1 option · Leads: Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $15K

—

56%

Latvia parliamentary election winner?

9 options · Leads: United List · Vol: $15K

—

35%

Philippine presidential election winner?

5 options · Leads: Sara Duterte · Vol: $14K

—

59%

Toronto mayoral election winner?

4 options · Leads: Olivia Chow · Vol: $14K

▼ -1%

80%

Gambian presidential election winner?

4 options · Leads: Adama Barrow · Vol: $14K

—

70%

Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?

1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $14K

—

53%

2028 London mayoral election winner?

8 options · Leads: Laila Cunningham · Vol: $14K

—

26%

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $14K

—

72%

Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?

1 option · Leads: During Trump's term · Vol: $13K

—

17%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

7 options · Leads: Renan Santos · Vol: $13K

—

68%

Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?

2 options · Leads: Before Nov 1, 2026 · Vol: $13K

▼ -2%

81%

Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes?

1 option · Leads: Will the option in Alberta’s 2026 referendum asking whether the Government of Alberta should commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada pass? · Vol: $12K

▼ -4%

10%

Zambia National Assembly election winner?

2 options · Leads: United Party for National Development · Vol: $12K

—

90.6%

Malaysian general election winner?

3 options · Leads: PH-anchored coalition · Vol: $11K

—

56%

Ghana presidential election winner?

6 options · Leads: Asiedu Nketia · Vol: $11K

—

24%

Guatemalan Congressional election winner?

4 options · Leads: National Unity of Hope · Vol: $11K

—

29%

Minas Gerais Governor winner?

5 options · Leads: Cleitinho Azevedo · Vol: $11K

▼ -4%

52%

Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $11K

—

42%

Moldovan presidential election winner?

7 options · Leads: Alexandr Stoianoglo · Vol: $10K

—

19%

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $10K

—

64%

Taiwan presidential election winner?

3 options · Leads: William Lai · Vol: $10K

—

61%

Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $10K

—

11%

Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?

1 option · Leads: Will anyone win outright in the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election? · Vol: $10K

—

11%

Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?

6 options · Leads: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · Vol: $9K

—

93%

Nigerian presidential election winner?

4 options · Leads: Bola Tinubu · Vol: $9K

—

66%

Kenya Senate election winner?

3 options · Leads: Coalition including ODM · Vol: $9K

—

56%

Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election winner?

3 options · Leads: Modern Revolutionary Party · Vol: $9K

—

72%

Will Trump endorse Netanyahu?

2 options · Leads: Before Oct 28, 2026 · Vol: $9K

—

68%

Brazilian Senate election winner?

4 options · Leads: Liberal Party · Vol: $9K

—

86%

São Toméan presidential election winner?

4 options · Leads: Carlos Vila Nova · Vol: $9K

▼ -1%

88%

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $9K

—

13%

Will Nord Stream 2 open?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $8K

▼ -0.3%

5.2%

Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?

1 option · Leads: Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $8K

—

14%

Benjamin Netanyahu out as Prime Minister of Israel?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2026 · Vol: $8K

▼ -1%

French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?

6 options · Leads: Philippe Brun · Vol: $8K

—

19%

New Zealand general election winner?

3 options · Leads: Labour · Vol: $7K

—

59%

Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?

6 options · Leads: Ed Miliband · Vol: $7K

—

54%

Spanish general election winner?

4 options · Leads: People's Party · Vol: $7K

—

81%

Will BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $7K

—

12%

Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place

5 options · Leads: Reform UK · Vol: $6K

▲ +5%

61%

Will Serbia announce a snap election?

3 options · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2026 · Vol: $6K

—

62%

Turkish general election winner?

4 options · Leads: AKP · Vol: $6K

—

69%

Italian Chamber of Deputies election winner?

5 options · Leads: Brothers of Italy · Vol: $6K

—

51%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

6 options · Leads: Lula da Silva, ≥15% · Vol: $6K

—

47%

What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

4 options · Leads: Hungary · Vol: $6K

—

When will France announce a snap election?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K

—

16%

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?

3 options · Leads: Sanae Takaichi · Vol: $6K

▼ -41%

14%

Clacton by-election: 3rd place

15 options · Leads: Count Binface Party · Vol: $5K

▼ -1%

22%

Will Peru’s JNE annul the presidential election?

1 option · Leads: Before Jul 28, 2026 · Vol: $5K

—

Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K

—

57%

Clacton by-election: 4th place

15 options · Leads: Reclaim Party · Vol: $5K

▲ +8%

19%

Will Nauru be renamed to Naoero?

1 option · Leads: Will YES win the 2026 Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero? · Vol: $5K

—

63%

Greek general election winner?

3 options · Leads: New Democracy · Vol: $5K

—

87%

Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will Japan announce any reduction, suspension, or elimination of the current 8% food consumption tax before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $5K

—

66%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

22 options · Leads: Édouard Philippe · Vol: $5K

—

87%

Ilie Bolojan out as Prime Minister of Romania?

3 options · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2026 · Vol: $5K

—

48%

Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $4K

▼ -0.4%

6.2%

Berlin state election winner?

7 options · Leads: Die Linke · Vol: $4K

▲ +6%

42%

Israel Katz departure announced?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $4K

▲ +1%

44%

Paraguayan Senate election winner?

6 options · Leads: Colorado · Vol: $4K

—

77%

Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $4K

—

27%

Next government of the United Kingdom?

19 options · Leads: Labour majority · Vol: $3K

—

20%

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $3K

▲ +4%

13%

Taiwan Local Elections winner?

3 options · Leads: Kuomintang · Vol: $3K

—

85%

Who will win the next Kenyan National Assembly election?

3 options · Leads: Coalition including ODM · Vol: $3K

—

96.8%

Dominican Republic Senate election winner?

3 options · Leads: Modern Revolutionary Party · Vol: $3K

—

77%

Poland general election winner?

5 options · Leads: Civic Coalition · Vol: $2K

—

55%

How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

2 options · Leads: Above 5 · Vol: $2K

—

Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Will Spain announce the enactment of a law that bans bullfighting (‘corridas de toros’) nationwide. before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2K

▼ -0.9%

4.3%

Ottawa mayoral election winner?

3 options · Leads: Mark Sutcliffe · Vol: $2K

—

75%

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

5 options · Leads: At least 5 · Vol: $2K

—

99%

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)

6 options · Leads: Above 10 · Vol: $2K

—

72%

Greater Manchester mayoral election margin of victory?

8 options · Leads: Labour, ≥10% · Vol: $2K

▲ +3%

82%

Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?

8 options · Leads: Alexander Stubb · Vol: $2K

—

18%

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)

10 options · Leads: Above 20 · Vol: $2K

—

95%

Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?

29 options · Leads: Ed Miliband · Vol: $2K

—

98%

Australian Senate election winner?

4 options · Leads: Australian Labor Party · Vol: $2K

—

74%

Rio de Janeiro Governor winner?

3 options · Leads: Eduardo Paes · Vol: $2K

—

89%

Swiss initiatives: September 2026

2 options · Leads: Food Initiative · Vol: $2K

—

Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?

3 options · Leads: Alberto Núñez Feijóo · Vol: $2K

—

83%

When will the UK's social media ban take effect?

3 options · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K

—

77%

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

3 options · Leads: PL · Vol: $2K

—

92%

UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes

3 options · Leads: ROC recycle removal · Vol: $2K

—

50%

Will Trump visit Greenland?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $2K

—

44%

Will José María Balcázar be impeached?

1 option · Leads: Will José María Balcázar be impeached before Jul 29, 2026? · Vol: $2K

—

Philippine Senate election winner?

2 options · Leads: NPC · Vol: $1K

—

58%

Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?

4 options · Leads: Frank Chikane · Vol: $1K

—

19%

Cook Islands general election winner?

4 options · Leads: Cook Islands Party · Vol: $903

—

61%

Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $875

—

17%

Finnish general election winner?

5 options · Leads: Social Democratic Party · Vol: $859

—

94%

Slovakia parliamentary election winner?

3 options · Leads: Coalition including PS · Vol: $813

—

54%

Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won

3 options · Leads: PSD · Vol: $809

—

37%

Will the United Kingdom join the EU?

3 options · Leads: Before 2040 · Vol: $785

—

11%

Mexican Chamber of Deputies election winner?

4 options · Leads: Morena · Vol: $712

—

86%

Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum

1 option · Leads: Will Yes win the 2026 Icelandic referendum on resuming European Union membership negotiations? · Vol: $700

▼ -2%

49%

Will Spain announce a snap election in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $660

—

30%

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election: Most Seats Won

3 options · Leads: PL · Vol: $530

—

73%

Will the French United Left primary be canceled?

1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by Front Populaire 2027 that the 2026 United Left primary organized by Front Populaire 2027 is canceled or otherwise not held before Oct 13, 2026? · Vol: $514

—

81%

Italian Senate election winner?

5 options · Leads: Brothers of Italy · Vol: $453

—

60%

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?

6 options · Leads: Aleksandar Vučić · Vol: $431

—

70%

Paraguayan Chamber of Deputies election winner?

6 options · Leads: Colorado · Vol: $357

—

82%

How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?

3 options · Leads: 40 or more · Vol: $299

—

58%

Cape Verde presidential election winner?

2 options · Leads: MpD · Vol: $286

—

35%

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

4 options · Leads: Magdalena Andersson · Vol: $280

—

78%

Nigerian Senate election winner?

2 options · Leads: APC · Vol: $213

—

64%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)

2 options · Leads: July 20 · Vol: $208

—

17%

Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

3 options · Leads: Richard Marles · Vol: $193

—

French presidential election: who will advance?

13 options · Leads: Marine Le Pen · Vol: $134

—

49%

Serbian parliamentary election winner?

2 options · Leads: SNS-led list · Vol: $97

—

88%

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election winner?

5 options · Leads: SDA · Vol: $42

—

75%

Will legislation establishing the Canada Strong Fund become law in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will X become law in Canada before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $9

—

35%

Will Turkey announce a snap election in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will Turkey announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $4

—

10%

Will any Canadian province announce a $19+ minimum wage in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by the government of any Canadian province that a Canadian provincial government publicly announces that its province’s general minimum wage is set to increase above C$19.00 per hour before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2

—

13%

Will Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by Government of Alberta that the Government of Alberta publicly announces that Alberta’s general minimum wage will be increased above $15.00 per hour before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $1

—