner? (Person)

15 options · Leads: Troy Jackson · Vol: $2.0M

65%

Iowa Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Ashley Hinson · Vol: $1.7M

+1%
59%

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

4 options · Leads: Abdul El-Sayed · Vol: $1.5M

+7%
61%

North Carolina Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Roy Cooper · Vol: $1.4M

-0.7%
92%

Georgia Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Jon Ossoff · Vol: $1.1M

92%

South Carolina Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $726K

90.1%

Alaska Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $663K

+2%
57%

Nebraska Senate winner?

3 options · Leads: Pete Ricketts · Vol: $629K

+1%
72%

Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

4 options · Leads: Ed Markey · Vol: $623K

+1.6%
91.8%

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?

18 options · Leads: Ralph Norman, 0-3% · Vol: $611K

+12%
21%

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

2 options · Leads: Democratic party wins · Vol: $541K

67%

Montana Senate winner?

3 options · Leads: Kurt Alme · Vol: $469K

90%

Maine-Texas Senate Combo

6 options · Leads: James Talarico and Troy Jackson · Vol: $432K

-2%
42%

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place

3 options · Leads: Haley Stevens · Vol: $328K

99%

Closest Senate race in 2026?

17 options · Leads: Texas · Vol: $316K

-1%
16%

Kansas Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Roger Marshall · Vol: $302K

+3%
82%

Minnesota Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Peggy Flanagan · Vol: $289K

+1%
90%

Texas Senate: Exact outcome

2 options · Leads: Paxton defeats Talarico · Vol: $232K

52%

Florida Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Ashley Moody · Vol: $230K

+1%
94.5%

New Hampshire Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $178K

-2%
88%

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent

25 options · Leads: At least 40% · Vol: $177K

99%

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

6 options · Leads: Mary Peltola · Vol: $163K

+5%
59%

Texas Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leads: Ken Paxton, 1+ pts · Vol: $156K

-2%
45%

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

1 option · Leads: Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine? · Vol: $139K

-4%
46%

Alaska Senate: who will advance?

12 options · Leads: Dan J. Sullivan · Vol: $134K

99%

Maine Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leads: Democrats, 1+ pts · Vol: $120K

54%

Kentucky Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Andy Barr · Vol: $106K

+2%
94%

Mississippi Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Cindy Hyde-Smith · Vol: $87K

+3%
93.7%

Idaho Senate winner?

3 options · Leads: Jim Risch · Vol: $86K

+0.3%
96.2%

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout

8 options · Leads: Above 1.0M · Vol: $86K

99%

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?

8 options · Leads: Grand Traverse · Vol: $84K

99%

Minnesota Senate Democratic primary: Angie Craig vote percent

7 options · Leads: At least 42% · Vol: $60K

1%

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

4 options · Leads: John E. Sununu · Vol: $57K

98.8%

Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee?

2 options · Leads: N’Kiyla Thomas · Vol: $52K

-0.4%
95.8%

Alaska Senate primary: 1st place

4 options · Leads: Mary Peltola · Vol: $51K

99%

South Carolina Senate special election runoff margin of victory? (Directional)

8 options · Leads: Darline Graham, ≥3% · Vol: $50K

-13%
70%

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Mary Peltola, 0-3% · Vol: $47K

+3%
36%

Will Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?

1 option · Leads: Before 2026 · Vol: $39K

2%

New Jersey Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Cory Booker · Vol: $35K

+1.9%
97.8%

South Dakota Senate winner?

3 options · Leads: Mike Rounds · Vol: $34K

+2%
97%

Louisiana Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Julia Letlow · Vol: $34K

+1.9%
94.9%

Tennessee Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Bill Hagerty · Vol: $33K

+1.5%
97.5%

Texas Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leads: James Talarico, 1+ pts · Vol: $33K

-1%
41%

Arkansas Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Tom Cotton · Vol: $32K

+1.4%
95.9%

Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent

6 options · Leads: At least 30% · Vol: $31K

99%

Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent

6 options · Leads: At least 25% · Vol: $30K

99%

Michigan Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leads: Democrats, 1+ pts · Vol: $29K

+1%
51%

Ohio Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $28K

+3%
57%

Maine Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leads: Republicans, 1+ pts · Vol: $27K

36%

New Mexico Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Ben Ray Luján · Vol: $24K

97.6%

Virginia Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Mark Warner · Vol: $22K

95.7%

Ohio Senate margin of victory

5 options · Leads: Democrats, 2+ pts · Vol: $21K

44%

Georgia Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Democrats, 2+ pts · Vol: $21K

87%

New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?

6 options · Leads: Chris Pappas · Vol: $21K

-1.8%
96.6%

Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)

4 options · Leads: Above $20M · Vol: $20K

99%

West Virginia Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Shelley Moore Capito · Vol: $19K

97.8%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

8 options · Leads: Democrats, 3+ pts · Vol: $19K

82%

Ohio Senate margin of victory

5 options · Leads: Republicans, 2+ pts · Vol: $18K

39%

Wyoming Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Harriet Hageman · Vol: $17K

+1.4%
99.3%

Alaska Senate election: number of rounds

3 options · Leads: 3 · Vol: $17K

52%

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout

6 options · Leads: Above 200k · Vol: $17K

88%

North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $17K

74%

Florida Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Republicans, 2+ pts · Vol: $16K

86%

Massachusetts Republican Senate nominee?

3 options · Leads: John Deaton · Vol: $16K

98.9%

Iowa Senate winner? (Person)

2 options · Leads: Ashley Hinson · Vol: $16K

+1%
58%

Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?

2 options · Leads: Georgia Senate · Vol: $15K

50%

Colorado Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: John Hickenlooper · Vol: $15K

-0.1%
96.9%

South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent

9 options · Leads: At least 38% · Vol: $15K

86%

Michigan Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leads: Republicans, 1+ pts · Vol: $14K

45%

Texas State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $14K

92%

Rhode Island Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $13K

98%

Iowa Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leads: Democrats, 2+ pts · Vol: $13K

26%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

2 options · Leads: Republicans, 3+ pts · Vol: $13K

13%

Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary: Ed Markey vote percent

6 options · Leads: At least 45% · Vol: $13K

95%

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

14 options · Leads: Texas, Alaska, Ohio · Vol: $12K

11%

Oklahoma Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Kevin Hern · Vol: $11K

95.1%

Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary: Seth Moulton vote percent

7 options · Leads: At least 25% · Vol: $10K

95%

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Republicans, 1+ pts · Vol: $10K

85%

Illinois Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Juliana Stratton · Vol: $10K

+0.1%
97.8%

Will Cindy Burbank be on Nebraska’s Senate ballot?

1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by Nebraska Secretary of State that the Nebraska Secretary of State certifies Cindy Burbank as a candidate to be placed on the November 3, 2026 statewide general-election ballot for U.S. Senate before Sep 16, 2026? · Vol: $10K

3%

Alabama Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leads: Republicans, 19+ pts · Vol: $10K

94.9%

Kansas Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Republicans, 3+ pts · Vol: $10K

71%

Rhode Island Democratic Senate nominee?

2 options · Leads: Jack Reed · Vol: $10K

99%

Alaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)

7 options · Leads: At least 1% · Vol: $9K

99%

Delaware Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $9K

94%

Alabama Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Barry Moore · Vol: $9K

+0.3%
97.8%

South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $9K

-5%
79%

South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent

8 options · Leads: At least 41% · Vol: $9K

80%

Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

12 options · Leads: Ed Markey, ≥20% · Vol: $8K

+7%
43%

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

1 option · Leads: Senate · Vol: $8K

92.7%

New Hampshire State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $8K

98%

Who will endorse Susan Collins?

6 options · Leads: Greg Elder · Vol: $7K

11%

Minnesota Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leads: Democrats, 1+ pts · Vol: $7K

91.4%

Rhode Island Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leads: Raymond McKay · Vol: $7K

99%

Oregon Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Jeff Merkley · Vol: $7K

-0.1%
97.9%

Idaho Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Republicans, 19+ pts · Vol: $7K

94%

Iowa Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leads: Republicans, 2+ pts · Vol: $7K

54%

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

1 option · Leads: Republicans sweep · Vol: $7K

9%

Maine Senate General Election: voter turnout

8 options · Leads: Above 700K · Vol: $6K

62%

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

1 option · Leads: Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win · Vol: $6K

-6%
4%

Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout

8 options · Leads: Above 8.80M · Vol: $6K

83%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Republicans, 26+ pts · Vol: $6K

96.6%

Minnesota State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $6K

99%

Maine State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $5K

88%

Florida Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $5K

82%

Delaware Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leads: Michael Katz · Vol: $5K

-0.5%
90.6%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Republicans, 3+ pts · Vol: $5K

76%

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

8 options · Leads: Republicans, 15+ pts · Vol: $5K

77%

Massachusetts Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $5K

96.2%

New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

8 options · Leads: Democrats, 2+ pts · Vol: $4K

83%

Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

9 options · Leads: Angie Craig · Vol: $4K

43%

Colorado Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leads: Democrats, 8+ pts · Vol: $4K

90.6%

West Virginia Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leads: Republicans, 36+ pts · Vol: $4K

46%

New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

6 options · Leads: John Sununu, ≥5% · Vol: $4K

93%

Alaska Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $3K

71%

Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $3K

-3%
86%

Idaho Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $3K

90.1%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leads: Democrats, 17+ pts · Vol: $2K

99%

Arkansas Senate margin of victory

5 options · Leads: Republicans, 14+ pts · Vol: $2K

+6%
84%

New Mexico Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leads: Democrats, 9+ pts · Vol: $2K

84%

North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leads: Above 3.80M · Vol: $2K

85%

Rhode Island Senate margin of victory

8 options · Leads: Democrats, 17+ pts · Vol: $2K

89%

Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

7 options · Leads: Above 4.70M · Vol: $2K

41%

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leads: Democrats, 1+ pts · Vol: $2K

12%

Georgia Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $2K

64%

Massachusetts Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leads: Democrats, 31+ pts · Vol: $2K

67%

Iowa Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $2K

62%

Kansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $2K

76%

North Carolina State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $2K

85%

Michigan State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $2K

86%

Alaska State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $1K

84%

Alaska Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 260K · Vol: $1K

77%

Oregon Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $1K

94.1%

Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $1K

88%

Oregon Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Democrats, 15+ pts · Vol: $1K

88%

Iowa Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 1.22M · Vol: $1K

75%

Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout

6 options · Leads: Above 440K · Vol: $1K

-13%
25%

Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout

3 options · Leads: Above 1.36M · Vol: $1K

39%

Kentucky Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Republicans, 14+ pts · Vol: $971

92%

Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnout

4 options · Leads: Above 1.48M · Vol: $931

47%

Idaho Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leads: Above 590K · Vol: $837

72%

New Hampshire Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $825

91%

Oklahoma Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $741

90.9%

Oklahoma Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Republicans, 19+ pts · Vol: $740

89%

South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $682

95.8%

Louisiana Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Republicans, 17+ pts · Vol: $628

85%

Illinois Senate margin of victory

2 options · Leads: Democrats, 17+ pts · Vol: $609

55%

Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnout

3 options · Leads: Above 2.60M · Vol: $566

31%

Delaware Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leads: Democrats, 14+ pts · Vol: $509

93.8%

Florida Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leads: Democrats, 2+ pts · Vol: $503

+7%
10%

Ohio Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 4.10M · Vol: $501

80%

Wyoming Senate General Election: voter turnout

4 options · Leads: Above 300K · Vol: $487

39%

Georgia State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $472

85%

Florida State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $425

95%

Iowa State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $421

83%

Virginia Senate margin of victory

5 options · Leads: Democrats, 11+ pts · Vol: $416

81%

South Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leads: Above 1.68M · Vol: $409

62%

Illinois Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $315

96%

Colorado Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $306

86%

Oklahoma Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 1.10M · Vol: $300

57%

Ohio State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $293

86%

Alabama Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $264

96.1%

Nebraska Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 1.06M · Vol: $255

8%

New Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 1.10M · Vol: $221

5%

Mississippi Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 1.07M · Vol: $215

15%

Georgia Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leads: Republicans, 2+ pts · Vol: $201

7.9%

Florida Senate General Election: voter turnout

3 options · Leads: Above 7.80M · Vol: $197

57%

Massachusetts Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 3.40M · Vol: $101

9%

Georgia Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 4.10M · Vol: $100

54%

New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leads: Republicans, 2+ pts · Vol: $75

10%

Oregon Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 2.00M · Vol: $31

47%

Colorado Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 2.90M · Vol: $14

21%

Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 1.55M · Vol: $13

44%

Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 3.40M · Vol: $12

44%

Will John Thune run for reelection?

1 option · Leads: Will John Thune announce a run for U.S. Senate in 2028? · Vol: $8

77%

Tennessee Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leads: Republicans, 30+ pts · Vol: $2

70%

West Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 900K · Vol: $1

5%

Tennessee Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 3.60M · Vol: $1

5%

Rhode Island Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 590K · Vol: $1

5%

New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 4.80M · Vol: $1

6%

Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 710K · Vol: $1

7%