ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiTexas State House winner?·Republican party·16%(-72%)Dan Driscoll out as Secretary of the Army?·Before Jan 1, 2027·27%(-70%)When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?·Before Dec 1, 2026·88%(+66%)Will Serbia announce a snap election?·Before Oct 1, 2026·89%(+62%)Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·83%(+56%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)·Above 30·75%(+49%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)·Above 35·52%(+46%)Louisiana's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·15%(-45%)New York's 17th District margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·16%(-44%)South Carolina Senate GOP runoff: which counties will Darline Graham win?·Oconee·80%(+42%)Arkansas's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 36+ pts·59%(-37.8%)Idaho Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 19+ pts·59%(-35%)How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?·5·55%(-34%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 17+ pts·65%(-34%)Who will be the next White House Director of Legislative Affairs?·No new Director of Legislative Affairs·47%(+32%)
Back
Summary

39.2 is favored at 99% as of 23 Aug 2026, 19:03 UTC across 9 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • 39.2: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.3: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.6: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.7: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.8: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.5: 48% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.4: 27% (24h change 0%)
  • Below 39.2: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 39.8: 1% (24h change 0%)
presidential9 marketsLIVE

Trump's approval rating on Aug 24, 2026?

Trade ↗

All options

39.5

48%
Trade ↗

39.4

27%
Trade ↗