Powered by KalshiLA-02 Democratic nominee?·Troy Carter·2%(-93.2%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·2%(-93.2%)LA-01 Democratic nominee?·Lauren Jewett·3%(-92.9%)AL-04 Republican nominee?·Robert Aderholt·6%(-87.2%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Louisiana·92.1%(+80.1%)AL-04 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Pusczek·4%(-78%)CA-47 primary: Who will advance?·Jenny Le Roux·77%(+72.1%)Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?·Buddy Carter·6%(-71%)LA-04 Democratic nominee?·Conrad Cable·2%(-58%)LA-06 Republican nominee?·Larry Davis·2%(-51%)LA-03 Democratic nominee?·Tia LeBrun·1%(-48%)FL-23 Democratic nominee?·Jared Moskowitz·9.1%(-47.9%)CA-30 primary: Who will advance?·Dennis Feitosa·26%(-39%)CA-45 primary: Who will advance?·Chuong Vo·62%(+39%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Lee Murphy·39%(+39%)

Powered by KalshiLA-02 Democratic nominee?·Troy Carter·2%(-93.2%)LA-04 Republican nominee?·Mike Johnson·2%(-93.2%)LA-01 Democratic nominee?·Lauren Jewett·3%(-92.9%)AL-04 Republican nominee?·Robert Aderholt·6%(-87.2%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Louisiana·92.1%(+80.1%)AL-04 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Pusczek·4%(-78%)CA-47 primary: Who will advance?·Jenny Le Roux·77%(+72.1%)Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?·Buddy Carter·6%(-71%)LA-04 Democratic nominee?·Conrad Cable·2%(-58%)LA-06 Republican nominee?·Larry Davis·2%(-51%)LA-03 Democratic nominee?·Tia LeBrun·1%(-48%)FL-23 Democratic nominee?·Jared Moskowitz·9.1%(-47.9%)CA-30 primary: Who will advance?·Dennis Feitosa·26%(-39%)CA-45 primary: Who will advance?·Chuong Vo·62%(+39%)DE-AL Republican nominee?·Lee Murphy·39%(+39%)

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Trump's approval rating on May 15, 2026?

All options

40.2 to 40.4

25%

—

822

40.5 to 40.7

23%

—

732

40.8 to 41.0

19%

—

435

Below 39.9

12%

—

706

39.9 to 40.1

11%

—

1,697

41.1 to 41.3

7%

—

1,578

41.4 to 41.6

4%

—

1,028

Above 41.6

3%

—

368