Democrats sweep is favored at 63% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- Democrats sweep: 63% (24h change 0%)
- D-House, R-Senate: 29% (24h change -2%)
- Republicans sweep: 8.2% (24h change +0.1%)
- R-House, D-Senate: 1.2% (24h change 0%)
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
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About this market
Market question: 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Democrats sweep is favored at 63% as of 4 Oct 2026, 10:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Democrats sweep: 63%; D-House, R-Senate: 29%; Republicans sweep: 8.2%; R-House, D-Senate: 1.2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.