Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·99%(+92%)How many people will Trump pardon in Sep 2026?·0·1%(-64%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/30-9/5)·At least 4·7%(-59%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·97%(+53%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 25·19%(-48%)Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 5.00M·72%(+44%)Hamilton East-Stoney Creek by-election winner?·Jeff Beattie·99%(+43%)Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?·Die Linke·10%(-43%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place·Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva·10%(-40%)Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory·Republicans, 5+ pts·2.4%(-39.6%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 1·99%(+38%)Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?·Question 3·69%(+35%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·42%(+33%)Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?·Before 2028·84%(+27%)

Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·99%(+92%)How many people will Trump pardon in Sep 2026?·0·1%(-64%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/30-9/5)·At least 4·7%(-59%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·97%(+53%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)·Above 25·19%(-48%)Michigan Senate General Election: voter turnout·Above 5.00M·72%(+44%)Hamilton East-Stoney Creek by-election winner?·Jeff Beattie·99%(+43%)Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?·Die Linke·10%(-43%)Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place·Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva·10%(-40%)Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory·Republicans, 5+ pts·2.4%(-39.6%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 1·99%(+38%)Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?·Question 3·69%(+35%)When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?·Before Oct 1, 2026·42%(+33%)Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?·Before 2028·84%(+27%)

Live market summary

Above 175 is favored at 89% as of 4 Sep 2026, 22:34 UTC across 1 market.

international1 marketLIVE

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)

All options

Above 175

89%

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$200

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)?

Above 175 is favored at 89% as of 4 Sep 2026, 22:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)?

Above 175: 89%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.