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Powered by KalshiHI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Ed Case, ≥15%·99%(+88%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Spencer Meline·99%(+75%)NC-11 Republican nominee on Aug 11, 2026?·Tim Moffitt·6%(-67%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·69%(+61%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 35%·64%(+59%)Georgia Attorney General winner?·Tanya Miller·97.3%(+54.3%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Ed Case·99.9%(+53.9%)Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?·Kevin Spacey·27%(-53%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Ed Case·99%(+50%)When will the UK's social media ban take effect?·Before Aug 1, 2027·34%(-44%)Wisconsin Attorney General winner?·Republican party·15%(-43%)Ohio's 7th District margin of victory·Democrats, 6+ pts·58%(+42%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Adam Crum·47%(+40.5%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·14%(-38%)Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?·Before Jan 1, 2027·52%(+33%)
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Summary

39.1 to 39.3 is favored at 26% as of 9 Aug 2026, 19:04 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 39.1 to 39.3: 26% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.4 to 39.6: 25% (24h change -1%)
  • 38.8 to 39.0: 18% (24h change -1%)
  • Below 38.8: 16% (24h change +1%)
  • 39.7 to 39.9: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.0 to 40.2: 6% (24h change -5%)
  • Above 40.5: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.3 to 40.5: 2% (24h change -1%)
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Trump's approval rating on Aug 14, 2026?

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Below 38.8

16%
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