1 option · Leads: Will the number of Iowa races won by the Democratic Party among IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the U.S. Senate seat, and the Governorship during the November 3, 2026 general election be exactly 5? · Vol: $22K

—

30%

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

2 options · Leads: Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win · Vol: $20K

▼ -4%

18%

Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $20K

—

40%

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

1 option · Leads: Will Democrats hold 240 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 54 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms? · Vol: $18K

—

20%

Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?

5 options · Leads: Kevin Cramer · Vol: $16K

—

1.3%

Midterms: Blue trickle?

1 option · Leads: Will Democrats hold 215 or more seats in the House AND hold 48 or more seats in the Senate? · Vol: $13K

▼ -2%

91%

When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?

7 options · Leads: Before Nov 14 · Vol: $13K

—

98%

Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $13K

—

Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?

11 options · Leads: Illinois · Vol: $13K

—

81%

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

1 option · Leads: Zach Lahn and Josh Turek win · Vol: $13K

—

119th Congress legislative combo

1 option · Leads: Legislating combo · Vol: $11K

—

California State Senate District 26 election winner

7 options · Leads: Sara Hernandez · Vol: $11K

—

80%

Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?

5 options · Leads: Above 10% · Vol: $10K

—

42%

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026? · Vol: $9K

▲ +1%

38%

Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $8K

—

1.4%

Will the House impeach a federal judge this year?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $8K

—

4.1%

Elizabeth MacDonough departure announced?

1 option · Leads: Will Elizabeth MacDonough leave Parliamentarian of the United States Senate before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $8K

—

14%

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $8K

—

28%

When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $7K

—

27%

When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?

1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $6K

—

Will the blue slip process be removed?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2029 · Vol: $6K

—

43%

2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?

2 options · Leads: R+0.9 to D+0.9 · Vol: $5K

—

30%

Midterms: which party wins young men?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $5K

▲ +13%

84%

Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?

1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $5K

▲ +9%

56%

Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?

5 options · Leads: Sheldon Whitehouse · Vol: $5K

▲ +16%

55%

DSCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

6 options · Leads: Above $20M · Vol: $5K

—

74%

Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?

4 options · Leads: Keisha Lance Bottoms · Vol: $5K

▲ +8%

84%

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?

5 options · Leads: John Thune · Vol: $5K

—

34%

Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $5K

—

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

11 options · Leads: At least 10 · Vol: $4K

—

91%

HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

7 options · Leads: Above $80M · Vol: $4K

—

75%

Midterms: which party wins independents?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $4K

—

95%

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?

6 options · Leads: 3 · Vol: $4K

▲ +3%

28%

Who will be the next DNC Chair?

34 options · Leads: Martin O’Malley · Vol: $4K

—

17%

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?

1 option · Leads: John Thune · Vol: $3K

▲ +1%

43%

DCCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

7 options · Leads: Above $35M · Vol: $3K

—

77%

Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Troy Jackson · Vol: $3K

▲ +2%

84%

Wisconsin State Assembly winner?

2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $2K

—

79%

How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?

3 options · Leads: At least 1 · Vol: $2K

▲ +2%

39%

John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?

1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $2K

—

Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Oct 2026?

1 option · Leads: X · Vol: $2K

—

NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

7 options · Leads: Above $60M · Vol: $1K

—

83%

Midterms: which party wins white women?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $1K

—

79%

Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will anyone in Congress change parties? · Vol: $1K

—

24%

When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?

4 options · Leads: Before Nov 14 · Vol: $863

—

90%

Will Congressional salaries increase?

4 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2030 · Vol: $837

—

46%

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)

7 options · Leads: At least 3 · Vol: $604

—

82%

RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)

5 options · Leads: Above $85M · Vol: $447

—

83%

Midterms: which party wins white college-educated men?

2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $430

—

82%

Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?

1 option · Leads: Will the number of parties that control both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate during February 1, 2027 be above 0? · Vol: $421

▲ +1%

66%