Above 170 is favored at 88% as of 10 Oct 2026, 05:37 UTC across 5 markets.
- Above 170: 88% (24h change 0%)
- Above 220: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Above 230: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Above 250: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Above 240: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)?
Above 170 is favored at 88% as of 10 Oct 2026, 05:37 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)?
Above 170: 88%; Above 220: 9%; Above 230: 5%; Above 250: 2%; Above 240: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.