Senate markets

Texas Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: James Talarico · Vol: $11.4M

51%

Maine Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Troy Jackson · Vol: $5.3M

-1%
66%

Michigan Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Abdul El-Sayed · Vol: $3.4M

-1%
63%

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

1 option · Leads: Before election day 2026 · Vol: $3.2M

-1.1%
8.2%

Ohio Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Sherrod Brown · Vol: $3.1M

53%

Iowa Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Ashley Hinson · Vol: $2.7M

-5%
62%

Maine Senate winner? (Person)

15 options · Leads: Troy Jackson · Vol: $2.5M

-1%
66%

North Carolina Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Roy Cooper · Vol: $2.0M

+0.9%
91.7%

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

4 options · Leads: Abdul El-Sayed · Vol: $1.9M

63%

South Carolina Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Darline Graham · Vol: $1.3M

+1%
87%

Georgia Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Jon Ossoff · Vol: $1.2M

-0.9%
92.3%

Nebraska Senate winner?

3 options · Leads: Pete Ricketts · Vol: $867K

71%

Alaska Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $857K

-1%
64%

Kansas Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Roger Marshall · Vol: $809K

80%

Minnesota Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Peggy Flanagan · Vol: $592K

+0.6%
90.9%

Maine-Texas Senate Combo

6 options · Leads: James Talarico and Troy Jackson · Vol: $589K

+1%
43%

Florida Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Ashley Moody · Vol: $571K

-0.3%
91.2%

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

2 options · Leads: Democratic party wins · Vol: $547K

+5%
71%

Montana Senate winner?

3 options · Leads: Kurt Alme · Vol: $508K

+0.8%
91.8%

Closest Senate race in 2026?

17 options · Leads: Texas · Vol: $437K

16%

New Hampshire Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Chris Pappas · Vol: $395K

+1%
85%

Texas Senate: Exact outcome

2 options · Leads: Paxton defeats Talarico · Vol: $279K

52%

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

1 option · Leads: Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine? · Vol: $234K

-1%
56%

Texas Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leads: Ken Paxton, 1+ pts · Vol: $228K

47%

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

6 options · Leads: Mary Peltola · Vol: $188K

66%

Kentucky Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Andy Barr · Vol: $143K

+0.1%
95.5%

Maine Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leads: Democrats, 1+ pts · Vol: $137K

-1%
54%

South Dakota Senate winner?

3 options · Leads: Mike Rounds · Vol: $115K

92.7%

Mississippi Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Cindy Hyde-Smith · Vol: $115K

+0.7%
94.5%

Idaho Senate winner?

3 options · Leads: Jim Risch · Vol: $97K

-1.2%
95.4%

Arkansas Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Tom Cotton · Vol: $87K

-0.9%
93.1%

New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary: Chris Pappas vote percent

6 options · Leads: At least 45% · Vol: $82K

99%

Texas Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leads: James Talarico, 1+ pts · Vol: $60K

+4%
49%

New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)

9 options · Leads: Chris Pappas, ≥15% · Vol: $58K

99%

New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary: Karishma Manzur vote percent

7 options · Leads: At least 25% · Vol: $56K

99%

Louisiana Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Julia Letlow · Vol: $53K

-2.8%
92.2%

Michigan Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leads: Democrats, 1+ pts · Vol: $53K

+2%
52%

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Mary Peltola, 0-3% · Vol: $52K

27%

New Jersey Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Cory Booker · Vol: $40K

-0.3%
97.1%

Will Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?

1 option · Leads: Before 2026 · Vol: $39K

2%

Maine Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leads: Republicans, 1+ pts · Vol: $36K

32%

Tennessee Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Bill Hagerty · Vol: $34K

97.9%

Oklahoma Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Kevin Hern · Vol: $30K

-0.2%
96.8%

Ohio Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $29K

+2%
55%

Georgia Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Democrats, 2+ pts · Vol: $29K

88%

Delaware Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leads: Michael Katz · Vol: $28K

-3.1%
89%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Democrats, 1+ pts · Vol: $26K

90%

New Mexico Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Ben Ray Luján · Vol: $26K

98%

Virginia Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Mark Warner · Vol: $25K

96.9%

Florida Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Republicans, 2+ pts · Vol: $24K

88%

Ohio Senate margin of victory

5 options · Leads: Democrats, 2+ pts · Vol: $24K

42%

Iowa Senate winner? (Person)

2 options · Leads: Ashley Hinson · Vol: $23K

-4%
64%

Wyoming Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Harriet Hageman · Vol: $22K

97.9%

West Virginia Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Shelley Moore Capito · Vol: $21K

96.6%

Michigan Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leads: Republicans, 1+ pts · Vol: $20K

35%

Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)

4 options · Leads: Above $20M · Vol: $20K

99%

Ohio Senate margin of victory

5 options · Leads: Republicans, 2+ pts · Vol: $20K

34%

North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $18K

66%

Alaska Senate election: number of rounds

3 options · Leads: 3 · Vol: $18K

52%

Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?

14 options · Leads: Texas, Alaska, Ohio · Vol: $18K

16%

Colorado Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: John Hickenlooper · Vol: $17K

+0.1%
97%

Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?

2 options · Leads: Georgia Senate · Vol: $17K

61%

New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

6 options · Leads: John Sununu, ≥5% · Vol: $17K

99%

Rhode Island Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Jack Reed · Vol: $16K

98.3%

Minnesota Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leads: Democrats, 1+ pts · Vol: $15K

91%

Texas State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $14K

90%

Iowa Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leads: Democrats, 2+ pts · Vol: $14K

+4%
25%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

2 options · Leads: Republicans, 1+ pts · Vol: $13K

11%

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Republicans, 1+ pts · Vol: $13K

86%

Kansas Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Republicans, 5+ pts · Vol: $13K

60%

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

1 option · Leads: Rick Jackson and Mike Collins win · Vol: $12K

7%

Illinois Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Juliana Stratton · Vol: $11K

97.9%

Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout

8 options · Leads: Above 8.80M · Vol: $11K

92%

Massachusetts Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Ed Markey · Vol: $10K

-1.6%
96.5%

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

1 option · Leads: Republicans sweep · Vol: $10K

23%

Will Cindy Burbank be on Nebraska’s Senate ballot?

1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by Nebraska Secretary of State that the Nebraska Secretary of State certifies Cindy Burbank as a candidate to be placed on the November 3, 2026 statewide general-election ballot for U.S. Senate before Sep 16, 2026? · Vol: $10K

2%

Delaware Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $10K

98.9%

Alabama Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leads: Republicans, 19+ pts · Vol: $10K

94.9%

Alabama Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Barry Moore · Vol: $9K

-2.3%
95.7%

South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $9K

84%

Larger margin of victory: Kansas or Nebraska Senate?

2 options · Leads: Nebraska US Senate · Vol: $9K

+43%
61%

New Hampshire State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $8K

75%

Iowa Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leads: Republicans, 2+ pts · Vol: $8K

54%

Who will endorse Susan Collins?

6 options · Leads: Greg Elder · Vol: $8K

+1%
8%

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

1 option · Leads: Senate · Vol: $8K

93.2%

Oregon Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Jeff Merkley · Vol: $7K

-2.3%
97.5%

Idaho Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Republicans, 19+ pts · Vol: $7K

52%

New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Democrats, 2+ pts · Vol: $7K

83%

Maine Senate General Election: voter turnout

8 options · Leads: Above 700K · Vol: $6K

62%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Republicans, 26+ pts · Vol: $6K

93.5%

Minnesota State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $6K

83%

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

8 options · Leads: Republicans, 15+ pts · Vol: $6K

70%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Republicans, 3+ pts · Vol: $6K

76%

Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent

4 options · Leads: At least 35% · Vol: $6K

-1%
96%

Maine State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $5K

88%

Florida Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $5K

89%

Colorado Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leads: Democrats, 8+ pts · Vol: $4K

90.6%

Arkansas Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Republicans, 14+ pts · Vol: $4K

74%

Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

9 options · Leads: Angie Craig · Vol: $4K

42%

West Virginia Senate margin of victory

8 options · Leads: Republicans, 26+ pts · Vol: $4K

88%

Idaho Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $3K

90%

Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

8 options · Leads: Above 4.40M · Vol: $3K

+7%
68%

Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $3K

86%

North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leads: Above 3.80M · Vol: $3K

85%

Alaska Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $3K

71%

New Mexico Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leads: Democrats, 9+ pts · Vol: $3K

84%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leads: Democrats, 19+ pts · Vol: $3K

99%

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leads: Democrats, 1+ pts · Vol: $3K

13%

Rhode Island Senate margin of victory

8 options · Leads: Democrats, 17+ pts · Vol: $2K

89%

Alaska Senate General Election: voter turnout

4 options · Leads: Above 260K · Vol: $2K

78%

Massachusetts Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leads: Democrats, 31+ pts · Vol: $2K

67%

Iowa Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $2K

+2%
64%

Georgia Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $2K

69%

Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout

7 options · Leads: Above 410K · Vol: $2K

32%

Oklahoma Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $2K

88%

Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leads: Above 2.20M · Vol: $2K

79%

Nebraska Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leads: Republicans, 3+ pts · Vol: $2K

57%

Kansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $2K

75%

North Carolina State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $2K

88%

Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leads: Above 1.22M · Vol: $2K

69%

Michigan State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $2K

86%

Alaska State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $1K

84%

Ohio Senate General Election: voter turnout

3 options · Leads: Above 4.10M · Vol: $1K

84%

Oregon Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $1K

94.1%

South Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leads: Above 1.68M · Vol: $1K

62%

Oregon Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Democrats, 15+ pts · Vol: $1K

88%

Iowa Senate General Election: voter turnout

3 options · Leads: Above 1.22M · Vol: $1K

76%

Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $1K

88%

Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnout

4 options · Leads: Above 1.48M · Vol: $1K

51%

Idaho Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leads: Above 590K · Vol: $1K

65%

Ohio State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $1K

86%

Oklahoma Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Republicans, 19+ pts · Vol: $1K

83%

Louisiana Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leads: Republicans, 11+ pts · Vol: $1K

81%

Kentucky Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leads: Republicans, 14+ pts · Vol: $981

92%

New Hampshire Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $961

88%

Nebraska Senate election: Dan Osborn vote percent

3 options · Leads: At least 42% · Vol: $934

83%

Wyoming Senate General Election: voter turnout

8 options · Leads: Above 190K · Vol: $844

79%

Illinois Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leads: Democrats, 17+ pts · Vol: $819

55%

Nebraska Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leads: Above 770K · Vol: $803

19%

Oklahoma Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leads: Above 1.00M · Vol: $710

82%

South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $683

95.8%

Virginia Senate margin of victory

5 options · Leads: Democrats, 11+ pts · Vol: $581

81%

Illinois Senate General Election: voter turnout

4 options · Leads: Above 3.70M · Vol: $550

79%

Delaware Senate margin of victory

6 options · Leads: Democrats, 14+ pts · Vol: $518

93.8%

Florida Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leads: Democrats, 2+ pts · Vol: $508

3%

Georgia State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $472

85%

Florida State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $425

95%

Iowa State Senate winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $421

83%

Florida Senate General Election: voter turnout

3 options · Leads: Above 7.80M · Vol: $397

63%

Illinois Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $335

93%

Colorado Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $306

86%

Georgia Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 4.10M · Vol: $300

54%

Alabama Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $264

96.1%

New Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout

3 options · Leads: Above 800K · Vol: $224

36%

Mississippi Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 1.07M · Vol: $215

15%

Georgia Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leads: Republicans, 2+ pts · Vol: $201

7.9%

West Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 630K · Vol: $182

13%

Colorado Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 2.50M · Vol: $160

55%

New Hampshire Senate election: John Sununu vote percent

3 options · Leads: At least 46% · Vol: $150

86%

Tennessee Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 2.60M · Vol: $148

8%

Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 1.55M · Vol: $123

44%

Arkansas Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 1.08M · Vol: $113

8%

Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent

1 option · Leads: At least 35% · Vol: $104

+1%
5%

Massachusetts Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 3.40M · Vol: $101

9%

Nebraska Senate election: Pete Ricketts vote percent

1 option · Leads: At least 40% · Vol: $77

-1%
96%

New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leads: Republicans, 2+ pts · Vol: $75

10%

Rhode Island Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 460K · Vol: $71

6%

New Hampshire Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 620K · Vol: $66

59%

Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout

3 options · Leads: Above 3.40M · Vol: $55

44%

Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent

1 option · Leads: At least 45% · Vol: $52

4%

Will John Thune run for reelection?

1 option · Leads: Will John Thune announce a run for U.S. Senate in 2028? · Vol: $52

76%

North Carolina Senate election: Roy Cooper vote percent

1 option · Leads: At least 52% · Vol: $50

75%

Oregon Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 2.00M · Vol: $31

47%

Kansas Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leads: Above 1.00M · Vol: $25

59%

Montana Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leads: Republicans, 5+ pts · Vol: $18

77%

South Carolina Senate election: Annie Andrews vote percent

1 option · Leads: At least 44% · Vol: $10

78%

Massachusetts Senate election: John Deaton vote percent

1 option · Leads: At least 30% · Vol: $10

72%

New Hampshire Senate election: Chris Pappas vote percent

1 option · Leads: At least 60% · Vol: $2

99%

Tennessee Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leads: Republicans, 30+ pts · Vol: $2

70%

New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 4.80M · Vol: $1

6%

Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leads: Above 710K · Vol: $1

7%