Who is favored in Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement??

Before Jul 6, 2026 is favored at 50% as of 30 Jun 2026, 17:32 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the live odds for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement??

Before Jul 6, 2026: 50%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 46%; Before Oct 1, 2026: 45%; Before Aug 1, 2026: 34%; Before Jul 4, 2026: 20%; Before Jul 1, 2026: 5%.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is the most recent traded price on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% chance of that outcome.

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Live summary

Before Jul 6, 2026 is favored at 50% as of 30 Jun 2026, 17:32 UTC across 7 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

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Before Jul 6, 2026

50%

—

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Before Jan 1, 2027

46%

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4,909

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Before Oct 1, 2026

45%

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588

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Before Aug 1, 2026

34%

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5,166

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Before Jul 4, 2026

20%

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2,777

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Before Jul 1, 2026

—

2,740

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Before Jul 1, 2027

—

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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

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Odds history