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Live market summary

38.2 to 38.4 is favored at 29% as of 10 Oct 2026, 05:36 UTC across 8 markets.

  • 38.2 to 38.4: 29% (24h change 0%)
  • 37.6 to 37.8: 23% (24h change 0%)
  • 37.3 to 37.5: 22% (24h change 0%)
  • 38.5 to 38.7: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • 37.9 to 38.1: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • 37.0 to 37.2: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Below 37.0: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 38.7: 5% (24h change 0%)
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Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

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About this market

Market question: Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

38.2 to 38.4 is favored at 29% as of 10 Oct 2026, 05:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

38.2 to 38.4: 29%; 37.6 to 37.8: 23%; 37.3 to 37.5: 22%; 38.5 to 38.7: 10%; 37.9 to 38.1: 10%; 37.0 to 37.2: 10%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.