Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·99%(+92%)How many people will Trump pardon in Sep 2026?·0·1%(-64%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/30-9/5)·At least 4·7%(-59%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·97%(+53%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 25·19%(-48%)Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 5.00M·72%(+44%)Hamilton East-Stoney Creek by-election winner?·Jeff Beattie·99%(+43%)Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?·Die Linke·10%(-43%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place·Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva·10%(-40%)Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory·Republicans, 5+ pts·2.4%(-39.6%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 1·99%(+38%)Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?·Question 3·69%(+35%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·42%(+33%)Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?·Before 2028·84%(+27%)

Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·99%(+92%)How many people will Trump pardon in Sep 2026?·0·1%(-64%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/30-9/5)·At least 4·7%(-59%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·97%(+53%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 25·19%(-48%)Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 5.00M·72%(+44%)Hamilton East-Stoney Creek by-election winner?·Jeff Beattie·99%(+43%)Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?·Die Linke·10%(-43%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place·Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva·10%(-40%)Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory·Republicans, 5+ pts·2.4%(-39.6%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 1·99%(+38%)Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?·Question 3·69%(+35%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·42%(+33%)Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?·Before 2028·84%(+27%)

Live market summary

James Talarico is favored at 65% as of 4 Sep 2026, 21:34 UTC across 7 markets.

policy7 marketsLIVE

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 11, 2026?

All options

James Talarico

65%

—

$344

Jon Ossoff

17%

—

$234

Abdul El-Sayed

2%

—

$144

Angie Nixon

1%

—

$144

Mary Peltola

1%

—

$144

Sherrod Brown

1%

—

$144

Troy Jackson

1%

—

$144

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 11, 2026?

James Talarico is favored at 65% as of 4 Sep 2026, 21:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 11, 2026?

James Talarico: 65%; Jon Ossoff: 17%; Abdul El-Sayed: 2%; Angie Nixon: 1%; Mary Peltola: 1%; Sherrod Brown: 1%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.