Live market summary
FDP is favored at 19% as of 17 Sep 2026, 22:35 UTC across 2 markets.
- FDP: 19% (24h change 0%)
- Volt: 3% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?
FDP is favored at 19% as of 17 Sep 2026, 22:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which of these parties will win a seat in the Berlin state election?
FDP: 19%; Volt: 3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.