How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.
38 or more had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 22 Sep 2026, 16:35 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.
Historical options
Last recorded priceAbout this market
Market question: How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.
Market odds FAQ
What were the last recorded odds for How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
38 or more had the highest retained price at 99% when this page was last updated on 22 Sep 2026, 16:35 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.
What are the historical odds for How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
38 or more: 99%; 36 or more: 96%; 44 or more: 77%; 48 or more: 55%; 40 or more: 4%; 46 or more: 2%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.