Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiGA-07 Democratic nominee?·Anthony Kozycki·94%(+76%)PA-03 Democratic primary: margin of victory·Chris Rabb, 15-20%·92%(+76%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Oregon·1%(-75%)PA-03 Democratic primary: Chris Rabb vote percent·At least 45%·70%(+68%)Kentucky Republican Senate primary: margin of victory·Andy Barr, 30-35%·9%(-63%)New York's 4th District margin of victory·Democrats, 12+ pts·49%(+49%)Will Trump order pre-release federal review of AI models?·Before Jul 1, 2026·77%(+47%)FL-23 Republican nominee?·Joe Kaufman·16%(-45%)FL-10 Republican nominee?·Stuart Farber·33%(-43%)Georgia Democratic Secretary of State nominee?·Penny Brown Reynolds·72%(+43%)TN-04 Democratic nominee?·Mike Cortese·56%(+42%)FL-16 Democratic nominee?·Jan Schneider·23%(-37%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Robin Peguero·28%(-36%)CA-47 primary: Who will advance?·Eric Troutman·41%(+33.3%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Sean Combs·43%(+33%)

Supreme court markets

Presidential Senate House Governor Congressional Supreme court Cabinet Federal reserve Other policy International Other

New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

—
49%

Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots after Election Day?

1 option · Leader: Before August 2026

▼ -3%
62%

How many federal judges will be confirmed in May 2026?

3 options · Leader: At least 3

▼ -3%
0%

Will the Supreme Court uphold transgender sports bans?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

▼ -3%
90%

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

10 options · Leader: 2

▼ -3%
31%

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

36 options · Leader: Andrew Oldham

▼ -5%
12%

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

1 option · Leader: a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump

—
39%

Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will?

1 option · Leader: Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Slaughter

▲ +0.1%
90.1%

Will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

3 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

▼ -1%
28%

Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?

1 option · Leader: any 3rd Amendment case

▼ -0.3%
7.3%

Will SCOTUS uphold the federal gun ban for marijuana users?

1 option · Leader: Before 2026

▼ -1%
12%

Will the Supreme Court shield Monsanto from Roundup failure-to-warn lawsuits?

1 option · Leader: Before 2026

▲ +3%
79%

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

▼ -1%
13%

Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?

1 option · Leader: Before 2029

—
27%

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

4 options · Leader: Samuel Alito

▲ +2%
64%

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

5 options · Leader: 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals

▲ +0.1%
71%

Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?

2 options · Leader: Before Aug 1, 2026

▼ -5%
2%

How many justices will vote for Trump in the FTC removal case?

10 options · Leader: 6

▼ -0.3%
87%

Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?

1 option · Leader: Will any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?

—
1.2%

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 20, 2029

—
1%

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about flag burning before 2027?

1 option · Leader: a case about flag burning

—
3.1%

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

1 option · Leader: a case about AI and copyright law

—
14%

Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

1 option · Leader: Before 2029

▲ +0.1%
6.7%

Kansas Supreme Court Election Method Amendment

1 option · Leader: Who will win the 2026 Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment?

▼ -1%
1%

Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?

1 option · Leader: Before 2029

—
20%