Other policy markets

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

1 option · Leads: Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2? · Vol: $25.9M

-2%
21%

Will the SAVE Act become law?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $8.6M

-0.4%
8.1%

US-Iran nuclear deal?

8 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $5.6M

-2%
61%

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

2 options · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $2.0M

7.5%

What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

8 options · Leads: Greenland · Vol: $1.6M

+1.5%
3.9%

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

8 options · Leads: $0 / No Acquisition · Vol: $1.5M

+2%
83%

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

6 options · Leads: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Vol: $1.3M

-2%
14%

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

10 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $1.2M

+22%
66%

Who will be arrested in 2026?

19 options · Leads: John Brennan · Vol: $982K

+4%
53%

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

40 options · Leads: John Brennan · Vol: $914K

53%

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $788K

75%

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $764K

-0.3%
6.8%

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

1 option · Leads: In 2026 · Vol: $575K

30%

Which bills will become law in 2026?

29 options · Leads: ADS-B revenue-use restriction · Vol: $500K

-2%
29%

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $466K

+3%
49%

Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $388K

-4%
5.9%

Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

1 option · Leads: Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 3, 2026? · Vol: $316K

-1.7%
90.2%

Will the US acquire any new territory?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 21, 2029 · Vol: $310K

23%

Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?

2 options · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $272K

+1%
19%

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

4 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2030 · Vol: $257K

45%

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

2 options · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $251K

-2.3%
4.6%

Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $237K

+1.2%
8.3%

How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

6 options · Leads: At least 50 billion · Vol: $221K

9.4%

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

4 options · Leads: USAID · Vol: $177K

+5%
35%

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $166K

-7%
15%

Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $156K

14%

Will Trump expand the H1-B program?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $121K

17%

Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?

6 options · Leads: Marjorie Taylor Greene · Vol: $119K

-1%
44%

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $117K

-2%
23%

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $105K

30%

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

5 options · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2026 · Vol: $99K

+4%
80%

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027? · Vol: $94K

-0.1%
6.9%

NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

8 options · Leads: Increase 0.01-0.99% · Vol: $81K

-5%
40%

Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $80K

7.5%

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration

5 options · Leads: $42.5 trillion · Vol: $76K

99%

Deportations in 2026?

6 options · Leads: Above 200,000 · Vol: $74K

99%

Will Trump end income tax for people earning under $150k?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $72K

+0.2%
3.3%

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

18 options · Leads: Uganda · Vol: $72K

40%

Will Mamdani tax billionaires before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Will become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $69K

-5.5%
5.5%

US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Rating reduced · Vol: $68K

16%

Will Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $67K

2.1%

Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $66K

-1%
24%

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $64K

-1.5%
7.4%

How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?

12 options · Leads: Between 400 and 449 · Vol: $57K

17%

When will Trump's ballroom be completed?

4 options · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $57K

77%

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $55K

53%

Who will receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?

6 options · Leads: Anyone · Vol: $55K

+2%
4%

US test scores in Math in 2026?

3 options · Leads: No significant difference · Vol: $54K

-4%
41%

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

3 options · Leads: Significant decrease · Vol: $54K

+2%
47%

Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?

6 options · Leads: Visible identification · Vol: $51K

+17%
28%

Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?

1 option · Leads: Will the corporate tax be decreased before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $51K

4.9%

Chicago Mayor winner?

9 options · Leads: Alexi Giannoulias · Vol: $51K

+9%
53%

Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?

1 option · Leads: By Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $50K

16%

Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $50K

31%

Will DC come under federal control in 2026?

1 option · Leads: A bill ending self rule in Washington DC · Vol: $50K

9%

Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $50K

-1.7%
7.2%

Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $48K

3%

When will the DOJ release Data Set 13?

2 options · Leads: Before September · Vol: $48K

10%

Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?

18 options · Leads: Bill Clinton · Vol: $47K

55%

Arizona Republican Attorney General nominee?

3 options · Leads: Warren Petersen · Vol: $47K

-0.2%
91.1%

How many government shutdowns in 2026?

4 options · Leads: 2 · Vol: $44K

58%

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (6/28 - 7/4)

2 options · Leads: Above 0 · Vol: $42K

-1%
1%

Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?

6 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2035 · Vol: $41K

39%

Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?

2 options · Leads: Before Apr 1, 2027 · Vol: $40K

+7%
49%

Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)

7 options · Leads: Alexi Giannoulias · Vol: $40K

47%

Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027? · Vol: $39K

-3.6%
4.8%

Will Trump order tariffs in Jul 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Jul 2026? · Vol: $38K

+27%
83%

Will Trump embargo a new country?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $36K

-1%
14%

Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027? · Vol: $35K

-0.9%
8%

Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $33K

-1%
14%

Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $33K

21%

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will the US government be shut down on Oct 1, 2026? · Vol: $33K

-7%
44%

Will Trump recognize Taiwan?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $33K

13%

Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 2028 · Vol: $32K

82%

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/12 - 7/18)

3 options · Leads: Above 1 · Vol: $32K

-6%
10%

Jacob Frey out as Mayor of Minneapolis?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $30K

3%

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

1 option · Leads: Government wins · Vol: $30K

+5%
49%

Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027? · Vol: $30K

14%

Los Angeles City Council District 13 winner election?

4 options · Leads: Hugo Soto-Martinez · Vol: $29K

98%

Will the Massachusetts rent control initiative pass?

1 option · Leads: In 2026 · Vol: $29K

7.7%

Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $28K

17%

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (7/5 - 7/11)

3 options · Leads: Above 0 · Vol: $28K

-2%
4%

Will NYC buses become free before 2027?

1 option · Leads: In 2026 · Vol: $28K

-0.5%
4.1%

How many bills with Trump veto in 2026?

5 options · Leads: At least 1 · Vol: $28K

57%

When will the House pass a budget resolution?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $26K

62%

Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?

4 options · Leads: Critical minerals · Vol: $26K

37%

How long will the next FISA authorization be?

5 options · Leads: At least 90 days · Vol: $26K

60%

RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)

7 options · Leads: Above 125 million · Vol: $25K

99%

Jessica Tisch departure announced?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $25K

+9%
32%

When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?

3 options · Leads: Before Apr 1, 2027 · Vol: $25K

60%

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/12 - 7/18)

1 option · Leads: Above 0 · Vol: $25K

-2%
1%

Will the US ban crude oil exports?

2 options · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $24K

+3%
18%

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $24K

59%

Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $24K

+5%
48%

How many people will Trump pardon in Jul 2026?

4 options · Leads: 10 to 24 · Vol: $24K

+18%
72%

Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $22K

63%

Will ICE change its name in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $22K

-1%
17%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Iowa?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $21K

63%

Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 2027 · Vol: $21K

2%

Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?

5 options · Leads: Chicago · Vol: $21K

23%

Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense become law before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $19K

-2%
32%

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

7 options · Leads: Above $1M · Vol: $19K

99%

Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $19K

-5%
48%

Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?

1 option · Leads: Will legislation that imposes liability for damages caused by a chatbot impersonating certain licensed professionals become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $19K

7.5%

Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?

1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $19K

61%

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

10 options · Leads: World Trade Organization · Vol: $19K

-1%
29%

Wisconsin Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $19K

86%

US bans social media for children in 2026?

1 option · Leads: US bans social media for children before 2027? · Vol: $18K

6.7%

DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)

5 options · Leads: Above 12 million · Vol: $18K

88%

Will the DOJ reopen its investigation into Powell?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $18K

7%

Who will leave California before 2027?

7 options · Leads: Peter Thiel · Vol: $18K

55%

Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $18K

+1.1%
11%

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? · Vol: $18K

+0.7%
5.1%

Will Trump pull CBP from a sanctuary city airport?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $18K

16%

Will Anthropic win its lawsuit against the Pentagon?

1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $17K

56%

Indiana Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $17K

69%

New York Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $16K

92.3%

How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jul 2026?

6 options · Leads: At least 1 · Vol: $15K

99%

Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $14K

-11%
70%

Will the House pass additional defense funding?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $14K

69%

Louisville Mayor Election winner?

2 options · Leads: Craig Greenberg · Vol: $13K

89%

Will Democrats hold a midterm convention?

1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $13K

7%

Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency become law before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $13K

99%

Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $13K

10%

Will the DOJ release the Biden ghostwriter tapes?

1 option · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2026 · Vol: $12K

47%

Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $12K

-5%
9%

Will Darline Graham Nordone endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 11, 2026 · Vol: $12K

+74%
92%

How many FY2027 appropriations bills will become law before Oct 1, 2026?

3 options · Leads: At least 1 · Vol: $12K

+2%
10%

Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $11K

6.2%

Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $11K

-3.5%
6.5%

How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?

8 options · Leads: 0 · Vol: $11K

-3%
37%

Will the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $11K

29%

Will Mamdani raise property taxes?

1 option · Leads: Will legislation increasing New York City's property tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $11K

12%

Will the President order the release of UFO files?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2026 · Vol: $11K

5%

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas in 2026? (Blexas)

1 option · Leads: Will the number of Democrats who win a statewide election in Texas in 2026 be above 0? · Vol: $10K

51%

Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?

7 options · Leads: Kyle Diamantas · Vol: $10K

8%

Major news story in Jul 2026?

4 options · Leads: At least 2 · Vol: $10K

32%

Texas Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Mayes Middleton · Vol: $10K

81%

Minnesota Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $10K

90.1%

Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?

3 options · Leads: Nevada Question 6 · Vol: $10K

98.7%

Will anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $10K

34%

Frank Bradley departure announced?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $9K

2.1%

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

1 option · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $9K

-1%
37%

Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $9K

6%

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

6 options · Leads: Secretary of State · Vol: $9K

92%

Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $9K

20%

Who will run for public office in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Glenn Youngkin · Vol: $9K

1.1%

Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?

1 option · Leads: Will Florida Amendment 3, “Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes” pass? · Vol: $8K

53%

Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $8K

+5%
36%

When will a farm bill become law?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $8K

62%

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 24, 2026?

4 options · Leads: Jon Ossoff · Vol: $8K

59%

Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?

6 options · Leads: COVID-19 · Vol: $8K

18%

Will the Jones Act be repealed?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $8K

10%

When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $7K

-7%
25%

Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $7K

34%

Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?

1 option · Leads: Before his term ends · Vol: $7K

25%

Arizona Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $6K

73%

Michigan Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $6K

78%

Will new tariffs become law?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K

+7%
37%

Los Angeles City Council District 1 winner

5 options · Leads: Eunisses Hernandez · Vol: $6K

92%

Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?

6 options · Leads: Argentina · Vol: $6K

20%

Will Trump impose capital controls?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $6K

19%

Number of White House Press Briefings in Jul 2026?

5 options · Leads: At least 1 · Vol: $6K

99%

Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $6K

33%

Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will becomes law before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $5K

-1%
12%

Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $5K

27%

Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K

-2%
19%

Will China abolish hukou?

4 options · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $5K

23%

Illinois Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $5K

99%

Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K

63%

Will Republicans hold a midterm convention?

1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $4K

91.9%

When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?

7 options · Leads: Before Dec 25, 2026 · Vol: $4K

92%

Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $4K

14%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Vermont?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $4K

90.2%

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

2 options · Leads: Bo French · Vol: $3K

67%

Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?

1 option · Leads: the 2026 California Voter ID initiative · Vol: $3K

46%

Will Trump declare a national emergency?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K

+5%
64%

Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K

53%

Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will X become law in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $3K

-1%
54%

Nevada Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $3K

85%

Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?

1 option · Leads: Before Trump's term ends · Vol: $3K

7%

Who will win the Attorney General race in New Mexico?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $3K

92.9%

Arkansas Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $3K

99%

Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K

+1%
20%

Will New York tax QSBS gains?

1 option · Leads: Will legislation that decouples New York tax law from the federal Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) gain exclusion under IRC §1202 become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $3K

11%

Nevada Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Nicole Jeanette Cannizzaro · Vol: $2K

83%

California State Senate District 26 election winner

1 option · Leads: Paul A. Bowers · Vol: $2K

1%

Wisconsin Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $2K

75%

Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $2K

8.8%

Missouri Amendment 4 passes?

1 option · Leads: Will Missouri Amendment 4: Require District-Level Approval for Constitutional Amendments pass? · Vol: $2K

+7%
27%

Will China abolish birth limits?

4 options · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $2K

52%

Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2K

-1%
79%

Which ballot measures will pass in California?

13 options · Leads: Proposition 45 · Vol: $2K

93%

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K

-3%
45%

Brendan Carr departure announced?

1 option · Leads: Will Brendan Carr leave chair of the Federal Communications Commission before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2K

+9.1%
19%

Will the Kids Online Safety Act become law?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $2K

18%

Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?

1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $2K

+6%
23%

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?

1 option · Leads: Sherrod Brown · Vol: $2K

-1%
3%

Arizona Secretary of State winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $2K

82%

Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?

6 options · Leads: Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite · Vol: $2K

62%

Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?

1 option · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $2K

24%

Will Georgia officially switch to permanent daylight saving time?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $2K

+6.5%
14%

Massachusetts Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $1K

93.1%

Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?

3 options · Leads: Before 2034 · Vol: $1K

38%

Will mail-order mifepristone access be restricted nationwide?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $1K

-7%
9%

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?

1 option · Leads: Jensen Huang · Vol: $1K

-22%
19%

Georgia Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $1K

50%

Will the nickel be discontinued?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $1K

2.4%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Kansas?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $1K

66%

South Carolina Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: David Stumbo · Vol: $1K

91%

Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2033 · Vol: $1K

30%

Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?

1 option · Leads: In 2027 · Vol: $997

2.2%

When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $847

+1%
36%

Will Michigan approve a constitutional convention?

1 option · Leads: Proposal 2026-01, the Michigan constitutional convention question · Vol: $828

16%

Will China obtain an EUV machine?

4 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2029 · Vol: $761

54%

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

6 options · Leads: Jerry Moran · Vol: $730

79%

Will the House vote on a birth tourism crackdown?

2 options · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2026 · Vol: $715

31%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Idaho?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $633

96%

NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?

5 options · Leads: Above $400 million · Vol: $632

72%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Oklahoma?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $609

92%

Ohio Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $595

78%

Connecticut Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $576

94.5%

Will the Drain the Swamp Act become law?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $573

6.2%

Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jul 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2026 · Vol: $557

-5%
21%

Will E-Verify be expanded in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $548

30%

Will the debt ceiling be abolished?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $512

6.7%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Florida?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $462

82%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Nebraska?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $423

88%

North Carolina Supreme Court winner?

2 options · Leads: Anita Earls · Vol: $356

79%

Who will Trump pardon?

1 option · Leads: Todd Blanche · Vol: $353

+1%
30%

Who will win the Attorney General race in North Dakota?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $327

91.2%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Maryland?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $323

95%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Rhode Island?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $322

91.2%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Colorado?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $316

+6.1%
90.1%

Will Trump release more Epstein files in Jul 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2026 · Vol: $306

+3%
4%

Will China unban Bitcoin?

4 options · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $274

17%

Who will win the Attorney General race in Delaware?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $270

89%

How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?

6 options · Leads: Above 5% · Vol: $265

94%

Will Ontario’s minimum wage increase take effect on October 1?

1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Ontario’s general minimum wage increase to $17.95 per hour takes effect as scheduled on October 1, 2026 before Oct 2, 2026? · Vol: $184

+5%
98%

South Dakota Attorney General winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $137

95.1%

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Abelardo de la Espriella · Vol: $103

74%

Will the 48E commercial solar Investment Tax Credit be reinstated before December 31, 2029?

1 option · Leads: Will legislation that reinstates the Section 48E commercial Investment Tax Credit, or an equivalent credit, equal to 30% or greater of the solar value for commercial filers who own solar assets beyond the eligibility window currently in effect under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21) become law before Dec 31, 2029? · Vol: $83

76%

Will Trump rename ICE to NICE?

1 option · Leads: Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) during in 2026? · Vol: $39

-2%
14%

Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $8

29%

Will the carried interest loophole be closed?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $6

17%

Who will visit the White House in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Abelardo de la Espriella · Vol: $5

80%

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Leonard Glenn Francis · Vol: $1

14%