Supreme court markets

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

5 options · Leader: Before Jul 1, 2027

60%

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

3 options · Leader: Before Jul 1, 2027

-6%
44%

New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

5 options · Leader: Before Jan 21, 2029

84%

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

38 options · Leader: Andrew Oldham

-1%
16%

Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2030

-6%
74%

Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?

1 option · Leader: Before 2029

29%

Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?

1 option · Leader: any 3rd Amendment case

+7.2%
13%

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

8 options · Leader: Samuel Alito

70%

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

1 option · Leader: a case about AI and copyright law

-9%
19%

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

5 options · Leader: 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals

71%

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

10 options · Leader: 1

-4%
43%

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

1 option · Leader: a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump

26%

Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?

2 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

65%

Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?

1 option · Leader: Will any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027?

4.1%

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 20, 2029

1.2%

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about flag burning before 2027?

1 option · Leader: a case about flag burning

9.5%

Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

1 option · Leader: Before 2029

5.1%

Kansas Supreme Court Election Method Amendment

1 option · Leader: Who will win the 2026 Kansas Elections for Supreme Court Justices Amendment?

48%

Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?

1 option · Leader: Before 2029

22%

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

1 option · Leader: Before 2027

7.4%