Senate markets

VolumeOddsChange

Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?

10 options · Leader: John Hickenlooper, ≥3%

—

99%

Will Graham Platner drop out?

1 option · Leader: Will Graham Platner drop out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 14, 2026?

▲ +0.3%

2.1%

Maine Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Graham Platner

▲ +1%

52%

Georgia Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Jon Ossoff

▼ -1%

85%

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

9 options · Leader: Abdul El-Sayed

▲ +2%

89%

Texas Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Ken Paxton

▼ -1%

59%

South Carolina Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Lindsey Graham

▲ +2%

85%

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

13 options · Leader: Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%

—

50%

Maine-Texas Senate Combo

4 options · Leader: Ken Paxton and Susan Collins

—

36%

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?

9 options · Leader: Michele Tafoya

▲ +0.1%

90.6%

Michigan Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

▼ -2%

69%

Iowa Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Ashley Hinson

▼ -1%

57%

Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

4 options · Leader: Ed Markey

—

77%

Ohio Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Sherrod Brown

—

52%

Kansas Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

▲ +1%

83%

Florida Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

82%

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

9 options · Leader: Peggy Flanagan

▲ +2%

83%

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

6 options · Leader: Mary Peltola

▲ +2%

61%

Texas Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leader: Ken Paxton, 1+ pts

—

58%

Alaska Senate winner? (Party)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

▲ +2%

58%

2026 Democratic Senate primaries combo

1 option · Leader: Will at least 5 of the following 6 Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: James Talarico in Texas, Raja Krishnamoorthi in Illinois, Josh Turek in Iowa, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow in Michigan, and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota?

▲ +6.9%

9.4%

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

4 options · Leader: John E. Sununu

▲ +0.3%

94.3%

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

4 options · Leader: Abdul El-Sayed

▲ +2%

68%

Texas Senate: Exact outcome

2 options · Leader: Paxton defeats Talarico

—

63%

Minnesota Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic (DFL) party

—

93%

Iowa Senate margin of victory

6 options · Leader: Republicans, 2+ pts

—

51%

Closest Senate race in 2026?

15 options · Leader: Texas

▲ +1%

18%

Michigan Republican Senate nominee?

5 options · Leader: Mike Rogers

▲ +2.3%

98.4%

Ohio Senate margin of victory

5 options · Leader: Republicans, 2+ pts

—

40%

Mississippi Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Cindy Hyde-Smith

—

88%

Maine Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leader: Democrats, 1+ pts

▼ -2%

43%

Idaho Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leader: Republicans, 19+ pts

—

64%

Nebraska Senate winner?

3 options · Leader: Pete Ricketts

▼ -1%

67%

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout

6 options · Leader: Above 900k

—

91%

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

1 option · Leader: Will Democrats win the 2026 senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine?

▼ -2%

48%

Florida State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

▲ +2%

95%

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place

3 options · Leader: Haley Stevens

▲ +2%

86%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

8 options · Leader: Democrats, 3+ pts

—

76%

Will Mallory McMorrow drop out?

1 option · Leader: Will Mallory McMorrow drop out of the the 2026 Michigan Senate race before Aug 4, 2026?

—

16%

North Carolina Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Roy Cooper

—

87%

Virginia Republican Senate nominee?

8 options · Leader: Bert Mizusawa

▲ +7%

81%

Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: N’Kiyla Thomas

▲ +1%

90%

New Jersey Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

8 options · Leader: Alex Zdan, 15-20%

▲ +2%

6%

Maine Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leader: Republicans, 1+ pts

—

42%

Michigan Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leader: Republicans, 1+ pts

▲ +3%

25%

Kentucky Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Andy Barr

—

90.1%

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

2 options · Leader: Graham Platner wins

—

52%

Michigan Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leader: Democrats, 1+ pts

—

72%

Will Janet Mills endorse Graham Platner?

1 option · Leader: Before Nov 3, 2026

—

41%

Kansas Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leader: Republicans, 5+ pts

—

83%

Wyoming Democratic Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: James Byrd

▲ +3%

94%

Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?

11 options · Leader: Adam Hamilton

—

85%

Florida Republican Senate nominee?

10 options · Leader: Ashley Moody

—

97%

Georgia Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leader: Democrats, 2+ pts

—

84%

Wyoming Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

94.6%

West Virginia Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Shelley Moore Capito

—

93.9%

Virginia Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

94.1%

Tennessee Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

94.8%

South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

88%

South Dakota Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Mike Rounds

—

96%

South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

79%

Rhode Island Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

93.4%

Oregon Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

94.1%

Oregon Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Jeff Merkley

—

95.8%

Oklahoma Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

90.9%

Oklahoma Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Kevin Hern

—

95%

Ohio Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

63%

New Mexico Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Ben Ray Luján

—

91.1%

New Jersey Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Cory Booker

—

93.3%

New Hampshire Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

91%

New Hampshire Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

84%

North Carolina Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

68%

Montana Senate winner?

3 options · Leader: Kurt Alme

—

87%

Massachusetts Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

97.8%

Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

89%

Kansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

72%

Illinois Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

96%

Illinois Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Juliana Stratton

—

94.7%

Idaho Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

90.1%

Idaho Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Jim Risch

—

95.1%

Iowa Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

66%

Georgia Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

69%

Florida Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

82%

Delaware Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

97.5%

Colorado Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

86%

Colorado Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

97%

Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

88%

Arkansas Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Tom Cotton

—

96.8%

Alabama Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

96.1%

Alabama Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Barry Moore

—

96.4%

Alaska Senate winner? (2028)

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

71%

Texas State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

88%

Ohio State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

86%

New Hampshire State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

65%

North Carolina State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

82%

Minnesota State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

72%

Michigan State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

79%

Maine State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

85%

Iowa State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

83%

Georgia State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

85%

Alaska State Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

—

84%

Wyoming Republican Senate nominee?

3 options · Leader: Harriet Hageman

—

99%

Rhode Island Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Raymond McKay

—

91.1%

Rhode Island Democratic Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Jack Reed

—

94.5%

New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?

6 options · Leader: Chris Pappas

—

92.3%

Massachusetts Republican Senate nominee?

3 options · Leader: John Deaton

—

98%

Louisiana Senate winner?

2 options · Leader: Julia Letlow

—

94.1%

Florida Democratic Senate nominee?

8 options · Leader: Alexander Vindman

—

91%

Delaware Republican Senate nominee?

2 options · Leader: Michael Katz

—

83%

New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

6 options · Leader: John Sununu, ≥10%

—

85%

Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

12 options · Leader: Ed Markey, 12-16%

—

20%

Louisiana Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

6 options · Leader: Julia Letlow, ≥3%

—

99%

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

8 options · Leader: Josh Turek, 25-30%

—

94%

Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

12 options · Leader: Barry Moore, 9-12%

—

95%

Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

7 options · Leader: Mike Collins, 10-15%

—

99%

Who will Murkowski endorse in the Alaska Senate race?

1 option · Leader: Mary Peltola

—

7.9%

Wyoming Senate General Election: voter turnout

4 options · Leader: Above 300K

—

39%

West Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 900K

—

5%

Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 4.60M

—

6%

Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout

8 options · Leader: Above 8.80M

—

67%

Tennessee Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 3.60M

—

5%

South Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 1.68M

—

98%

Rhode Island Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 590K

—

5%

Ohio Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leader: Above 4.10M

—

76%

New Mexico Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leader: Above 1.10M

—

5%

New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 4.80M

—

6%

Nebraska Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 1.10M

—

6%

North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout

3 options · Leader: Above 3.80M

—

52%

Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 710K

—

7%

Mississippi Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 1.29M

—

6%

Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leader: Above 3.20M

—

9%

Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 6.70M

—

5%

Maine Senate General Election: voter turnout

5 options · Leader: Above 820K

—

27%

Massachusetts Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leader: Above 3.40M

—

9%

Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leader: Above 1.36M

—

39%

Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 1.77M

—

9%

Idaho Senate General Election: voter turnout

2 options · Leader: Above 590K

—

53%

Iowa Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 1.22M

—

69%

Florida Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 8.90M

—

18%

Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 600K

—

9%

Colorado Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 2.90M

—

21%

Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 1.70M

—

13%

Alaska Senate General Election: voter turnout

1 option · Leader: Above 260K

—

61%

Wyoming Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leader: Republicans, 26+ pts

—

95.9%

West Virginia Senate margin of victory

6 options · Leader: Republicans, 36+ pts

—

52%

Virginia Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leader: Democrats, 11+ pts

—

81%

Texas Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leader: James Talarico, 1+ pts

—

35%

South Dakota Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leader: Republicans, 15+ pts

—

85%

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leader: Republicans, 5+ pts

—

70%

South Carolina Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leader: Democrats, 1+ pts

—

20%

Rhode Island Senate margin of victory

2 options · Leader: Democrats, 27+ pts

—

58%

Oregon Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leader: Democrats, 15+ pts

—

69%

Oklahoma Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leader: Republicans, 19+ pts

—

89%

Ohio Senate margin of victory

5 options · Leader: Democrats, 2+ pts

—

33%

New Mexico Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 9+ pts

—

84%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 11+ pts

—

90.1%

New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leader: Republicans, 2+ pts

—

16%

New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leader: Democrats, 4+ pts

—

66%

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

2 options · Leader: Republicans, 1+ pts

—

15%

Mississippi Senate margin of victory

9 options · Leader: Republicans, 3+ pts

—

77%

Minnesota Senate margin of victory

11 options · Leader: Democrats, 1+ pts

—

91.4%

Massachusetts Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leader: Democrats, 31+ pts

—

72%

Louisiana Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leader: Republicans, 13+ pts

—

82%

Kentucky Senate margin of victory

8 options · Leader: Republicans, 12+ pts

—

77%

Illinois Senate margin of victory

2 options · Leader: Democrats, 17+ pts

—

62%

Iowa Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leader: Democrats, 2+ pts

—

32%

Georgia Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leader: Republicans, 2+ pts

—

9.9%

Florida Senate margin of victory

7 options · Leader: Republicans, 2+ pts

—

77%

Florida Senate margin of victory

1 option · Leader: Democrats, 2+ pts

—

10%

Delaware Senate margin of victory

3 options · Leader: Democrats, 14+ pts

—

89%

Colorado Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leader: Democrats, 10+ pts

—

85%

Arkansas Senate margin of victory

4 options · Leader: Republicans, 14+ pts

—

80%

Alabama Senate margin of victory

10 options · Leader: Republicans, 15+ pts

—

75%

Iowa Senate winner? (Person)

3 options · Leader: Ashley Hinson

—

56%

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

1 option · Leader: Senate

—

60%

Who will endorse Susan Collins?

6 options · Leader: Olympia Snowe

—

24%

Alaska Senate election: number of rounds

3 options · Leader: 3

—

48%

Alaska Senate: who will advance?

9 options · Leader: Mary Peltola

—

94%

Alaska Senate election margin of victory

10 options · Leader: Mary Peltola, 0-3%

—

27%