Congressional markets
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
4 options · Leads: D-House, D-Senate · Vol: $10.0M
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
2 options · Leads: Republican Party · Vol: $7.4M
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
25 options · Leads: California · Vol: $2.0M
Blue wave in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate? · Vol: $377K
2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?
8 options · Leads: Democratic Sweep · Vol: $365K
Blue tsunami in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate? · Vol: $346K
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 21, 2029 · Vol: $129K
Who will run for public office in 2026?
9 options · Leads: Joe Kent · Vol: $109K
How many reconciliation bills will be passed in 2026?
2 options · Leads: 1 · Vol: $98K
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
10 options · Leads: Charles Booker · Vol: $86K
2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?
9 options · Leads: 120 to 124.99 million · Vol: $79K
Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?
13 options · Leads: Sam Altman · Vol: $74K
When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $73K
Next Senate Democratic Leader?
10 options · Leads: Chris Murphy · Vol: $70K
Will the midterms happen on time?
1 option · Leads: Will at least 50 states conduct 2026 U.S. House midterms on time? · Vol: $55K
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
1 option · Leads: Republican Party · Vol: $45K
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $42K
Will the filibuster be weakened?
3 options · Leads: Before January 20, 2029 · Vol: $38K
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
1 option · Leads: During Trump's term · Vol: $38K
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
4 options · Leads: Democrats sweep · Vol: $33K
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
8 options · Leads: Above 50 · Vol: $29K
Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?
10 options · Leads: Roger Williams · Vol: $29K
Will Congress override Trump's veto?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $27K
119th Congress legislative combo
2 options · Leads: Legislating combo · Vol: $26K
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $25K
Who will AOC endorse?
3 options · Leads: Claire Valdez · Vol: $25K
Will Trump publicly call for John Thune to step down as Senate Majority Leader?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $25K
Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?
1 option · Leads: Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms? · Vol: $22K
Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $22K
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
10 options · Leads: At least 1 · Vol: $21K
NRSC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
6 options · Leads: Above $15M · Vol: $21K
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
5 options · Leads: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Vol: $20K
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/14-8/21)?
1 option · Leads: Above 6.8% · Vol: $17K
Iowa Blue Wave Combo
1 option · Leads: Will the number of Iowa races won by the Democratic Party among IA-01, IA-02, IA-03, the U.S. Senate seat, and the Governorship during the November 3, 2026 general election be exactly 5? · Vol: $16K
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
5 options · Leads: Steve Daines · Vol: $15K
How many states will redistrict before the midterms?
7 options · Leads: 8 · Vol: $15K
When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?
1 option · Leads: Before Oct 3, 2026 · Vol: $13K
Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $13K
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
11 options · Leads: Illinois · Vol: $12K
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
5 options · Leads: Mike Lee · Vol: $12K
California State Senate District 26 election winner
7 options · Leads: Sara Hernandez · Vol: $11K
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
1 option · Leads: Zach Lahn and Josh Turek win · Vol: $11K
When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?
2 options · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2026 · Vol: $11K
Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $8K
Elizabeth MacDonough departure announced?
1 option · Leads: Will Elizabeth MacDonough leave Parliamentarian of the United States Senate before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $8K
Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?
1 option · Leads: Will Zohran Mamdani endorse any candidate in any 2026 primary election for public office whose jurisdiction is outside of New York State before Sep 15, 2026? · Vol: $8K
Will the House impeach a federal judge this year?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $8K
How many candidates endorsed by Justice Democrats will win their primaries?
5 options · Leads: Above 4 · Vol: $7K
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026? · Vol: $6K
How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
4 options · Leads: 10 · Vol: $6K
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
2 options · Leads: Democratic Governor, Republican Senator · Vol: $6K
Red wave in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Red wave in 2026? · Vol: $5K
Will the blue slip process be removed?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2029 · Vol: $5K
DSCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
6 options · Leads: Above $20M · Vol: $5K
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
5 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K
Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $5K
HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
7 options · Leads: Above $80M · Vol: $4K
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
4 options · Leads: Mary Peltola · Vol: $4K
Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?
4 options · Leads: Sheldon Whitehouse · Vol: $4K
Who will be the next DNC Chair?
34 options · Leads: Faiz Shakir · Vol: $4K
How many DSA-endorsed candidates will win their primaries?
5 options · Leads: Above 2 · Vol: $4K
DCCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
6 options · Leads: Above $30M · Vol: $3K
How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?
1 option · Leads: At least 10 · Vol: $3K
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties in 2026?
5 options · Leads: 3 · Vol: $3K
Alaska at-large congressional district primary: Nick Begich vote percent
1 option · Leads: At least 40% · Vol: $3K
Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $2K
Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026? · Vol: $2K
Wisconsin State Assembly winner?
2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $2K
John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
2 options · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2026 · Vol: $2K
NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
7 options · Leads: Above $60M · Vol: $1K
How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
2 options · Leads: At least 1 · Vol: $1K
Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will anyone in Congress change parties? · Vol: $1K
Will Congressional salaries increase?
4 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2030 · Vol: $363
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
7 options · Leads: At least 3 · Vol: $345
Ken Martin out as DNC chair?
1 option · Leads: Before Dec 1, 2026 · Vol: $342
Delaware margin of victory
3 options · Leads: Democrats, 13+ pts · Vol: $309
Will Trump's impeachments be expunged?
2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $261
RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
5 options · Leads: Above $85M · Vol: $189
Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?
4 options · Leads: Above 110 · Vol: $20
Michigan Supreme Court election winners?
2 options · Leads: 1 Democrat and 1 Republican · Vol: $9
SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
5 options · Leads: Above $175M · Vol: $7