Other policy markets
Will the Citrini scenario happen?
1 option · Leads: Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2? · Vol: $25.9M
Will the SAVE Act become law?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $14.1M
Will the Clarity Act become law?
7 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $4.1M
US-Iran nuclear deal?
7 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $3.1M
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
8 options · Leads: Cuba · Vol: $1.9M
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
8 options · Leads: $0 / No Acquisition · Vol: $1.7M
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
42 options · Leads: Anthony Fauci · Vol: $1.7M
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $1.6M
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $1.4M
Who will be arrested in 2026?
19 options · Leads: John Brennan · Vol: $1.3M
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
1 option · Leads: In 2026 · Vol: $1.2M
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $1.2M
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $969K
Which bills will become law in 2026?
30 options · Leads: Protect College Sports Act · Vol: $613K
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $582K
Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $437K
Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?
4 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $391K
Will the US acquire any new territory?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 21, 2029 · Vol: $346K
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
1 option · Leads: Will a one-time tax on billionaires be held in California before Nov 3, 2026? · Vol: $323K
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
4 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2030 · Vol: $293K
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
6 options · Leads: At least 50 billion · Vol: $270K
Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $244K
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $233K
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $216K
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
4 options · Leads: USAID · Vol: $200K
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $196K
Deportations in 2026?
6 options · Leads: Above 400,000 · Vol: $169K
Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $164K
Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $136K
Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?
1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect before Nov 3, 2026? · Vol: $130K
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
18 options · Leads: Prince Andrew · Vol: $130K
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
2 options · Leads: Jon Rosenthal · Vol: $126K
Will Trump expand the H-1B program?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $123K
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
5 options · Leads: John Fetterman · Vol: $118K
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
6 options · Leads: $40 trillion · Vol: $117K
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
4 options · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $105K
Chicago Mayor winner?
9 options · Leads: Alexi Giannoulias · Vol: $97K
NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?
8 options · Leads: Increase 0.01-0.99% · Vol: $88K
Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $87K
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $87K
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $80K
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
18 options · Leads: Uganda · Vol: $79K
How high will gas prices in New York get this year?
8 options · Leads: Above $4.80 · Vol: $78K
US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Rating reduced · Vol: $78K
Will Trump end income tax for people earning under $150k?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $77K
Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $76K
Will Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $71K
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $71K
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $68K
When will Trump's ballroom be completed?
4 options · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $64K
Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $63K
Will Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
1 option · Leads: Will the corporate tax be decreased before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $63K
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
3 options · Leads: Significant decrease · Vol: $62K
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
1 option · Leads: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Vol: $61K
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
12 options · Leads: Between 400 and 449 · Vol: $61K
US test scores in Math in 2026?
3 options · Leads: Significant decrease · Vol: $61K
Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?
1 option · Leads: By Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $60K
Will the federal government start mining Bitcoin?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $59K
How many government shutdowns in 2026?
4 options · Leads: 2 · Vol: $58K
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
4 options · Leads: On Nov 16, 2026 · Vol: $57K
Who will receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?
6 options · Leads: Enrique Tarrio · Vol: $57K
Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?
6 options · Leads: Mask ban · Vol: $56K
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
7 options · Leads: Above 500 · Vol: $56K
Will DC come under federal control in 2026?
1 option · Leads: A bill ending self rule in Washington DC · Vol: $51K
Will any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $49K
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
1 option · Leads: Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027? · Vol: $49K
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
6 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2035 · Vol: $47K
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)
7 options · Leads: Alexi Giannoulias · Vol: $46K
Which ballot measures will pass in Arkansas?
4 options · Leads: Citizens Only Voting Amendment · Vol: $45K
Will the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?
2 options · Leads: Before Apr 1, 2027 · Vol: $44K
Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $43K
Minnesota Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Keith Ellison · Vol: $42K
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?
1 option · Leads: Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027? · Vol: $41K
Harvard federal sponsored revenue in FY2026?
9 options · Leads: Above 650 million · Vol: $41K
Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $41K
How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
3 options · Leads: At least 3 · Vol: $40K
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $39K
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
2 options · Leads: Before Apr 1, 2027 · Vol: $38K
Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 2028 · Vol: $37K
Will any federal judges be confirmed in Oct 2026?
1 option · Leads: At least 1 · Vol: $36K
How many bills with Trump veto in 2026?
5 options · Leads: At least 1 · Vol: $36K
What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
1 option · Leads: Above 4.2 million · Vol: $36K
Will the U.S. sovereign wealth fund be operational before 2027?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $34K
Will the Massachusetts rent control initiative pass?
1 option · Leads: In 2026 · Vol: $34K
How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?
7 options · Leads: Above 25,000 · Vol: $34K
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?
1 option · Leads: Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027? · Vol: $33K
Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?
8 options · Leads: Proposition 316 · Vol: $33K
Iowa Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Brenna Bird · Vol: $33K
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
1 option · Leads: Government wins · Vol: $32K
Will the US ban crude oil exports?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $32K
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $31K
Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?
1 option · Leads: Will Florida Amendment 3, “Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes” pass? · Vol: $31K
Jacob Frey out as Mayor of Minneapolis?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $31K
How long will the next FISA authorization be in 2026?
5 options · Leads: At least 30 days · Vol: $30K
Los Angeles City Council District 13 winner election?
4 options · Leads: Hugo Soto-Martinez · Vol: $30K
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
4 options · Leads: Wind turbines · Vol: $30K
Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense become law before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $29K
Will NYC buses become free before 2027?
1 option · Leads: In 2026 · Vol: $29K
Jessica Tisch departure announced?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $29K
Which ballot measures will pass in Idaho?
3 options · Leads: English as Official State Language Amendment · Vol: $27K
Indiana Secretary of State winner?
2 options · Leads: Beau Bayh · Vol: $27K
Which ballot measures will pass in Alabama?
4 options · Leads: Amendment 3 · Vol: $26K
Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
4 options · Leads: On Nov 13, 2026 · Vol: $26K
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $25K
Will ICE change its name in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $25K
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
6 options · Leads: Raphael Warnock · Vol: $25K
Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $24K
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas in 2026? (Blexas)
1 option · Leads: Will the number of Democrats who win a statewide election in Texas in 2026 be above 0? · Vol: $24K
Will Trump embargo a new country?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $24K
Which ballot measures will pass in Louisiana?
10 options · Leads: Disabled Veteran Spouse Tax Exemption · Vol: $24K
Wisconsin Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Josh Kaul · Vol: $24K
Will Trump add himself to Mt. Rushmore?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $24K
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
13 options · Leads: Proposition 1 · Vol: $23K
Who will announce a California departure in 2026?
7 options · Leads: Peter Thiel · Vol: $23K
New York Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Letitia James · Vol: $23K
Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license?
2 options · Leads: Before Apr 1, 2027 · Vol: $23K
When will FISA be reauthorized again?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $22K
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
10 options · Leads: OECD · Vol: $22K
Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?
5 options · Leads: Houston · Vol: $22K
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
2 options · Leads: Michael Cohen · Vol: $22K
Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 2027 · Vol: $22K
Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo
4 options · Leads: Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico · Vol: $22K
When will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $21K
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
1 option · Leads: the 2026 California Voter ID initiative · Vol: $21K
San Francisco District 8 Supervisor election winner?
3 options · Leads: Darshini Patel · Vol: $21K
How low will gas prices in New York get this year?
5 options · Leads: Below $2.70 · Vol: $21K
Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
1 option · Leads: Will legislation that imposes liability for damages caused by a chatbot impersonating certain licensed professionals become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $21K
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
1 option · Leads: Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? · Vol: $20K
Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?
1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $20K
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)
9 options · Leads: Above $1M · Vol: $20K
Will Arkansas's crypto mining ownership ban survive appeal?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $19K
When will Trump name an AI czar?
4 options · Leads: Before Oct 9, 2026 · Vol: $19K
US bans social media for children in 2026?
1 option · Leads: US bans social media for children before 2027? · Vol: $19K
Will the DOJ reopen its investigation into Powell?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $19K
Will Iowa vote to require a two-thirds vote to raise the income tax?
1 option · Leads: Will Amendment 1 pass? · Vol: $19K
Number of White House Press Briefings in Oct 2026?
5 options · Leads: At least 1 · Vol: $19K
Will Mamdani raise property taxes?
1 option · Leads: Will legislation increasing New York City's property tax rate become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $18K
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/27 - 10/3)
1 option · Leads: Above 0 · Vol: $18K
Will the US ban CBDC in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency become law before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $18K
Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $18K
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
8 options · Leads: Yes, ≥1% · Vol: $17K
Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $17K
Arkansas Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Tim Griffin · Vol: $17K
When will the White House announce an end to its press ban?
1 option · Leads: Before Nov 1, 2026 · Vol: $17K
Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
1 option · Leads: Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority? · Vol: $16K
Arizona Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Kris Mayes · Vol: $16K
Which ballot measures will pass in Colorado?
8 options · Leads: Proposition 133 · Vol: $16K
California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)
5 options · Leads: No, ≥1% · Vol: $16K
Will Democrats hold a midterm convention?
1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $15K
Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will the California High-Speed Rail Authority announce that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $15K
When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $15K
When will the DOJ release Data Set 13?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $15K
Louisville Mayor Election winner?
2 options · Leads: Craig Greenberg · Vol: $15K
Which ballot measures will pass in Rhode Island?
5 options · Leads: Housing & Homeownership Bond · Vol: $15K
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 9, 2026?
6 options · Leads: Abdul El-Sayed · Vol: $15K
Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $14K
Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $14K
Will the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $14K
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/28 - 10/4)
2 options · Leads: Above 200 · Vol: $14K
Will Trump try to leave the USMCA?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $14K
Texas Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Mayes Middleton · Vol: $14K
Which abortion-related measures will pass in 2026?
3 options · Leads: Virginia Question 1 · Vol: $14K
When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?
3 options · Leads: Before Jul 1, 2027 · Vol: $14K
South Dakota Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Lance Russell · Vol: $13K
Will Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
1 option · Leads: Will the Maryland Transportation Authority (MDTA) or its Board announce its award of the contract to construct the main span of the replacement Francis Scott Key Bridge to a named firm or team, under any contract structure or delivery method before Oct 1, 2027? · Vol: $13K
When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $13K
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?
9 options · Leads: United Kingdom · Vol: $13K
Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will the US government be shut down on Dec 12, 2026? · Vol: $13K
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
8 options · Leads: U.S.–Mexico interim agreement · Vol: $13K
Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?
1 option · Leads: Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law? · Vol: $13K
Which ballot measures will pass in Indiana?
2 options · Leads: Public Question 1 · Vol: $13K
Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $13K
Which ballot measures will pass in Georgia?
3 options · Leads: Acre Limit Amendment · Vol: $12K
Will Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $12K
Will the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $12K
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $12K
Idaho Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Raúl Labrador · Vol: $12K
Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $12K
Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?
2 options · Leads: Before Apr 1, 2027 · Vol: $11K
Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska?
2 options · Leads: Ballot Measure 3 · Vol: $11K
Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?
1 option · Leads: Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027? · Vol: $11K
Will data center power-cost standards become law?
1 option · Leads: Will data center power-cost standards become law? · Vol: $11K
Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?
6 options · Leads: Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40) · Vol: $11K
Florida Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: James Uthmeier · Vol: $11K
Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $11K
Will anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $11K
Which ballot measures will pass in New Mexico?
5 options · Leads: Senior Citizen Facilities Bond · Vol: $11K
Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
1 option · Leads: Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again? · Vol: $10K
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
6 options · Leads: Attorney General · Vol: $10K
Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will X become law in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $10K
Which ballot measures will pass in Florida?
2 options · Leads: Amendment 1 · Vol: $10K
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
1 option · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $10K
Will Trump invoke the DC Home Rule Act?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $10K
Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $10K
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $10K
Frank Bradley departure announced?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $9K
Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
1 option · Leads: Will the Board of Regents of the University of Nebraska announce the pricing or closing of long-term bonds issued through the University of Nebraska Facilities Corporation totaling at least $250 million in aggregate principal amount, whose stated purposes include financing the Memorial Stadium "Big Red Rebuild" project before Jan 1, 2028? · Vol: $9K
Will Trump pull CBP from a sanctuary city airport?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $9K
Will Obamacare be repealed before 2029?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $9K
Which vaccines will the CDC no longer recommend in 2026?
6 options · Leads: COVID-19 · Vol: $9K
Who will run for public office in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Glenn Youngkin · Vol: $9K
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
1 option · Leads: Before his term ends · Vol: $8K
Vermont Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Charity R. Clark · Vol: $8K
Will the Jones Act be repealed?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $8K
Michigan Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Eli Savit · Vol: $8K
Which ballot measures will pass in Vermont?
2 options · Leads: Proposal 3 · Vol: $8K
Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $8K
Will China abolish hukou?
4 options · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $7K
Will Wyoming vote to exempt 50% of primary-home assessed value?
1 option · Leads: Will Initiative 1 pass? · Vol: $7K
First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $7K
DNC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
7 options · Leads: Above $8M · Vol: $7K
Will Maine approve contracts for the northern Maine wind and transmission project?
1 option · Leads: Will the Maine Public Utilities Commission announce its final approval of fully executed contracts (not bidder selections or term-sheet awards) under the Northern Maine Renewable Energy Development Program covering both a transmission line into ISO-New England and at least 600 MW (nameplate) of northern Maine renewable generation delivering over it before Jul 1, 2027? · Vol: $7K
Will Trump reverse the Lake America renaming?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $7K
Will Trump or the U.S. government sue Jerome Powell in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 2027 · Vol: $7K
Will Honolulu Charter Question 4 pass?
1 option · Leads: Will Honolulu Charter Question 4 pass? · Vol: $7K
Will DOJ formally investigate Watergate prosecutorial misconduct in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $7K
Will Kansas vote to require U.S. citizenship to vote?
1 option · Leads: Will HCR 5004 pass? · Vol: $6K
Which ballot measures will pass in Tennessee?
3 options · Leads: Amendment 2 · Vol: $6K
When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?
6 options · Leads: Before Feb 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K
Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K
Will Trump impose capital controls?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $6K
Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will becomes law before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $6K
When will Big Bend border construction resume?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K
Which ballot measures will pass in Virginia?
1 option · Leads: Question 3 · Vol: $6K
When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K
Will New Hampshire vote to eliminate the register of probate office?
1 option · Leads: Register of Probate Amendment · Vol: $6K
Will Kentucky vote to limit gubernatorial election-period pardons?
1 option · Leads: Will Amendment 1 pass? · Vol: $6K
Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?
2 options · Leads: Before Apr 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K
Will Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?
1 option · Leads: Will Maine enact a law restricting large data centers? · Vol: $6K
Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $6K
Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?
1 option · Leads: Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants? · Vol: $6K
How many bills will President Trump sign in Oct 2026?
5 options · Leads: At least 16 · Vol: $6K
Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $6K
Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $6K
Oklahoma Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Jon Echols · Vol: $5K
Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K
Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?
1 option · Leads: Will Tennessee regulate data center water use? · Vol: $5K
Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K
FTC investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will the Federal Trade Commission announce opening an investigation into the acquisition, scanning and destruction of books by artificial intelligence companies for use in training AI models before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $5K
MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements?
6 options · Leads: Above 15 million dollars · Vol: $5K
NRSC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
1 option · Leads: Above $20M · Vol: $5K
Will the US lose measles elimination status in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that PAHO's Regional Verification Commission (RVC) determines that endemic measles transmission has been re-established in the United States before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $5K
How many Florida mail votes will be cast?
5 options · Leads: At least 1.4 million · Vol: $5K
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $5K
Which ballot measures will pass in North Dakota?
2 options · Leads: Constitutional Measure 2 · Vol: $5K
When will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $5K
Which ballot measures will pass in Oklahoma?
2 options · Leads: State Question 847 · Vol: $5K
Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K
Ohio Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Keith Faber · Vol: $5K
Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K
Arizona Secretary of State winner?
2 options · Leads: Adrian Fontes · Vol: $5K
Which ballot measures will pass in Maryland?
2 options · Leads: Question 2 · Vol: $5K
Will the U.S. commit $15 billion to Sunnyside Yard?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $5K
Illinois Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Kwame Raoul · Vol: $5K
How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?
5 options · Leads: Above 160,000 · Vol: $5K
Nevada Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Nicole Jeanette Cannizzaro · Vol: $4K
Which ballot measures will pass in Missouri?
2 options · Leads: Amendment 8 · Vol: $4K
Will West Virginia require voters to be U.S. and West Virginia citizens?
1 option · Leads: Will Amendment 1 pass? · Vol: $4K
Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?
1 option · Leads: Will federal courts unblocked the policy suspending immigrant visa processing for 75 countries before Nov 24, 2026? · Vol: $4K
Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
1 option · Leads: Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products during before Nov 3, 2026? · Vol: $4K
Will Virginia require data centers to use clean energy?
1 option · Leads: Will Virginia require data centers to use clean energy? · Vol: $4K
When will a farm bill become law?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $4K
When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $4K
Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?
8 options · Leads: Question 1 · Vol: $4K
Nevada Secretary of State winner?
2 options · Leads: Cisco Aguilar · Vol: $4K
Which ballot measures will pass in Wisconsin?
3 options · Leads: Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment · Vol: $4K
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $4K
Will Massachusetts suspend its gas tax?
1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $4K
Will China abolish birth limits?
4 options · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $4K
Will Todd Blanche lose his New York law license?
1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Todd Blanche loses authorization to practice law in New York State through disbarment, an effective suspension, or a court-accepted resignation from the New York bar that removes his name from the roll of attorneys before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $4K
Which ballot measures will pass in Utah?
1 option · Leads: 60% Vote for Tax-Raising Initiatives · Vol: $4K
California Insurance Commissioner winner?
1 option · Leads: Ben Allen · Vol: $4K
Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
1 option · Leads: Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax? · Vol: $3K
What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
3 options · Leads: 10% or above · Vol: $3K
Who will Trump pardon?
1 option · Leads: Todd Blanche · Vol: $3K
Which ballot measures will pass in South Dakota?
3 options · Leads: Amendment J · Vol: $3K
Georgia Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Tanya Miller · Vol: $3K
Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?
1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $3K
Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K
Will Trump suspend habeas corpus?
1 option · Leads: Before Trump's term ends · Vol: $3K
Will the U.S. grant CAATSA sanctions relief to Turkey this year?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K
New Mexico Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Raúl Torrez · Vol: $3K
Will the US create a national AI regulator?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $3K
Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
2 options · Leads: D+37 to D+39.9 · Vol: $3K
Will New York tax QSBS gains?
1 option · Leads: Will legislation that decouples New York tax law from the federal Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS) gain exclusion under IRC §1202 become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $3K
Which ballot measures will pass in Nebraska?
3 options · Leads: Fairness for Girls Constitutional Amendment · Vol: $3K
Who will Donald Trump sue in 2026?
4 options · Leads: Center for American Progress · Vol: $3K
Will Minnesota vote to increase school-fund distributions?
1 option · Leads: Constitutional Amendment · Vol: $3K
Colorado Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Jena Griswold · Vol: $3K
Wisconsin Secretary of State winner?
2 options · Leads: JoCasta Zamarripa · Vol: $3K
Will the Kids Online Safety Act become law?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $3K
Will the FTC sue YouTube over account suspensions?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 2027 · Vol: $3K
When will the debt limit be increased?
5 options · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Abelardo de la Espriella · Vol: $3K
Ohio Supreme Court: Hawkins seat winner?
2 options · Leads: Dan Hawkins · Vol: $3K
Talarico for Texas Total Receipts (Q3)
2 options · Leads: Above $35M · Vol: $3K
Maryland Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Anthony G. Brown · Vol: $3K
Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
1 option · Leads: Above 8% · Vol: $2K
When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K
Which state laws will be enacted in 2026?
6 options · Leads: Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite · Vol: $2K
California State Senate District 26 election winner
1 option · Leads: Paul A. Bowers · Vol: $2K
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2030 · Vol: $2K
Will Georgia officially switch to permanent daylight saving time?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $2K
Kansas Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Kris Kobach · Vol: $2K
Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $2K
Will the House amend the Protect College Sports Act?
1 option · Leads: Will the House amend the Protect College Sports Act? · Vol: $2K
Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?
1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a systemwide University of California policy reinstating a requirement that first-year undergraduate applicants submit SAT or ACT scores for admission is formally adopted before Jan 1, 2028? · Vol: $2K
Will Trump’s name return to the Kennedy Center facade?
2 options · Leads: Before Jul 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2033 · Vol: $2K
Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
6 options · Leads: XRP · Vol: $2K
Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian?
1 option · Leads: Will the US agree to or announce a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2K
What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
4 options · Leads: 20% or above · Vol: $2K
Will HHS's youth gender-care policy take effect Oct. 13?
1 option · Leads: Will HHS's transgender Medicaid rule take effect Oct. 13? · Vol: $2K
Brendan Carr departure announced?
1 option · Leads: Will Brendan Carr leave chair of the Federal Communications Commission before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2K
Will Pennsylvania ban Flock cameras?
1 option · Leads: Will X become law in Pennsylvania before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2K
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
4 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2030 · Vol: $2K
Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal before 2027? · Vol: $2K
DC Circuit rules for AP on Oval Office access before 2028?
1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $2K
Will FERC move to break up PJM in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K
When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $2K
Who will Trump name as AI czar?
1 option · Leads: Scott Kupor · Vol: $2K
Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?
1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026? · Vol: $2K
Will Trump declare a national emergency?
3 options · Leads: Before Nov 1, 2026 · Vol: $2K
Will the EFTA II discharge petition reach 218 signatures?
1 option · Leads: At least 218 signatures · Vol: $2K
Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?
7 options · Leads: BPC-157 · Vol: $2K
Will the House pass additional defense funding?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
1 option · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $2K
When will Mamdani visit the White House?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K
When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $2K
Will mail-order mifepristone access be restricted nationwide?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $2K
Will Newsom call a California special session?
1 option · Leads: Will Newsom call a California special session before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2K
How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?
6 options · Leads: Above 5% · Vol: $2K
Massachusetts Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Andrea Joy Campbell · Vol: $1K
Will the nickel be discontinued?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $1K
Will DOJ sue a major grocery retailer over beef prices?
1 option · Leads: Will DOJ sue a major grocery retailer over beef prices? · Vol: $1K
When will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $1K
Which ballot measures will pass in Washington?
3 options · Leads: Initiative No. IL26-001 · Vol: $1K
Will Michigan approve a constitutional convention?
1 option · Leads: Proposal 2026-01, the Michigan constitutional convention question · Vol: $1K
Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?
3 options · Leads: Before 2034 · Vol: $1K
How many Florida votes will be cast early in person?
2 options · Leads: At least 2.2 million · Vol: $1K
Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS?
1 option · Leads: Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? · Vol: $1K
Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $1K
When will a reconciliation bill become law?
4 options · Leads: Before Jul 1, 2028 · Vol: $1K
Connecticut Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: William Tong · Vol: $1K
South Carolina Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: David Stumbo · Vol: $1K
RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
1 option · Leads: Above $105M · Vol: $1K
Ken Martin out as DNC chair?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $1K
Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?
1 option · Leads: In 2027 · Vol: $1K
Will Ohio vote to constitutionalize in-person voter ID?
1 option · Leads: Will Issue 3 pass? · Vol: $1K
Will USPS perform mandatory ballot-mail verification?
1 option · Leads: Will USPS perform mandatory ballot-mail verification? · Vol: $1K
Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Oct 2026? · Vol: $1K
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Norway · Vol: $1K
Will the Treasury purchase Bitcoin?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $1K
When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $965
How many House votes for the Protect College Sports Act?
1 option · Leads: Below 200 · Vol: $956
NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?
5 options · Leads: Above $400 million · Vol: $907
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Abelardo de la Espriella · Vol: $906
Will Trump's revised birthright order take effect?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $836
Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?
1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $834
Will E-Verify be expanded in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $809
Will Trump visit the Pentagon again in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will Donald Trump visit the Pentagon before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $773
Rhode Island Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Kim Ahern · Vol: $764
Will Fox win summary judgment against Smartmatic?
1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $755
North Carolina Supreme Court winner?
2 options · Leads: Anita Earls · Vol: $712
Will the Kennedy Center Board vote to demolish the Kennedy Center in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $670
Will Trump rename ICE to NICE?
1 option · Leads: Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on renaming U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to a name abbreviated NICE (such as National Immigration and Customs Enforcement) during in 2026? · Vol: $656
FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $621
Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?
1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $609
What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
2 options · Leads: 10% or above · Vol: $604
Will the Drain the Swamp Act become law?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 4, 2027 · Vol: $603
When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch?
1 option · Leads: Before Jul 1, 2027 · Vol: $598
MAGA Inc. Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
1 option · Leads: Above $375M · Vol: $590
Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $588
Will CMS announce a major Medicaid payment deferral against another state?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $548
Nebraska Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Mike Hilgers · Vol: $535
Will the debt ceiling be abolished?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $524
North Dakota Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Drew Wrigley · Vol: $524
Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
4 options · Leads: Atlanta, GA · Vol: $462
How many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested?
3 options · Leads: At least 1.4 million · Vol: $452
What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?
4 options · Leads: Above 86,000 · Vol: $450
Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?
6 options · Leads: Gotion High-Tech · Vol: $424
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
2 options · Leads: Above 170 million · Vol: $422
NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?
2 options · Leads: Above 34,250 · Vol: $410
Will CDC cut the childhood vaccine schedule below 11 diseases in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $404
Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $403
Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map?
1 option · Leads: Will Missouri Proposition A pass? · Vol: $402
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
1 option · Leads: Before Apr 1, 2027 · Vol: $396
Will China unban Bitcoin?
4 options · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $383
When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $362
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/4 - 10/10)
1 option · Leads: Above 1 · Vol: $338
Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law?
1 option · Leads: Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law? · Vol: $330
Will the carried interest loophole be closed?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $312
Delaware Attorney General winner?
2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $302
Nevada State Treasurer winner?
1 option · Leads: Drew Johnson · Vol: $275
California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent
1 option · Leads: At least 46% · Vol: $250
Will League City vote to keep its Flock cameras?
1 option · Leads: Will the League City proposition to continue using Flock cameras pass? · Vol: $249
Texas State House winner?
1 option · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $248
Will the D.C. Circuit fully affirm the Perkins Coie ruling?
1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $210
Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?
1 option · Leads: Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced? · Vol: $207
Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?
1 option · Leads: Above 350 days · Vol: $206
Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii?
1 option · Leads: Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment · Vol: $200
America PAC 2026 total disbursements?
1 option · Leads: At least 140 million dollars · Vol: $200
Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $177
When will Trump rename something else?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $163
Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction winner?
1 option · Leads: Teresa Leyba Ruiz · Vol: $160
Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
1 option · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $148
How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026?
1 option · Leads: 3 to 9 · Vol: $134
Will the 48E commercial solar Investment Tax Credit be reinstated before December 31, 2029?
1 option · Leads: Will legislation that reinstates the Section 48E commercial Investment Tax Credit, or an equivalent credit, equal to 30% or greater of the solar value for commercial filers who own solar assets beyond the eligibility window currently in effect under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21) become law before Dec 31, 2029? · Vol: $106
Chicago Board of Education President winner?
1 option · Leads: Sendhil Revuluri · Vol: $100
Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?
1 option · Leads: Will the US exit the Outer Space Treaty before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $85
How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?
1 option · Leads: At least 3 · Vol: $82
Which ballot measures will pass in Montana?
3 options · Leads: CI-132 · Vol: $75
What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
2 options · Leads: 10% or above · Vol: $68
Will New Mexico expand its FAIR Plan?
1 option · Leads: Will New Mexico expand its FAIR Plan? · Vol: $54
Will an Atlantic Shores offshore wind lease be terminated?
1 option · Leads: Will the U.S. Department of the Interior announce the relinquishment, cancellation, or other termination of at least one federal offshore wind lease held by Atlantic Shores Offshore Wind or one of its leaseholding subsidiaries before Jul 1, 2027? · Vol: $41
What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
3 options · Leads: 10% or above · Vol: $36
Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $34
How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
3 options · Leads: Above 41,000 · Vol: $29
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)
1 option · Leads: Above 275 · Vol: $28
When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?
1 option · Leads: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Vol: $26
What will the tariff rate on Indian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
3 options · Leads: 10% or above · Vol: $26
SMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
1 option · Leads: Above $75M · Vol: $12
Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?
1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by the European Commission that the European Travel Information and Authorisation System (ETIAS) begins accepting applications from the public before Jan 1, 2028? · Vol: $12
Will Apple win its case against OpenAI?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $11
Will Trump make a recess appointment?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $8
How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?
1 option · Leads: Above 15,000 · Vol: $7
Will HART push back Skyline's 2031 opening date?
1 option · Leads: Will the Honolulu Authority for Rapid Transportation (HART) announce a revised date for the start of Skyline passenger service to Kaʻākaukukui (Civic Center) Station that falls later than March 31, 2031, or that station's indefinite deferral before Jan 1, 2028? · Vol: $6
Will Illinois regulate data center energy and water use?
1 option · Leads: Will Illinois regulate data center energy and water use? · Vol: $6
Will Nevada vote to require photo ID and mail-voter verification?
1 option · Leads: Will Question 7 pass? · Vol: $5
Will Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Nov 1, 2026 · Vol: $5
When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?
1 option · Leads: Before Apr 6, 2028 · Vol: $4
Which ballot measures will pass in North Carolina?
3 options · Leads: Voter Identification Amendment · Vol: $3
NYC teachers' aides paid the Respect Check before Feb 2027?
1 option · Leads: Before Feb 1, 2027 · Vol: $3
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
1 option · Leads: Above 16,000 · Vol: $3
Will DHS adopt a $100k OPT fee this year?
1 option · Leads: Department of Homeland Security · Vol: $3
Will Maryland approve the Camden Yards ground lease before 2028?
1 option · Leads: Will the Maryland Board of Public Works announce final approval of a ground lease and its accompanying development plan granting the Baltimore Orioles or an affiliate the right to develop the state-owned land north of Lee Street at the Camden Yards Sports Complex before Jan 1, 2028? · Vol: $3
Will Virginia regulators approve the Dominion-NextEra merger?
1 option · Leads: Will the Virginia State Corporation Commission announce its approval, with or without conditions, of NextEra Energy's acquisition of control of Virginia Electric and Power Company before Feb 1, 2027? · Vol: $2
How many Senators will vote for the American Affordability and Jobs Act?
1 option · Leads: Above 80 · Vol: $2
Will Georgia regulators approve 4 more gigawatts of generating capacity?
1 option · Leads: Will the Georgia Public Service Commission announce the certification of at least 4,000 MW in aggregate of new generating or energy storage capacity for Georgia Power — nameplate MW newly approved as supply-side resources under Georgia's integrated resource planning statute, summed across any number of Commission decisions and excluding need findings, RFP approvals, and revisions to previously certified resources before Mar 1, 2028? · Vol: $2
CLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
1 option · Leads: Above $125M · Vol: $2
Will Maryland Question 3 pass?
1 option · Leads: Will Maryland Question 3 pass? · Vol: $0