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Live market summary

Before Nov 14 is favored at 98% as of 6 Sep 2026, 05:04 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Before Nov 14: 98% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Nov 11: 87% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Nov 6: 82% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 4AM Nov 4: 75% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 1AM Nov 4: 43% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Nov 4: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 11PM Nov 3: 11% (24h change 0%)
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When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?

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About this market

Market question: When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?

Before Nov 14 is favored at 98% as of 6 Sep 2026, 05:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?

Before Nov 14: 98%; Before Nov 11: 87%; Before Nov 6: 82%; Before 4AM Nov 4: 75%; Before 1AM Nov 4: 43%; Before Nov 4: 31%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.