1 option · Leads: Will the option in Alberta’s 2026 referendum asking whether the Government of Alberta should commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada pass? · Vol: $30K

▼ -3%

Lebanese general election winner?

10 options · Leads: Election Postponed Beyond Expiration · Vol: $29K

—

67%

Berlin State Election: 4th Place

7 options · Leads: Grüne · Vol: $29K

—

99%

Georgian parliamentary election winner?

3 options · Leads: Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia · Vol: $28K

—

74%

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

4 options · Leads: Above 150 · Vol: $26K

▼ -1%

92%

Turkish presidential election: first round winner?

3 options · Leads: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan · Vol: $26K

—

64%

Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?

8 options · Leads: Andris Kulbergs · Vol: $26K

—

95%

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Vol: $26K

—

14%

Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?

1 option · Leads: Before 2035 · Vol: $25K

—

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

7 options · Leads: Emmanuel Macron · Vol: $25K

▼ -2%

65%

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

6 options · Leads: Hungary · Vol: $25K

—

8.4%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?

1 option · Leads: Before Nov 1, 2026 · Vol: $25K

—

7.5%

Which of these African leaders will leave office next?

10 options · Leads: Bola Tinubu · Vol: $24K

—

25%

Scottish independence referendum called?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $24K

—

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)

7 options · Leads: At least 10 · Vol: $24K

▼ -1%

Toronto mayoral election winner?

5 options · Leads: Olivia Chow · Vol: $24K

▲ +0.6%

91.6%

Quebec general election: 4th place

5 options · Leads: Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) · Vol: $24K

▲ +34%

75%

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?

1 option · Leads: Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term? · Vol: $24K

—

50%

Next President of Estonia?

11 options · Leads: Ülle Madise · Vol: $23K

—

94%

When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?

4 options · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $22K

—

78%

Which lists will win a Knesset seat?

20 options · Leads: Likud · Vol: $21K

—

98%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

22 options · Leads: Marine Le Pen · Vol: $21K

—

92%

Kaohsiung mayoral election winner?

3 options · Leads: Lai Jui-lung · Vol: $21K

▲ +2%

70%

Holborn and St Pancras by-election winner?

5 options · Leads: Labour Party · Vol: $21K

▲ +3%

86%

Prague mayoral election winner?

8 options · Leads: Tomáš Portlík · Vol: $21K

—

54%

Quebec general election: PQ number of seats?

10 options · Leads: 43 or more · Vol: $20K

▲ +5%

99%

Milton, Ontario mayoral election winner?

7 options · Leads: Gord Krantz · Vol: $20K

—

50%

Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)

7 options · Leads: At least 2% · Vol: $19K

▲ +11%

99%

British Columbia general election: 2nd place

5 options · Leads: BC NDP · Vol: $19K

▲ +4%

50%

Lai Ching-te departure announced?

3 options · Leads: Before January 1, 2028 · Vol: $18K

—

27%

Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $18K

—

3.2%

Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?

4 options · Leads: Ulrich Siegmund · Vol: $18K

▲ +5%

67%

Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?

6 options · Leads: One Nation · Vol: $18K

▼ -2%

61%

Australian House election winner?

4 options · Leads: Australian Labor Party · Vol: $17K

—

48%

French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?

6 options · Leads: Raphaël Glucksmann · Vol: $17K

▲ +8%

82%

North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?

7 options · Leads: CDU · Vol: $17K

—

67%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $17K

—

17%

Turkish presidential election winner?

8 options · Leads: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan · Vol: $17K

—

48%

Quebec general election: 5th place

5 options · Leads: Québec solidaire · Vol: $17K

▲ +5%

96%

Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?

1 option · Leads: Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $17K

—

22%

2028 London mayoral election winner?

8 options · Leads: Sadiq Khan · Vol: $17K

—

26%

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?

6 options · Leads: Aleksandar Vučić · Vol: $16K

▲ +4%

65%

New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?

14 options · Leads: Christopher Luxon · Vol: $16K

—

58%

When will Trump, Zelenskyy and Putin meet together?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $16K

—

32%

Philippine House winner?

5 options · Leads: Lakas · Vol: $16K

—

38%

Schleswig-Holstein state election winner?

8 options · Leads: CDU · Vol: $16K

—

64%

Gambian presidential election winner?

4 options · Leads: Adama Barrow · Vol: $15K

▼ -2%

68%

Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November?

1 option · Leads: Will Kash Patel visit Russia before Nov 1, 2026? · Vol: $15K

▲ +37%

50%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11)

3 options · Leads: October 7 · Vol: $15K

—

17%

Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?

1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $15K

—

44%

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $15K

—

55%

Rio de Janeiro Governor winner?

2 options · Leads: Douglas Ruas · Vol: $15K

▲ +78%

96%

Ghana parliamentary election winner?

2 options · Leads: NDC · Vol: $15K

—

61%

Ottawa mayoral election winner?

5 options · Leads: Mark Sutcliffe · Vol: $15K

▼ -1%

82%

Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats?

13 options · Leads: 2 or more · Vol: $15K

▼ -7%

53%

Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly?

1 option · Leads: 64 or more · Vol: $15K

▼ -15%

48%

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $15K

▼ -1%

40%

Philippine presidential election winner?

5 options · Leads: Sara Duterte · Vol: $14K

—

56%

Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $14K

—

12%

Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?

1 option · Leads: During Trump's term · Vol: $14K

—

15%

Spanish general election winner?

4 options · Leads: People's Party · Vol: $14K

—

86%

Nuevo León Governor winner?

24 options · Leads: Mariana Rodríguez Cantú · Vol: $14K

—

24%

Nigerian presidential election winner?

4 options · Leads: Bola Tinubu · Vol: $14K

—

71%

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $14K

▲ +10%

40%

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $14K

▼ -6%

New Taipei mayoral election winner?

2 options · Leads: Lee Shu-chuan · Vol: $13K

▲ +2%

55%

Malaysian general election winner?

3 options · Leads: BN-anchored coalition · Vol: $13K

—

36%

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

4 options · Leads: At least 6 · Vol: $13K

—

99%

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?

7 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2029 · Vol: $13K

—

93%

Will Trump endorse Netanyahu?

1 option · Leads: Before Oct 28, 2026 · Vol: $13K

▼ -7%

12%

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

3 options · Leads: Above 175 · Vol: $13K

▲ +2%

88%

Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $13K

▼ -5%

18%

Guatemalan Congressional election winner?

5 options · Leads: National Unity of Hope · Vol: $13K

—

41%

Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass?

1 option · Leads: Will YES win the 2026 Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero? · Vol: $13K

—

10%

Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?

6 options · Leads: At least 30% · Vol: $12K

—

92%

Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?

3 options · Leads: BSW · Vol: $12K

—

When will Trump and Mamdani meet?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $12K

▲ +8%

39%

Ghana presidential election winner?

6 options · Leads: Asiedu Nketia · Vol: $12K

—

33%

When will Canada announce a snap election?

2 options · Leads: Before Jul 1, 2028 · Vol: $12K

—

34%

Prime Minister of Greece after the next election?

9 options · Leads: Kyriakos Mitsotakis · Vol: $11K

—

87%

Prince George mayoral election winner?

7 options · Leads: Simon Yu · Vol: $11K

—

39%

Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?

1 option · Leads: Will Donald Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election before Oct 26, 2026? · Vol: $11K

▲ +22%

55%

Who will be British Columbia's Premier after the election?

7 options · Leads: David Eby · Vol: $11K

▲ +10%

53%

Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?

11 options · Leads: Giorgia Meloni · Vol: $11K

▲ +1%

36%

Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Green Party vote percent

6 options · Leads: At least 15% · Vol: $11K

—

90%

Taiwan presidential election winner?

3 options · Leads: William Lai · Vol: $11K

▼ -5%

63%

Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?

6 options · Leads: Helen Zille · Vol: $11K

—

72%

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

21 options · Leads: Yashar · Vol: $11K

—

43%

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout

4 options · Leads: At least 3,750,000 · Vol: $11K

—

93%

When will Wales call a snap election?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $10K

—

22%

Next Moldovan presidential election winner?

7 options · Leads: Alexandr Stoianoglo · Vol: $10K

—

19%

Berlin State Election: 2nd Place

7 options · Leads: CDU · Vol: $10K

—

99%

Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout

8 options · Leads: At least 116,000,000 · Vol: $10K

—

99%

Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?

1 option · Leads: Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $10K

—

1.1%

Holborn and St Pancras Green Party margin of victory?

3 options · Leads: Green Party, ≥3% · Vol: $10K

▼ -6%

10%

Will Trump visit China?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $10K

▼ -11%

88%

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?

7 options · Leads: Above 17 · Vol: $10K

—

98%

Kraków mayoral election winner?

10 options · Leads: Łukasz Gibała · Vol: $9K

▲ +2%

92%

Kenya Senate election winner?

3 options · Leads: Coalition including ODM · Vol: $9K

—

56%

Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election winner?

3 options · Leads: Modern Revolutionary Party · Vol: $9K

—

69%

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $9K

▼ -5.8%

9.2%

When will Serbia call its presidential election?

2 options · Leads: Before Nov 1, 2026 · Vol: $9K

—

42%

Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?

5 options · Leads: BC NDP · Vol: $9K

—

54%

Turkish general election winner?

4 options · Leads: AKP · Vol: $9K

—

68%

Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?

7 options · Leads: AfD · Vol: $9K

—

48%

Rio Grande do Norte Governor winner?

2 options · Leads: Allyson · Vol: $9K

▲ +26%

88%

Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?

10 options · Leads: Lorne Doerkson · Vol: $9K

—

29%

New Zealand general election winner?

4 options · Leads: Labour · Vol: $9K

—

53%

Will Nord Stream 2 open?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $9K

—

1.1%

Will BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $8K

—

12%

Huon Valley mayoral election winner?

3 options · Leads: Mark Jessop · Vol: $8K

—

32%

Will Trump visit Greenland?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $8K

—

40%

Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?

5 options · Leads: Paul St-Pierre Plamondon · Vol: $8K

▲ +1%

97%

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

21 options · Leads: Together · Vol: $8K

—

94%

Will Putin visit the U.S. in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will Vladimir Putin visit the United States before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $8K

▼ -1%

12%

Serbian parliamentary election winner?

2 options · Leads: SNS-led list · Vol: $8K

▲ +21%

92%

Italian Chamber of Deputies election winner?

5 options · Leads: Brothers of Italy · Vol: $7K

—

60%

Surrey mayoral election winner?

6 options · Leads: Brenda Locke · Vol: $7K

▼ -32%

54%

Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty?

1 option · Leads: Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $7K

—

Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?

8 options · Leads: Mette Frederiksen · Vol: $7K

—

27%

Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

2 options · Leads: Before December 1, 2026 · Vol: $7K

—

14%

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026?

8 options · Leads: Benjamin Netanyahu · Vol: $7K

▲ +8%

85%

Kelowna mayoral election winner?

4 options · Leads: Ron Cannan · Vol: $7K

—

57%

Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent

4 options · Leads: At least 7% · Vol: $7K

▲ +5%

63%

Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won

5 options · Leads: PL · Vol: $7K

▲ +60%

68%

Greek general election winner?

3 options · Leads: New Democracy · Vol: $7K

▼ -6%

87%

When will Canada gain EU associate status?

2 options · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $6K

—

25%

Taiwan Local Elections winner?

3 options · Leads: Kuomintang · Vol: $6K

—

89%

British Columbia general election winner?

5 options · Leads: BC Conservatives · Vol: $6K

▼ -4%

51%

What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

4 options · Leads: Hungary · Vol: $6K

—

12%

British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?

3 options · Leads: 42 or more · Vol: $6K

—

54%

When will France announce a snap election?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K

—

13%

When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed?

3 options · Leads: Before Sep 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K

—

39%

British Columbia election: NDP number of seats?

4 options · Leads: 37 or more · Vol: $6K

—

84%

SNS-led list margin of victory in Serbia?

4 options · Leads: SNS-led list, ≥5% · Vol: $5K

—

51%

Next Serbian presidential election winner?

2 options · Leads: SNS-backed candidate · Vol: $5K

▲ +27%

77%

Mississauga mayoral election winner?

14 options · Leads: Carolyn Parrish · Vol: $5K

—

47%

Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?

3 options · Leads: Alberto Núñez Feijóo · Vol: $5K

▼ -5%

79%

Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K

—

33%

Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats?

8 options · Leads: 28 or more · Vol: $5K

—

85%

When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?

2 options · Leads: Before Jul 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K

—

70%

Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?

4 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $5K

—

63%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

2 options · Leads: Above 260 · Vol: $5K

—

90%

Amazonas Governor winner?

2 options · Leads: Omar Aziz · Vol: $5K

—

73%

Saanich mayoral election winner?

3 options · Leads: Zac de Vries · Vol: $5K

—

62%

Winnipeg mayoral election winner?

4 options · Leads: Scott Gillingham · Vol: $5K

—

50%

Acre Governor winner?

2 options · Leads: Mailza Assis · Vol: $5K

▲ +30%

97%

Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?

5 options · Leads: Council Tax Replacement · Vol: $5K

—

96%

Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

7 options · Leads: AfD · Vol: $5K

—

96%

Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

1 option · Leads: Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum before 2030? · Vol: $5K

▲ +3%

27%

When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?

2 options · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $5K

—

64%

Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $5K

—

6.7%

Victorian state election winner?

3 options · Leads: Liberals and Nationals · Vol: $4K

—

52%

Israel Katz departure announced?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $4K

—

75%

Will the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?

1 option · Leads: Will the Council of the European Union report adoption of an EU ban on Israeli settlement goods before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $4K

—

10%

Will Christopher Luxon announce their departure as Prime Minister?

1 option · Leads: Before Nov 7, 2026 · Vol: $4K

▼ -4%

Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?

1 option · Leads: Will Northern Ireland confirm a reunification referendum before 2030? · Vol: $4K

—

12%

Cape Verde presidential election winner?

3 options · Leads: PAICV · Vol: $4K

—

81%

Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $4K

—

18%

Paraguayan Senate election winner?

6 options · Leads: Colorado · Vol: $4K

—

76%

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner?

8 options · Leads: SDA · Vol: $3K

▼ -3%

91%

Next government of the United Kingdom?

19 options · Leads: Reform UK majority · Vol: $3K

—

13%

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $3K

—

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yashar win?

4 options · Leads: Above 23 · Vol: $3K

—

48%

Nanaimo mayoral election winner?

3 options · Leads: Leonard Krog · Vol: $3K

▼ -10%

84%

AfD in a German state government in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $3K

—

47%

Croat member of the Presidency winner?

3 options · Leads: Darijana Filipovic · Vol: $3K

▲ +49%

98%

Bosniak member of the Presidency winner?

4 options · Leads: Denis Becirovic · Vol: $3K

▲ +17%

97%

Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?

3 options · Leads: Shell · Vol: $3K

—

58%

In what year will the next UK general election be held?

4 options · Leads: 2029 · Vol: $3K

—

46%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/28 - 10/4)

3 options · Leads: Above 270 · Vol: $3K

▼ -2%

80%

When will Canada raise tariffs on the US?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K

—

66%

Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?

10 options · Leads: Naftali Bennett · Vol: $3K

—

26%

Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban?

1 option · Leads: Will an under-16 social media ban become law in New Zealand before Oct 1, 2027? · Vol: $3K

—

68%

Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Will Spain announce the enactment of a law that bans bullfighting (‘corridas de toros’) nationwide. before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $3K

—

4.9%

Kenyan National Assembly winner?

3 options · Leads: Coalition including ODM · Vol: $3K

—

96.8%

Nigerian Senate election winner?

3 options · Leads: APC · Vol: $3K

—

81%

Who will be Premier of Victoria after the 2026 election?

3 options · Leads: Danny O'Brien · Vol: $3K

—

When will the UK's social media ban take effect?

3 options · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K

—

71%

Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K

—

25%

Dominican Republic Senate election winner?

3 options · Leads: Modern Revolutionary Party · Vol: $3K

—

71%

Poland general election winner?

5 options · Leads: Civic Coalition · Vol: $3K

—

55%

Launceston mayoral election winner?

3 options · Leads: Matthew Garwood · Vol: $2K

▼ -3%

59%

How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

2 options · Leads: Above 5 · Vol: $2K

—

Prešov mayoral election winner?

2 options · Leads: František Oľha · Vol: $2K

▲ +1%

63%

Mexican Chamber of Deputies election winner?

4 options · Leads: Morena · Vol: $2K

—

90%

Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $2K

▲ +6%

40%

French presidential election: who will advance?

13 options · Leads: Marine Le Pen · Vol: $2K

▲ +1%

85%

Brazil Federal District Governor winner?

2 options · Leads: Celina Leão · Vol: $2K

—

98%

Richmond, BC mayoral election winner?

4 options · Leads: Rob Howard · Vol: $2K

—

60%

Finnish general election winner?

5 options · Leads: Social Democratic Party · Vol: $2K

—

94%

Aguascalientes Governor winner?

9 options · Leads: Leo Montañez · Vol: $2K

—

38%

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)

5 options · Leads: At least 8 · Vol: $2K

—

77%

When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K

—

29%

Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $2K

—

12%

Berlin state election: Grüne vote share?

5 options · Leads: At least 12% · Vol: $2K

—

98%

Australian Senate election winner?

4 options · Leads: Australian Labor Party · Vol: $2K

—

69%

When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K

▲ +13%

28%

Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?

3 options · Leads: BJP-led NDA · Vol: $2K

—

85%

Will the French United Left primary be canceled?

1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by Front Populaire 2027 that the 2026 United Left primary organized by Front Populaire 2027 is canceled or otherwise not held before Oct 13, 2026? · Vol: $2K

▲ +6%

89%

Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?

3 options · Leads: Lee Fairclough · Vol: $2K

▲ +3%

48%

UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes

3 options · Leads: ROC recycle removal · Vol: $2K

—

41%

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K

▼ -6%

12%

Which leaders will meet before 2027?

2 options · Leads: Takaichi and Xi · Vol: $2K

—

54%

Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?

1 option · Leads: Will the US agree to or announce recognition of Argentina's sovereignty over the Falkland Islands before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2K

—

24%

Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?

3 options · Leads: Friedrich Merz · Vol: $2K

—

19%

Will the UK lift the football alcohol ban in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will the United Kingdom agree to or announce a trial of, or a full or partial lifting of, the ban on drinking alcohol within sight of the pitch at designated football matches in England or Wales before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2K

—

33%

When will Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer meet?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $1K

—

50%

Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent

6 options · Leads: At least 30% · Vol: $1K

▼ -6%

90%

Philippine Senate election winner?

2 options · Leads: NPC · Vol: $1K

—

52%

Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?

5 options · Leads: Labour, ≥5% · Vol: $1K

—

72%

Will Canada and the EU agree to expanded mobility rights?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $1K

—

Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election winner?

2 options · Leads: Erwin Wiens · Vol: $1K

—

51%

Will the United Kingdom join the EU?

3 options · Leads: By Jan 1, 2040 · Vol: $1K

—

15%

When will the Knesset approve a new government?

2 options · Leads: Before Feb 3, 2027 · Vol: $1K

—

81%

Berlin state election: AfD vote share?

3 options · Leads: At least 21% · Vol: $966

—

19%

Berlin state election: Die Linke vote share?

4 options · Leads: At least 24% · Vol: $943

—

98%

Berlin state election: SPD vote share?

5 options · Leads: At least 11% · Vol: $901

—

99%

When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $864

—

50%

Slovakia parliamentary election winner?

3 options · Leads: Coalition including PS · Vol: $827

—

46%

Berlin state election: BSW vote share?

5 options · Leads: At least 2% · Vol: $736

—

99%

Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?

6 options · Leads: Labour · Vol: $715

—

64%

Which November Swiss referendums will pass?

4 options · Leads: AHV VAT financing · Vol: $703

—

69%

Hamilton mayoral election winner?

3 options · Leads: Keanin Loomis · Vol: $670

—

67%

Kamloops mayoral election winner?

2 options · Leads: Nelly Dever · Vol: $657

▲ +2%

18%

Will Navitas face formal prosecution over Sea Lion?

1 option · Leads: Will Argentine prosecutors formally accuse Navitas or its executives over Sea Lion before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $614

—

46%

When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?

2 options · Leads: Before Apr 6, 2027 · Vol: $612

—

31%

Holborn and St Pancras by-election: 2nd place

3 options · Leads: Green Party · Vol: $606

—

84%

Will Wales announce an independence referendum?

1 option · Leads: Will Wales announce an independence referendum before 2030? · Vol: $604

—

20%

Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?

2 options · Leads: Manitoba · Vol: $600

—

68%

How many Israeli elections until a government forms?

2 options · Leads: 1 · Vol: $595

—

69%

Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

6 options · Leads: Anthony Albanese · Vol: $585

—

35%

How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?

4 options · Leads: At least 2 · Vol: $582

—

46%

When will Putin and Zelenskyy meet?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2029 · Vol: $552

—

28%

Italian Senate election winner?

5 options · Leads: Brothers of Italy · Vol: $548

—

54%

Taichung mayoral election winner?

3 options · Leads: Chiang Chi-chen · Vol: $510

—

93%

Will any Canadian province announce a $19+ minimum wage in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by the government of any Canadian province that a Canadian provincial government publicly announces that its province’s general minimum wage is set to increase above C$19.00 per hour before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $505

—

Paraguayan Chamber of Deputies election winner?

6 options · Leads: Colorado · Vol: $358

—

82%

Waratah-Wynyard mayoral election winner?

2 options · Leads: Dillon Roberts · Vol: $227

—

27%

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?

2 options · Leads: Above 10 · Vol: $224

—

65%

Will Iceland ban commercial whaling?

1 option · Leads: Will Iceland ban commercial whaling? · Vol: $205

▼ -8%

30%

When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?

1 option · Leads: Before Apr 1, 2027 · Vol: $200

—

64%

Will Turkey announce a snap election in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will Turkey announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $193

—

Berlin state election: CDU vote share?

3 options · Leads: At least 17% · Vol: $156

—

98%

Prime Minister of Fiji after the next election?

4 options · Leads: Inia Seruiratu · Vol: $45

—

20%

Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?

1 option · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $24

—

40%

Will legislation establishing the Canada Strong Fund become law in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will X become law in Canada before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $18

—

23%

Next Canadian federal election winner?

3 options · Leads: Liberal Party · Vol: $17

—

54%

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

5 options · Leads: Kemi Badenoch · Vol: $6

—

26%

Will Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by Government of Alberta that the Government of Alberta publicly announces that Alberta’s general minimum wage will be increased above $15.00 per hour before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2

—