Presidential markets
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
48 options · Leads: Jon Ossoff · Vol: $231.4M
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
31 options · Leads: J.D. Vance · Vol: $70.9M
2028 Republican presidential nominee
39 options · Leads: J.D. Vance · Vol: $68.2M
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
3 options · Leads: Before January 20, 2029 · Vol: $7.6M
2028 Democratic VP nominee
45 options · Leads: Elissa Slotkin · Vol: $3.2M
Will Trump be impeached?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2028 · Vol: $3.1M
2028 Republican VP nominee
23 options · Leads: Marco Rubio · Vol: $1.6M
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
38 options · Leads: Pete Buttigieg · Vol: $954K
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
1 option · Leads: Before his term ends · Vol: $718K
Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $610K
2026: Trump's dream year?
1 option · Leads: Will the bull case for Trump occur in 2026? · Vol: $599K
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)
2 options · Leads: Democratic party · Vol: $585K
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
32 options · Leads: Keonne Rodriguez · Vol: $513K
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $497K
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
36 options · Leads: J.D. Vance · Vol: $484K
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
21 options · Leads: Germany · Vol: $475K
Will Trump resign during his term?
1 option · Leads: Before his term ends · Vol: $459K
Who will Trump pardon?
51 options · Leads: Donald Trump Jr. · Vol: $424K
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2029 · Vol: $322K
2028 Presidential matchup
16 options · Leads: AOC v. Marco Rubio · Vol: $300K
2026: Trump's bad year?
1 option · Leads: Will the bear case for Trump occur in 2026? · Vol: $261K
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
4 options · Leads: Below 36% · Vol: $240K
Will Trump declare an election emergency?
1 option · Leads: Before Nov 4, 2026 · Vol: $220K
Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $189K
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
20 options · Leads: Maine · Vol: $172K
Will Trump run for a third term?
3 options · Leads: Before Election Day · Vol: $152K
How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
8 options · Leads: Above 46% · Vol: $150K
2028 Presidential race: exact outcome
31 options · Leads: Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance · Vol: $124K
Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
16 options · Leads: Texas · Vol: $121K
2028 popular vote margin of victory?
20 options · Leads: Democratic by 9.0% or more · Vol: $106K
Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 20, 2029 · Vol: $103K
2028 Republican Presidential ticket
25 options · Leads: JD Vance and Marco Rubio · Vol: $98K
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
4 options · Leads: New Hampshire · Vol: $97K
Who will visit the White House in 2026?
21 options · Leads: Mark Carney · Vol: $95K
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/27-10/3)
11 options · Leads: At least 1 · Vol: $95K
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 4, 2026?
9 options · Leads: 38.1% · Vol: $93K
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
10 options · Leads: Pete Buttigieg · Vol: $90K
Which states will Trump visit in 2026?
17 options · Leads: Nebraska · Vol: $90K
Will the 2028 presidential election occur?
1 option · Leads: In 2028 · Vol: $72K
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?
11 options · Leads: Jensen Huang · Vol: $67K
Who will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?
9 options · Leads: Tim Pool · Vol: $60K
When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
4 options · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2027 · Vol: $58K
2028 Democratic Presidential ticket
23 options · Leads: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg · Vol: $56K
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?
6 options · Leads: 1 · Vol: $54K
Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
1 option · Leads: Before 2045 · Vol: $54K
How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?
4 options · Leads: Below 7.60 · Vol: $48K
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
22 options · Leads: Cory Booker · Vol: $47K
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
6 options · Leads: J.D. Vance · Vol: $43K
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
1 option · Leads: Before 2045 · Vol: $43K
Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $38K
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
6 options · Leads: Gavin Newsom · Vol: $35K
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
8 options · Leads: Tina Kotek · Vol: $34K
Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?
9 options · Leads: Elon Musk · Vol: $29K
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?
1 option · Leads: Before 2029 · Vol: $26K
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
1 option · Leads: Kush Desai · Vol: $24K
Will the Trump family be pardoned?
1 option · Leads: Will Donald Trump or any members of his immediate family or their spouses receive a presidential pardon before Jan 20, 2029? · Vol: $23K
Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
1 option · Leads: Before November 4, 2028 · Vol: $22K
2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner
9 options · Leads: Marco Rubio · Vol: $22K
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?
5 options · Leads: Denver · Vol: $19K
Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
8 options · Leads: Nevada · Vol: $16K
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
7 options · Leads: Above 20 · Vol: $15K
Ken Martin out as DNC chair?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $14K
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $14K
How many people will Trump pardon in 2026?
5 options · Leads: 100 to 499 · Vol: $14K
Will any GOP member of Congress call for the 25th Amendment on Trump?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $12K
When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?
4 options · Leads: Before Jul 1, 2027 · Vol: $11K
Will Rubio and Vance run for President?
1 option · Leads: JD Vance: Republican, Marco Rubio: Republican · Vol: $10K
Navajo Nation presidential election winner?
2 options · Leads: Justin Jones · Vol: $9K
Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?
1 option · Leads: In 2028 · Vol: $9K
Will it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
1 option · Leads: Before 2028 · Vol: $9K
CLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
7 options · Leads: Above $185M · Vol: $8K
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
14 options · Leads: Democratic by 91 to 130 · Vol: $7K
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
4 options · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K
How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
9 options · Leads: At least 6 · Vol: $6K
When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
4 options · Leads: Before Jul 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K
When will Trump's next address to the nation be?
3 options · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $6K
2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee
11 options · Leads: Justin Amash · Vol: $5K
2028 Green Presidential nominee
6 options · Leads: Butch Ware · Vol: $4K
Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?
1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $4K
2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
7 options · Leads: Kamala Harris · Vol: $3K
Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?
1 option · Leads: Will it be reported by New Hampshire Secretary of State that the New Hampshire secretary of state announces a specific date for the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary that precedes the currently scheduled date for the South Carolina presidential primary before Jan 22, 2028? · Vol: $3K
Trump's approval rating on Oct 9, 2026?
8 options · Leads: 37.9 to 38.1 · Vol: $3K
When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
4 options · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K
Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
1 option · Leads: a party founded by Elon Musk · Vol: $3K
How many ties will J.D. Vance break in 2026?
6 options · Leads: 2 · Vol: $3K
When will Biden release his presidential memoir?
2 options · Leads: Before Apr 1, 2027 · Vol: $3K
When will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?
4 options · Leads: Before Oct 1, 2027 · Vol: $2K
SMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
6 options · Leads: Above $85M · Vol: $2K
Will Trump visit the U.S. Capitol again in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Will Donald Trump visit the U.S. Capitol before Jan 1, 2027? · Vol: $2K
MAGA Inc. Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
7 options · Leads: Above $325M · Vol: $2K
When will Trump rename something else?
1 option · Leads: Before Nov 1, 2026 · Vol: $2K
How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026?
2 options · Leads: 0 · Vol: $2K
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026?
3 options · Leads: Narendra Modi · Vol: $1K
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/2-10/9)
1 option · Leads: Above 36.9% · Vol: $999
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Before Jan 1, 2027 · Vol: $992
Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?
1 option · Leads: Before 2030 · Vol: $808
Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?
1 option · Leads: Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028? · Vol: $723
Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?
2 options · Leads: Above 34% · Vol: $420
Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
1 option · Leads: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Vol: $404
Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
2 options · Leads: Republican party · Vol: $316
Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?
4 options · Leads: U.S. Senator · Vol: $263
Will Laura Loomer join the Trump administration in 2026?
1 option · Leads: Laura Loomer · Vol: $207
Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?
1 option · Leads: Above 8% · Vol: $200
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?
1 option · Leads: Jon Ossoff · Vol: $60
2028 Iowa Republican caucus winner?
4 options · Leads: J.D. Vance · Vol: $18
SLF Cash on Hand (End of Q3)
1 option · Leads: Above $300M · Vol: $1