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PresidentialHistorical market

Trump's approval rating on May 15, 2026?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

40.2 to 40.4 had the highest retained price at 98% when this page was last updated on 16 May 2026, 15:01 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
40.2 to 40.4
Closed contract
98%
40.5 to 40.7
Closed contract
1%
Below 39.9
Closed contract
0%
39.9 to 40.1
Closed contract
0%
40.8 to 41.0
Closed contract
0%
41.1 to 41.3
Closed contract
0%
Above 41.6
Closed contract
0%
41.4 to 41.6
Closed contract
0%

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Trump's approval rating on May 15, 2026?

40.2 to 40.4 had the highest retained price at 98% when this page was last updated on 16 May 2026, 15:01 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Trump's approval rating on May 15, 2026?

40.2 to 40.4: 98%; 40.5 to 40.7: 1%; Below 39.9: 0%; 39.9 to 40.1: 0%; 40.8 to 41.0: 0%; 41.1 to 41.3: 0%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.