How much will be spent on political ads in the 2026 cycle?
Trade ↗Above 11.5 billion dollars is favored at 62% as of 1 Nov 2026, 20:04 UTC across 2 markets.
- Above 11.5 billion dollars: 62% (24h change 0%)
- Above 12 billion dollars: 29% (24h change 0%)
All options
About this market
Market question: How much will be spent on political ads in the 2026 cycle?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How much will be spent on political ads in the 2026 cycle?
Above 11.5 billion dollars is favored at 62% as of 1 Nov 2026, 20:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How much will be spent on political ads in the 2026 cycle?
Above 11.5 billion dollars: 62%; Above 12 billion dollars: 29%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.