1 option · Leader: Will the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027?

—

26%

Who will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

4 options · Leader: Olivia Chow

▼ -3%

69%

Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?

4 options · Leader: Adama Barrow

▼ -0.1%

66%

Who will win the next Swedish general election?

5 options · Leader: Swedish Social Democratic Party

▼ -68.5%

1.5%

Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

6 options · Leader: Ed Miliband

▼ -6%

48%

Who will win the next Spanish general election?

4 options · Leader: People's Party

▼ -41%

32%

Will Spain ban bullfighting before 2027?

1 option · Leader: Will Spain announce the enactment of a law that bans bullfighting (‘corridas de toros’) nationwide. before Jan 1, 2027?

▲ +0.3%

4.5%

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

1 option · Leader: Will the UK announce a snap election before Jan 1, 2027?

▲ +15%

27%

When will France announce a snap election?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

—

20%

Slovak Referendum on Lifelong Payments for Leaders

1 option · Leader: Will Yes win the 2026 Slovak referendum on cancelling lifelong payments for former Prime Ministers and Parliament Speakers?

—

21%

Who will win the next Slovak parliamentary election?

3 options · Leader: Coalition including Hlas-SD

▼ -34%

4.1%

Rio de Janeiro Governor winner?

4 options · Leader: Anthony Garotinho

▼ -2%

Who will win the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election?

5 options · Leader: PQ

▲ +1%

59%

Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?

1 option · Leader: Before 2029

—

19%

Who will win the first round of the next Turkish presidential election?

3 options · Leader: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

▼ -52%

Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election?

3 options · Leader: William Lai

▲ +1%

56%

Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?

4 options · Leader: Bola Tinubu

▼ -11%

47%

Who will win the next Polish general election?

5 options · Leader: Civic Coalition

▼ -0.1%

49%

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

—

20%

Who will win the next Philippine Senate election?

2 options · Leader: Nacionalista

▼ -31%

27%

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election?

5 options · Leader: Sara Duterte

▲ +15%

75%

Who will win the next Philippine House election?

5 options · Leader: Lakas

—

38%

Will José María Balcázar be impeached?

1 option · Leader: Will José María Balcázar be impeached before Jul 29, 2026?

▲ +0.1%

1.3%

Who will win the next Turkish general election?

4 options · Leader: AKP

—

63%

Who will win the next Paraguayan Senate election?

6 options · Leader: Colorado

▼ -66%

Who will win the next Paraguayan Chamber of Deputies election?

6 options · Leader: Colorado

▼ -64%

Who will win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

3 options · Leader: Mark Sutcliffe

▼ -2%

71%

Will Nord Stream 2 open?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

—

Who will win the next Nigerian Senate election?

3 options · Leader: APC

▼ -34%

50%

New Zealand general election winner?

6 options · Leader: Labour

▼ -31%

17%

Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?

1 option · Leader: Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?

▲ +1%

17%

Who will win the next Mongolian presidential election?

5 options · Leader: Gombojavyn Zandanshatar

—

53%

Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election?

7 options · Leader: Dorin Recean

▼ -9%

Minas Gerais Governor winner?

6 options · Leader: Cleitinho Azevedo

▼ -36%

Who will win the next Mexican Chamber of deputies election?

6 options · Leader: Morena

▼ -66%

Who will win the next Malaysian general election?

3 options · Leader: BN-anchored coalition

▼ -41%

Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?

1 option · Leader: Before 2028

▼ -1%

56%

Who will win the 2028 London mayoral election?

8 options · Leader: Sadiq Khan

▼ -0.1%

20%

Who will win the next Lebanese general election?

10 options · Leader: Election Postponed Beyond Expiration

▼ -6.9%

42%

Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?

9 options · Leader: New Unity

▼ -16%

32%

Lai Ching-te departure announced?

4 options · Leader: Before January 1, 2028

—

35%

Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election?

3 options · Leader: Coalition including ODM

▼ -32%

Who will win the next Kenyan National Assembly election?

3 options · Leader: Coalition including ODM

▼ -27%

Israel Katz departure announced?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

▼ -1%

41%

Who will join Reform UK before June?

10 options · Leader: Liz Truss

▲ +17%

18%

Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

1 option · Leader: Will Japan announce any reduction, suspension, or elimination of the current 8% food consumption tax before Jan 1, 2027?

▼ -3%

61%

Who will win the next Italian Senate election?

5 options · Leader: Brothers of Italy

▼ -17%

53%

Who will win the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election?

5 options · Leader: Democratic Party

▼ -33%

36%

Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum

1 option · Leader: Will Yes win the 2026 Icelandic referendum on resuming European Union membership negotiations?

▲ +4%

59%

Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?

7 options · Leader: National Unity of Hope

▼ -10%

31%

Who will win the next Greek general election?

3 options · Leader: New Democracy

▲ +0.8%

78%

Who will win the next Ghanaian presidential election?

6 options · Leader: Alan Kyerematen

▲ +14%

23%

Who will win the next Ghanaian parliamentary election?

2 options · Leader: NDC

▲ +6%

56%

Who will win the next Georgian parliamentary election?

5 options · Leader: Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia

▼ -30%

36%

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?

1 option · Leader: Ending Jun 4, 2029

—

93.1%

Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

—

12%

Who will win the next Finnish general election?

5 options · Leader: Social Democratic Party

▼ -37%

19%

What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

4 options · Leader: Hungary

—

2.7%

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

6 options · Leader: Italy

—

When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

4 options · Leader: Before Jun 1, 2027

▲ +2%

50%

Who will win the next Dominican Republic Senate election?

3 options · Leader: Modern Revolutionary Party

▼ -63%

Who will win the next Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election?

3 options · Leader: Modern Revolutionary Party

▼ -7.9%

72%

Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

—

1.5%

Who will win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

10 options · Leader: Iliana Yotova

▲ +1%

63%

Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?

1 option · Leader: Before 2035

—

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

11 options · Leader: PL

▼ -1%

71%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

13 options · Leader: Renan Santos

▲ +1%

29%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

13 options · Leader: Flávio Bolsonaro

▼ -17%

36%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

11 options · Leader: Lula da Silva, 0-5%

▼ -2%

42%

Will BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

▼ -1%

11%

Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won

8 options · Leader: FE Brasil

▼ -5%

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election: Most Seats Won

15 options · Leader: Renovação Solidária

▼ -3%

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?

5 options · Leader: Liberal Party

▲ +3%

75%

Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?

1 option · Leader: Will anyone win outright in the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election?

—

15%

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

2 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2028

▼ -1%

78%

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election

10 options · Leader: DF

▼ -1%

Who will win the next Australian Senate election?

4 options · Leader: Australian Labor Party

▼ -26%

33%

Who will win the next Australian House election?

4 options · Leader: Liberal-National Coalition

▼ -30%

69%

Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?

1 option · Leader: Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027?

▲ +1%

67%

Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 20, 2029

—

21%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 20, 2029

—

16%

EU loses a member before 2030?

1 option · Leader: By 2030

▼ -1%

13%