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Live market summary

Above 150 is favored at 97% as of 9 Oct 2026, 14:38 UTC across 6 markets.

  • Above 150: 97% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 175: 88% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 180: 75% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 190: 58% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 200: 37% (24h change +1%)
  • Above 225: 5% (24h change -1%)
international6 marketsLIVE

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

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Above 200

37%
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Above 225

5%
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About this market

Market question: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)?

Above 150 is favored at 97% as of 9 Oct 2026, 14:38 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)?

Above 150: 97%; Above 175: 88%; Above 180: 75%; Above 190: 58%; Above 200: 37%; Above 225: 5%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.