1 option · Leads: Will Yes win the 2026 Slovak referendum on cancelling lifelong payments for former Prime Ministers and Parliament Speakers? · Vol: $16K

▲ +1%

Lai Ching-te departure announced?

3 options · Leads: Before January 1, 2028 · Vol: $16K

—

29%

Who will win the next Turkish presidential election?

7 options · Leads: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan · Vol: $16K

—

50%

Who will win the next Philippine House election?

5 options · Leads: Lakas · Vol: $15K

—

38%

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $15K

—

21%

Who will win the next Ghanaian parliamentary election?

2 options · Leads: NDC · Vol: $15K

—

59%

Who will win the 2026 Latvia parliamentary election?

9 options · Leads: Latvia First · Vol: $15K

▼ -1%

26%

Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?

1 option · Leads: Will legislation that removes Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor from the line of succession to the British throne become law in United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $15K

▲ +6%

62%

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election?

5 options · Leads: Sara Duterte · Vol: $14K

—

59%

Who will win the next Gambian presidential election?

4 options · Leads: Adama Barrow · Vol: $14K

—

70%

Who will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

4 options · Leads: Olivia Chow · Vol: $14K

—

75%

Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?

1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $14K

▼ -1%

56%

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $14K

—

72%

Who will win the 2028 London mayoral election?

8 options · Leads: Laila Cunningham · Vol: $13K

—

26%

Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?

1 option · Leads: During Trump's term · Vol: $13K

—

17%

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2026 · Vol: $13K

▲ +24%

58%

Traffic through the Panama Canal in Jun 2026?

7 options · Leads: Above 900 · Vol: $13K

—

97%

Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?

3 options · Leads: Before Sep 1, 2026 · Vol: $12K

▲ +12%

90%

Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

6 options · Leads: Italy · Vol: $12K

—

2.5%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

7 options · Leads: Renan Santos · Vol: $12K

▲ +2%

64%

Alberta Separation Process Referendum

1 option · Leads: Will the option in Alberta’s 2026 referendum asking whether the Government of Alberta should commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada pass? · Vol: $12K

—

12%

Who will win the next Zambian National Assembly election?

2 options · Leads: United Party for National Development · Vol: $11K

—

86%

Who will win the next Malaysian general election?

3 options · Leads: PH-anchored coalition · Vol: $11K

—

56%

Who will win the next Ghanaian presidential election?

6 options · Leads: Asiedu Nketia · Vol: $11K

—

24%

Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?

4 options · Leads: Vamos · Vol: $11K

—

62%

Who will win the next Moldovan presidential election?

7 options · Leads: Alexandr Stoianoglo · Vol: $10K

—

19%

Minas Gerais Governor winner?

5 options · Leads: Cleitinho Azevedo · Vol: $10K

—

59%

Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election?

3 options · Leads: William Lai · Vol: $10K

—

67%

Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines?

2 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $10K

—

51%

Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election?

3 options · Leads: Coalition including ODM · Vol: $9K

—

56%

Who will win the next Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election?

3 options · Leads: Modern Revolutionary Party · Vol: $9K

—

72%

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Senate election?

4 options · Leads: Liberal Party · Vol: $9K

—

83%

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?

6 options · Leads: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan · Vol: $9K

—

99%

Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $9K

—

10%

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $9K

—

12%

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $9K

—

66%

Will Nord Stream 2 open?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $8K

—

1.6%

Will Trump endorse Netanyahu?

2 options · Leads: Before Oct 28, 2026 · Vol: $8K

▼ -12%

61%

Who will win the next Nigerian presidential election?

4 options · Leads: Bola Tinubu · Vol: $8K

—

60%

Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?

1 option · Leads: Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $8K

—

Benjamin Netanyahu out as Prime Minister of Israel?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2026 · Vol: $7K

▲ +1%

Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?

1 option · Leads: Will anyone win outright in the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election? · Vol: $7K

—

15%

Who will win the next Spanish general election?

4 options · Leads: People's Party · Vol: $7K

—

77%

New Zealand general election winner?

3 options · Leads: Labour · Vol: $7K

▼ -7%

56%

Will BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $7K

—

19%

Will Serbia announce a snap election?

3 options · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2026 · Vol: $6K

▼ -1%

69%

Who will win the next Turkish general election?

4 options · Leads: AKP · Vol: $6K

—

69%

Who will win the next Italian Chamber of Deputies election?

5 options · Leads: Brothers of Italy · Vol: $6K

—

51%

What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?

4 options · Leads: Hungary · Vol: $6K

—

When will France announce a snap election?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K

—

16%

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

6 options · Leads: Lula da Silva, 5-10% · Vol: $5K

—

33%

Will Peru’s JNE annul the presidential election?

1 option · Leads: Before Jul 28, 2026 · Vol: $5K

—

Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K

—

59%

Who will win the next Greek general election?

3 options · Leads: New Democracy · Vol: $5K

—

84%

Will Nauru be renamed to Naoero?

1 option · Leads: Will YES win the 2026 Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero? · Vol: $5K

—

67%

Will Japan lower its food consumption tax in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will Japan announce any reduction, suspension, or elimination of the current 8% food consumption tax before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $5K

—

74%

Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $4K

—

1.5%

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)

5 options · Leads: Above 150 · Vol: $4K

—

81%

Who will win the next Paraguayan Senate election?

6 options · Leads: Colorado · Vol: $4K

—

77%

Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $4K

—

18%

Israel Katz departure announced?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $3K

—

43%

Next government of the United Kingdom?

19 options · Leads: Labour majority · Vol: $3K

—

20%

Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?

1 option · Leads: Will the European Union agree to or announce that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $3K

—

13%