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Powered by KalshiNew York Attorney General winner?·Saritha Komatireddy·13%(-77.2%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)·Darline Graham, 20-25%·7%(-73%)Will Trump do anything this week? (7/26-8/1)·At least 3·99%(+73%)VA-01 Democratic nominee?·Jason Knapp·58%(+57%)When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?·Before Oct 2026·88%(+47%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 26·48%(+45%)Greater Manchester mayoral election margin of victory?·Labour, ≥30%·99%(+45%)Which peptides will the FDA propose adding to the 503A Bulks List?·Epitalon·79%(+44%)Will Missouri Amendment 5 pass?·Will Amendment 5 pass?·23%(-43%)Pennsylvania State House winner?·Democratic party·82%(+36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Todd Blanche·29%(-32%)Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Mike Lee·67%(+29%)Which ballot measures will pass in California?·Proposition 45·65%(-28%)Which bills will become law in 2026?·College sports federalization·49%(+27%)Indiana Secretary of State winner?·Max Engling·60%(+27%)
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Summary

Below 39.2 is favored at 40% as of 1 Aug 2026, 06:32 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Below 39.2: 40% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.2 to 39.4: 21% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.5 to 39.7: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.8 to 40.0: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.1 to 40.3: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.4 to 40.6: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.7 to 40.9: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 40.9: 3% (24h change 0%)
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Trump's approval rating on Aug 7, 2026?

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