Live market summary
USAID is favored at 15% as of 4 Oct 2026, 06:05 UTC across 4 markets.
- USAID: 15% (24h change -3%)
- EPA: 13% (24h change 0%)
- NASA: 8.3% (24h change 0%)
- IRS: 6.1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
USAID is favored at 15% as of 4 Oct 2026, 06:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
USAID: 15%; EPA: 13%; NASA: 8.3%; IRS: 6.1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.