Live market summary
Grüne is favored at 99% as of 8 Oct 2026, 13:36 UTC across 7 markets.
- Grüne: 99% (24h change 0%)
- SPD: 16% (24h change 0%)
- CDU: 11% (24h change 0%)
- AfD: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Die Linke: 1% (24h change 0%)
- FDP: 1% (24h change 0%)
- BSW: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Berlin State Election: 4th Place
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About this market
Market question: Berlin State Election: 4th Place
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Berlin State Election: 4th Place?
Grüne is favored at 99% as of 8 Oct 2026, 13:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Berlin State Election: 4th Place?
Grüne: 99%; SPD: 16%; CDU: 11%; AfD: 4%; Die Linke: 1%; FDP: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.