Congressional markets
2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
4 options · Leader: D-House, D-Senate
Blue wave in 2026?
1 option · Leader: Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
25 options · Leader: Texas
Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?
1 option · Leader: Before 2027
2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
8 options · Leader: Democratic Sweep
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
1 option · Leader: Angela Alsobrooks
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?
10 options · Leader: Morgan McGarvey
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?
2 options · Leader: Before Jan 21, 2029
Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Jul 2026?
1 option · Leader: Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Jul 2026?
2026 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
9 options · Leader: 125 million and above
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?
13 options · Leader: Anthony Fauci
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
1 option · Leader: Republican Party
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
6 options · Leader: Before Dec 1, 2026
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (7/3-7/10)?
1 option · Leader: Above 5.6%
Blue tsunami in 2026?
1 option · Leader: Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
119th Congress legislative combo
2 options · Leader: Legislating combo
When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?
3 options · Leader: Before Nov 3, 2026
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
7 options · Leader: Above 55
Who will run for public office in 2026?
9 options · Leader: Matt Gaetz
John Thune announces departure before the midterms?
1 option · Leader: Will the Senate Majority Leader resign before Nov 3, 2026?
Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?
1 option · Leader: Will Zohran Mamdani endorse any candidate in any 2026 primary election for public office whose jurisdiction is outside of New York State before Sep 15, 2026?
Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?
1 option · Leader: John Thune
Will Congress override Trump's veto?
3 options · Leader: Before Jan 20, 2029
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
1 option · Leader: Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?
1 option · Leader: Hakeem Jeffries
How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
6 options · Leader: 7
Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?
2 options · Leader: Marsha Blackburn
Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?
1 option · Leader: Before 2029
Will the House vote to ban members of Congress from trading stocks?
1 option · Leader: Before 2027
Wisconsin State Assembly winner?
2 options · Leader: Democratic party
Elizabeth MacDonough departure announced?
1 option · Leader: Will Elizabeth MacDonough leave Parliamentarian of the United States Senate before Jan 1, 2027?
Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?
6 options · Leader: Brett Matsumoto
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
11 options · Leader: New York
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
6 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027
How many reconciliation bills will be passed in 2026?
2 options · Leader: 1
Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?
1 option · Leader: Will anyone in Congress change parties?
Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?
1 option · Leader: Before 2027
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
5 options · Leader: Keisha Lance Bottoms
How many states will redistrict before the midterms?
7 options · Leader: 9
Who will be the next DNC Chair?
34 options · Leader: Martin O’Malley
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
5 options · Leader: Steve Daines
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
8 options · Leader: At least 10
Delaware margin of victory
3 options · Leader: Democrats, 13+ pts
Will the midterms happen on time?
1 option · Leader: Will at least 50 states conduct 2026 U.S. House midterms on time?
Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?
1 option · Leader: Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?
How many candidates endorsed by Justice Democrats will win their primaries?
5 options · Leader: Above 3
Will the House impeach a federal judge this year?
1 option · Leader: Before 2027
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?
5 options · Leader: 3
Will the filibuster be weakened?
3 options · Leader: Before January 20, 2029
Will Trump's impeachments be expunged?
2 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027
Who will AOC endorse?
6 options · Leader: Claire Valdez
How many DSA-endorsed candidates will win their primaries?
5 options · Leader: Above 4
Who will drop out of their primary?
1 option · Leader: James Fishback
Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
1 option · Leader: Before Nov 3, 2026
Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?
4 options · Leader: Above 110
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
1 option · Leader: During Trump's term
Will Congressional salaries increase?
4 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2030
California State Senate District 26 election winner
7 options · Leader: Sara Hernandez
Will the blue slip process be removed?
3 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2029
Iowa Blue Wave Combo
1 option · Leader: Will the number of Iowa races won by the Democratic Party among IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the U.S. Senate seat, and the Governorship during the November 3, 2026 general election be exactly 5?
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
15 options · Leader: Charles Booker
Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
1 option · Leader: Before 2027
How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
1 option · Leader: At least 10