Mary Peltola, 0-3% is favored at 29% as of 9 Oct 2026, 13:36 UTC across 10 markets.
- Mary Peltola, 0-3%: 29% (24h change 0%)
- Mary Peltola, 3-6%: 21% (24h change -2%)
- Dan Sullivan, 0-3%: 18% (24h change 0%)
- Mary Peltola, 6-9%: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Mary Peltola, ≥12%: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Dan Sullivan, 6-9%: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Mary Peltola, 9-12%: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Dan Sullivan, 9-12%: 6% (24h change 0%)
- Dan Sullivan, ≥12%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Dan Sullivan, 3-6%: 2% (24h change 0%)
Alaska Senate election margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Alaska Senate election margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Alaska Senate election margin of victory?
Mary Peltola, 0-3% is favored at 29% as of 9 Oct 2026, 13:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Alaska Senate election margin of victory?
Mary Peltola, 0-3%: 29%; Mary Peltola, 3-6%: 21%; Dan Sullivan, 0-3%: 18%; Mary Peltola, 6-9%: 11%; Mary Peltola, ≥12%: 9%; Dan Sullivan, 6-9%: 8%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.