Live market summary
Above 150 is favored at 89% as of 18 Sep 2026, 21:06 UTC across 2 markets.
- Above 150: 89% (24h change 0%)
- Above 250: 15% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)?
Above 150 is favored at 89% as of 18 Sep 2026, 21:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)?
Above 150: 89%; Above 250: 15%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.