Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·98%(+91%)Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?·Derrick Anderson·2%(-88%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·16%(-83%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Missouri·15%(-74%)Missouri's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 20+ pts·70%(+69%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/30-9/5)·At least 3·13%(-69%)MO-05 House winner?·Republican party·15%(-61%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·77%(+61%)When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?·Before Nov 1, 2026·28%(-54%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·97%(+54%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 1·99%(+52%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·27%(-52%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory·2%(-49%)Wisconsin's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·92.5%(+46.5%)

Powered by KalshiWill Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 0·98%(+91%)Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?·Derrick Anderson·2%(-88%)Minnesota State Senate winner?·Republican party·16%(-83%)Which states will redistrict before the midterms?·Missouri·15%(-74%)Missouri's 4th District margin of victory·Republicans, 20+ pts·70%(+69%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/30-9/5)·At least 3·13%(-69%)MO-05 House winner?·Republican party·15%(-61%)Missouri's 5th District margin of victory·Democrats, 3+ pts·77%(+61%)When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?·Before Nov 1, 2026·28%(-54%)Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?·Before Oct 1, 2026·97%(+54%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/30 - 9/5)·Above 1·99%(+52%)How many states will redistrict before the midterms?·Below 8·27%(-52%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jho Low·37%(-52%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory·2%(-49%)Wisconsin's 2nd District margin of victory·Democrats, 50+ pts·92.5%(+46.5%)

Live market summary

Before 2027 is favored at 6% as of 4 Sep 2026, 17:04 UTC across 1 market.

policy1 marketLIVE

Will Trump's revised birthright order take effect?

All options

Before 2027

6%

—

$6

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Will Trump's revised birthright order take effect?

Before 2027 is favored at 6% as of 4 Sep 2026, 17:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Will Trump's revised birthright order take effect?

Before 2027: 6%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.