Presidential markets

19%

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

45 options · Leader: Gavin Newsom

21%

2028 Republican presidential nominee

38 options · Leader: J.D. Vance

42%

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026?

5 options · Leader: 0

93%

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

4 options · Leader: Before January 20, 2029

30%

Will Trump be impeached?

4 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2028

▼ -2%

61%

Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?

8 options · Leader: 40.2 to 40.4

32%

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?

12 options · Leader: John Thune

99%

Will Trump do anything this week? (6/28-7/4)

8 options · Leader: At least 1

99%

2028 Democratic VP nominee

43 options · Leader: Gretchen Whitmer

9.9%

2028 Presidential matchup

16 options · Leader: Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

32 options · Leader: Nicole Daedone

27%

2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

29 options · Leader: JD Vance defeats Gavin Newsom

How many states will Trump visit in Jul 2026?

7 options · Leader: 5

2026: Trump's bad year?

1 option · Leader: Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026?

Who will Trump pardon?

51 options · Leader: Donald Trump Jr.

56%

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (7/3-7/10)?

1 option · Leader: Above 40.2%

▲ +25%

80%

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

33 options · Leader: J.D. Vance

80%

2028 Republican VP nominee

21 options · Leader: Marco Rubio

▲ +16%

45%

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

36 options · Leader: Andy Beshear

86%

Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?

1 option · Leader: Will The winning team of the 2026 Pro football Championship visit The White House before Dec 31, 2026?

33%

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

22 options · Leader: Turkey

▲ +0.1%

96.6%

Who will visit the White House in 2026?

25 options · Leader: Xi Jinping

88%

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)

2 options · Leader: Democratic party

58%

Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?

1 option · Leader: Before 2028

12%

When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?

4 options · Leader: Before Oct 1, 2027

▼ -2%

71%

2026: Trump's dream year?

1 option · Leader: Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026?

▲ +0.2%

6.6%

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

1 option · Leader: Before his term ends

19%

Will Trump resign during his term?

1 option · Leader: Before his term ends

▼ -2%

21%

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

6 options · Leader: Below 38%

66%

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 20, 2029

▲ +2%

64%

Will Trump run for a third term?

3 options · Leader: Before Election Day

23%

Will Trump declare an election emergency?

2 options · Leader: Before Nov 4, 2026

▲ +2%

27%

Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?

1 option · Leader: a party founded by Elon Musk

20%

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

10 options · Leader: Gavin Newsom

▲ +7%

35%

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 2027

61%

Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

1 option · Leader: Before 2029

26%

Ken Martin out as DNC chair?

2 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

▼ -3%

Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?

3 options · Leader: Before Jan 20, 2029

54%

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2029

10%

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

8 options · Leader: Ahmed al-Sharaa

82%

Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?

1 option · Leader: Mike Lindell

▼ -8%

29%

Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run in 2026?

1 option · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?

1 option · Leader: Before 2029

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)

12 options · Leader: Gavin Newsom

▼ -5%

34%

2028 popular vote margin of victory?

20 options · Leader: Democratic by 9.0% or more

How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?

6 options · Leader: Above 15

81%

Who will attend the 2026 White House Correspondents' Dinner?

4 options · Leader: Joe Scarborough

32%

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?

5 options · Leader: Denver

33%

Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?

1 option · Leader: Before 2045

18%

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?

1 option · Leader: Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?

9 options · Leader: Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

55%

How many ties will J.D. Vance break in 2026?

5 options · Leader: 2

31%

When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?

4 options · Leader: Before Oct 1, 2027

74%

Will Rubio and Vance run for President?

1 option · Leader: JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican

60%

Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?

9 options · Leader: Lee Greenwood

27%

Will Trump pardon any members of his family?

1 option · Leader: Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029?

68%

How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

8 options · Leader: Above 43%

Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?

1 option · Leader: Before November 4, 2028

When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?

4 options · Leader: Before Oct 1, 2027

64%

2028 Republican Presidential ticket

25 options · Leader: JD Vance and Marco Rubio

26%

Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?

2 options · Leader: Republican party

55%

2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee

11 options · Leader: Justin Amash

26%

2028 Green Presidential nominee

6 options · Leader: Butch Ware

29%

Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?

1 option · Leader: In 2028

5.6%

Will the 2028 presidential election occur?

1 option · Leader: In 2028

92.4%

Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?

1 option · Leader: Before 2045

16%

How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?

5 options · Leader: 100 to 499

64%

Will any GOP member of Congress call for the 25th Amendment on Trump?

2 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?

11 options · Leader: Ron DeSantis

68%

Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?

12 options · Leader: New Hampshire

46%

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (6/21 - 6/27)

1 option · Leader: Above 2

99%

Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?

1 option · Leader: Before 2030

12%

2028 Democratic Presidential ticket

20 options · Leader: Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

11%

How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?

4 options · Leader: below 7.60

82%

Joe Biden's presidential memoir release date

3 options · Leader: Before Jan 1, 2027

85%

Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?

1 option · Leader: Before 2028

3.4%

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

8 options · Leader: Democratic by 61 to 90