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PresidentialHistorical market

Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026?

This Kalshi market is closed. The figures below are retained historical prices, not live odds or a verified declaration of the result.

Last recorded market summary

39.7 to 39.9 had the highest retained price at 96% when this page was last updated on 4 Sep 2026, 15:33 UTC. Price alone does not verify the final outcome.

Historical options

Last recorded price
39.7 to 39.9
Closed contract
96%
38.8 to 39.0
Closed contract
5%
Above 40.5
Closed contract
4%
40.0 to 40.2
Closed contract
2%
Below 38.8
Closed contract
1%
39.4 to 39.6
Closed contract
1%
40.3 to 40.5
Closed contract
1%
39.1 to 39.3
Closed contract
1%
About this market

Market question: Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the last price retained before the contract closed. Historical prices show what the market estimated at that time; they do not, by themselves, prove which outcome ultimately occurred.

More presidential oddsAll political markets

Market odds FAQ

What were the last recorded odds for Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026?

39.7 to 39.9 had the highest retained price at 96% when this page was last updated on 4 Sep 2026, 15:33 UTC. The market is closed, and this price alone does not verify the final result.

What are the historical odds for Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026?

39.7 to 39.9: 96%; 38.8 to 39.0: 5%; Above 40.5: 4%; 40.0 to 40.2: 2%; Below 38.8: 1%; 39.4 to 39.6: 1%. These are the last prices retained before the market closed.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.