Supreme court markets

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Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

41 options · Leads: Andrew Oldham · Vol: $729K

▼ -4%

20%

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

2 options · Leads: Before Jul 1, 2027 · Vol: $393K

▲ +3%

36%

New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

4 options · Leads: Before Jan 21, 2029 · Vol: $215K

▼ -1%

51%

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

10 options · Leads: 0 · Vol: $215K

▲ +1%

42%

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?

9 options · Leads: Samuel Alito · Vol: $107K

▲ +9%

74%

Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $105K

▲ +5.8%

13%

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

2 options · Leads: Before Jul 1, 2027 · Vol: $90K

▲ +10%

50%

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

1 option · Leads: Before 2027 · Vol: $62K

▲ +1%

12%

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $48K

—

42%

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?

9 options · Leads: Republican National Committee v. Eakin · Vol: $43K

—

82%

Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $42K

—

21%

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

1 option · Leads: a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump · Vol: $36K

▼ -3%

10%

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?

5 options · Leads: 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals · Vol: $30K

—

75%

Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?

1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $23K

—

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

1 option · Leads: a case about AI and copyright law · Vol: $12K

▼ -6.2%

4.8%

Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?

1 option · Leads: any 3rd Amendment case · Vol: $9K

—

11%

Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?

1 option · Leads: Before Nov 3, 2026 · Vol: $9K

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Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?

1 option · Leads: Will any sitting Supreme Court Justice be charged with a any federal crime before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $6K

▼ -6.3%

4.7%

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $6K

▲ +0.1%

3.1%

Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2030 · Vol: $5K

—

82%

Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $5K

—

30%

Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?

1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2029 · Vol: $5K

▼ -6%

45%

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about flag burning before 2027?

1 option · Leads: a case about flag burning · Vol: $4K

—

3.1%

Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?

1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $3K

—

Will the independence of the judiciary be weakened during Trump's term?

1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $3K

—

14%

Will SCOTUS require 12-person juries for serious felonies?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $1K

—

80%

Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $1K

—

64%

Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $1K

▼ -8%

55%

Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $1K

—

61%

Will SCOTUS treat trademark strength as a factual question?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $834

—

70%

Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $826

—

93%

Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $805

—

58%

Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $621

—

73%

Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $460

—

49%

Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $459

—

54%

Will SCOTUS overturn Trump's $83.3 million Carroll judgment?

1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $434

—

Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $432

—

78%

Will SCOTUS let the Labor Department impose H-2A monetary remedies through agency proceedings?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $395

—

15%

Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $223

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Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?

1 option · Leads: Jimmy Blacklock · Vol: $200

—

70%

Will SCOTUS hold that EAJA covers immigration-detention habeas actions?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $200

—

61%

Texas Supreme Court Place 7 winner?

1 option · Leads: Kristen Hawkins · Vol: $189

—

15%

Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $171

—

74%

Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $162

—

30%

Ohio Supreme Court: Brunner seat winner?

2 options · Leads: Colleen O’Donnell · Vol: $125

—

59%

Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $63

—

69%

Will Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court?

1 option · Leads: Will Paul Wilson be retained on the Missouri Supreme Court? · Vol: $55

—

90%

Montana Supreme Court winner?

1 option · Leads: Amy Eddy · Vol: $12

—

80%

Will SCOTUS count subscribers to a video provider’s non-video offerings as VPPA consumers?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $9

—

37%

Washington Supreme Court Position 3 winner?

2 options · Leads: Jaime Hawk · Vol: $6

—

27%

Will SCOTUS let parents challenge laws that displace them from their children’s gender-transition decisions?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $4

—

94%

Washington Supreme Court Position 5 winner?

1 option · Leads: Dave Larson · Vol: $1

—

15%

Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $0

—

76%

Will SCOTUS bar the immediate NEPA challenge to the Air Force’s Guam hazardous-waste permit application?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $0

—

71%

Will SCOTUS bar contempt for conduct not clearly prohibited by an injunction?

1 option · Leads: Before Aug 1, 2028 · Vol: $0

—

73%