Live market summary
Above 150 is favored at 90% as of 3 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC across 3 markets.
- Above 150: 90% (24h change 0%)
- Above 200: 31% (24h change 0%)
- Above 225: 5% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)?
Above 150 is favored at 90% as of 3 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)?
Above 150: 90%; Above 200: 31%; Above 225: 5%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.