Congressional markets

VolumeOddsChange

2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

4 options · Leader: D-House, D-Senate

▲ +0.1%

44%

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

25 options · Leader: Texas

▲ +4%

97.2%

How many votes will the next reconciliation bill receive in the House?

12 options · Leader: Above 209

▲ +19%

95%

Who will leave Congress before July?

9 options · Leader: Cory Mills

▼ -5%

34%

Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?

3 options · Leader: Marsha Blackburn

▲ +4%

62%

Blue wave in 2026?

1 option · Leader: Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?

—

72%

How many reconciliation bills will be passed in 2026?

3 options · Leader: 1

▲ +5%

77%

Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

▼ -10%

3%

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (5/15-5/22)?

1 option · Leader: Above 6.3%

▲ +10%

95%

Who will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?

16 options · Leader: Cori Bush

▼ -4%

90%

Blue tsunami in 2026?

1 option · Leader: Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?

▼ -1%

42%

Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?

13 options · Leader: Colorado

▼ -30%

68%

2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate?

8 options · Leader: Democratic Sweep

▲ +1%

47%

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

2 options · Leader: Before Jan 21, 2029

▼ -1%

50%

Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?

1 option · Leader: Before 2029

—

3.1%

Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?

1 option · Leader: During Trump's term

—

7%

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

1 option · Leader: Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?

—

50%

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?

8 options · Leader: At least 5

▲ +2%

16%

Will the filibuster be weakened?

3 options · Leader: Before January 20, 2029

—

27%

When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?

6 options · Leader: Before Nov 3, 2026

▼ -1%

35%

Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?

1 option · Leader: Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?

▼ -4.8%

3.1%

How many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

9 options · Leader: 3

▲ +1%

17%

Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?

6 options · Leader: Nicole Saphier

—

48%

Who will testify in front of Congress in 2026?

13 options · Leader: Sam Altman

▲ +0.6%

56%

Will Congress override Trump's veto?

2 options · Leader: Before Jan 20, 2029

▼ -0.4%

26%

Trump-endorsed May primary candidates combo

1 option · Leader: Julia Letlow: the first round winner of the LA Senate GOP primary, Ed Gallrein: the winner of the KY-04 GOP primary, Burt Jones: the first round winner of the GA Gov GOP primary

▲ +27%

82%

Wisconsin State Assembly winner?

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

—

50%

SD-AL Republican nominee?

2 options · Leader: Marty Jackley

—

95%

SD-AL Democratic nominee?

2 options · Leader: Nikki Gronli

—

97%

Who will run for public office in 2026?

9 options · Leader: Joe Kent

▲ +0.3%

33%

Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?

1 option · Leader: Will anyone in Congress change parties?

—

13%

Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?

5 options · Leader: Jon Ossoff

▲ +4%

84%

How many states will redistrict before the midterms?

7 options · Leader: 10

—

34%

Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?

5 options · Leader: Steve Daines

▲ +0.2%

3.5%

Delaware margin of victory

9 options · Leader: Democrats, 16+ pts

—

81%

119th Congress legislative combo

2 options · Leader: Legislating combo

—

38%

Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled this month?

1 option · Leader: X

▼ -1%

2%

Will the House impeach a federal judge this year?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

—

8.5%

Will any member of Congress be expelled in 2026?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

—

25%

Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?

10 options · Leader: Nancy Pelosi

▼ -0.1%

7.9%

How many AIPAC-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?

3 options · Leader: At least 3

—

86%