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Live market summary

Above 150 is favored at 93% as of 23 Oct 2026, 23:37 UTC across 4 markets.

  • Above 150: 93% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 190: 61% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 210: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 220: 6% (24h change 0%)
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Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

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About this market

Market question: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)?

Above 150 is favored at 93% as of 23 Oct 2026, 23:37 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)?

Above 150: 93%; Above 190: 61%; Above 210: 15%; Above 220: 6%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.